EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A .
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 18 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Jun | Cruzeiro EC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 03 Jun | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 May | SC Internacional | A | 0–2 | L |
| 20 May | Goiás EC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 May | CR Flamengo | H | 2–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun | EC Bahia | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Jun | Sao Paulo FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Jun | Barcelona SC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 04 Jun | Coritiba FBC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 28 May | CA Mineiro | A | 1–1 | D |
| 21 May | Santos FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #1 |
| 26 | Points | 41 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 12 / 5 / 1 |
| 25 | Scored | 30 |
| 23 | Conceded | 13 |
| +2 | GD | +17 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 2.28 |
| 41% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 3 G | |
| Jhon Arias | 3 G | |
| Vitor Roque | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. SE Palmeiras kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SE Palmeiras needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 9' SE Palmeiras player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 14' Vinicius Mingotti catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 14.
- 19' EC Bahia are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SE Palmeiras backline.
- 24' Kanu has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 21 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 29' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 34' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 34 minutes.
- 39' EC Bahia is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 44' Mayke needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 45' A moment of madness from Ademir Santos on 45 minutes earns him a Yellow card. EC Bahia will be frustrated.
- 50' Over 50 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 55' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 60' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 65' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 66' EC Bahia ring the changes. Vinicius Mingotti has done his job and it is now time for Everaldo to step up.
- 71' A change in the SE Palmeiras ranks — Tabata exits the field as Luis Guilherme enters on 71.
- 72' The SE Palmeiras manager makes a substitution. Endrick departs to be replaced by Breno Lopes.
- 73' Vitor Hugo makes way for Gabriel Xavier at the 73 minute mark. A tactical switch from EC Bahia.
- 74' Gabriel Menino catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 74.
- 75' That is a Yellow card for EC Bahia. Kayky will be fuming at that decision.
- 77' The crowd applauds Gabriel Menino as he leaves the pitch. Richard Rios steps in for SE Palmeiras.
- 82' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Danielzinho on, Kayky off on 82 minutes.
- 87' Controversy at the stadium! Breno Lopes argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 90' GOAL! Thaciano fires home to make it 1-0!
- 90' The referee shows EC Bahia player a Yellow card on 90.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- –
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Vitor Hugo ↓ Gabriel Xavier 73'
- –
-
21
Vinicius Mingotti ↓ Everaldo 66'
- –
-
–
Kayky ↓ Danielzinho 82'
- –
- –
Bench
- –
- –
- –
-
–
Everaldo ↑ 66'
- –
-
–
Danielzinho ↑ 82'
- –
- –
- 17
- –
-
–
Gabriel Xavier ↑ 73'
- –
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
- 12
- 7
- 14
- 15
- 42
-
11
Tabata ↓ Luis Guilherme 71'
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↓ Richard Rios 77'
- 6
- 13
-
9
Endrick ↓ Jose Manuel Lopez 72'
Bench
- 1
- 29
- 32
-
19
Breno Lopes ↑ 72'
-
18
Jose Manuel Lopez ↑ 72'
- 26
- 34
- 40
- 35
- 17
-
31
Luis Guilherme ↑ 71'
-
27
Richard Rios ↑ 77'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Gilberto | 3 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Willian | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 2 |
| Rony | 2 |
| Miguel Borja | 1 |
| Luiz Otavio | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.94
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or SE Palmeiras 71% + Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
58%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
71%
EC Bahia or SE Palmeiras
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 1
12.3%
0 – 0
11.6%
0 – 2
9.2%
1 – 2
8.7%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
5.7%
0 – 3
4.3%
1 – 3
4.2%
2 – 2
4.2%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 15% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 23% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
25%
✗
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

