EC Bahia vs RB Bragantino, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs RB Bragantino — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 17 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- RB Bragantino 18 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Grêmio FBPA | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Oct | EC Juventude | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–5 | L |
| 04 Oct | Grêmio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Oct | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | RB Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #5 |
| 26 | Points | 29 |
| 17 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 9 / 2 / 7 |
| 25 | Scored | 25 |
| 23 | Conceded | 19 |
| +2 | GD | +6 |
| 1.53 | PPG | 1.61 |
| 41% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
39%
Clean Sheets
RB Bragantino this season
RB Bragantino this season
EC Bahia are 6th (26 pts). RB Bragantino are 5th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Bragantino
0-15
1/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
RB Bragantino
| Isidro Pitta | 6 G | 1 A |
| Lucas Barbosa | 4 G | 2 A |
| Juninho Capixaba | 3 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Arena Fonte Nova. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' That looks like a foul for a card for Vinicius.
- 10' EC Bahia looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 12' It is a substitution in RB Bragantino team. Eric Ramires is replaced by Matheus Fernandes on 12 minute.
- 17' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering EC Bahia that had 325 games and scored 348 goals.
- 20' Matheus Fernandes has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 20 minutes.
- 25' Brazil international Fernando has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 27' Poor challenge from Santiago Ramos. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 32' Vinicius has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 266 appearances.
- 37' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 42' EC Bahia make a change. Kayky trudges off to be replaced by Tiago on 42 minutes.
- 46' RB Bragantino make a change. Matheus Fernandes trudges off to be replaced by Fabinho on 46 minutes.
- 51' Lucas Barbosa needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 53' Poor challenge from Michel Araujo. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 58' The RB Bragantino manager makes a substitution. Henry Mosquera departs to be replaced by Fernando.
- 60' Vanderlan is having his name booked by the referee on 60.
- 61' Lucas Barbosa has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 61.
- 66' EC Bahia are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against RB Bragantino's shape.
- 70' Erick is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nicolas Acevedo at the 70 minute mark.
- 75' Against the run of play, Willian Jose has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 77' Fresh legs for RB Bragantino! Bruno Praxedes comes on to replace Juninho Capixaba.
- 82' EC Bahia seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 87' Everton Ribeiro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jean Lucas at the 87 minute mark.
- 90' It’s a booking for RB Bragantino player. Isidro Pitta gets a card.
- With this win, EC Bahia is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Everton Ribeiro 87'
- 12
- 13
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Michel Araujo 46'
- 33
- 21
- 46
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↓ Erick 70'
- 37
- 16
Bench
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 87'
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↑ 70'
- 1
- 25
- 34
-
14
Erick ↑ 70'
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 46'
- 5
- 66
-
77
Tiago ↑ 42'
- 44
Coach
Rogério Ceni
RB Bragantino Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
- 1
- 14
- 6
- 7
-
8
Eduardo Sasha ↓ Isidro Pitta 77'
- 12
- 21
- 4
- 34
-
30
Henry Mosquera ↓ Fernando 58'
Bench
-
35
Matheus Fernandes ↑ 12'
-
11
Fernando ↑ 58'
- 37
-
25
Bruno Praxedes ↑ 77'
-
9
Isidro Pitta ↑ 77'
- 31
- 5
- 16
- 18
- 33
- 32
- 27
Coach
Vágner Mancini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Artur Guimaraes | 2 |
| Luan Candido | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Eduardo Sasha | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Claudinho | 2 |
| Ytalo | 2 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.79
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
RB Bragantino xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia to win 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
82%
Draw or RB Bragantino
42%
EC Bahia or RB Bragantino
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Bragantino win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 0
10.5%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.1%
3 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 1
5.2%
1 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
2.9%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | RB Bragantino covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 17% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 23% | 45% |
| -0.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
RB Bragantino keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

