EC Bahia vs RB Bragantino, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs RB Bragantino — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 22 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- RB Bragantino 22 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Gremio FBPA | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Oct | EC Juventude | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–5 | L |
| 04 Oct | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Oct | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | RB Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #7 |
| 33 | Points | 32 |
| 22 | Played | 22 |
| 8 / 9 / 5 | W / D / L | 9 / 5 / 8 |
| 29 | Scored | 27 |
| 25 | Conceded | 23 |
| +4 | GD | +4 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.45 |
| 36% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
36%
Clean Sheets
RB Bragantino this season
RB Bragantino this season
EC Bahia are 5th (33 pts). RB Bragantino are 7th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Bragantino
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
RB Bragantino
| Isidro Pitta | 6 G | 1 A |
| Lucas Barbosa | 4 G | 2 A |
| Juninho Capixaba | 3 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Arena Fonte Nova. EC Bahia are looking to make home advantage count against RB Bragantino.
- 5' Vinicius has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 5.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 12' The crowd applauds Eric Ramires as he leaves the pitch. Matheus Fernandes steps in for RB Bragantino.
- 17' It’s high time Vágner Mancini made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Matheus Fernandes makes it 0-1.
- 25' Santiago Ramos has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 27' Santiago Ramos catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 27.
- 32' EC Bahia has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 37' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 42' Tiago has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kayky on 42 minute.
- 46' Fabinho gets the nod from RB Bragantino. He replaces Matheus Fernandes and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 53' Michel Araujo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 58' Henry Mosquera makes way for Fernando at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Bragantino.
- 60' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Vanderlan.
- 61' The referee calls foul for Lucas Barbosa. He receives a card.
- 66' RB Bragantino are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 70' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Nicolas Acevedo is replaced by Erick on 70 minute.
- 75' A stunning finish from Willian Jose — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 77' Bruno Praxedes gets the nod from RB Bragantino. He replaces Juninho Capixaba and will look to change the dynamic.
- 82' EC Bahia is showing some good football. However, EC Bahia are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 87' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Jean Lucas exits the field as Everton Ribeiro enters on 87.
- 90' Isidro Pitta catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- Another three points for EC Bahia.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Everton Ribeiro 87'
- 12
- 13
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Michel Araujo 46'
- 33
- 21
- 46
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↓ Erick 70'
- 37
- 16
Bench
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 87'
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↑ 70'
- 1
- 25
- 34
-
14
Erick ↑ 70'
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 46'
- 5
- 66
-
77
Tiago ↑ 42'
- 44
Coach
Rogério Ceni
RB Bragantino Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
- 1
- 14
- 6
- 7
-
8
Eduardo Sasha ↓ Isidro Pitta 77'
- 12
- 21
- 4
- 34
-
30
Henry Mosquera ↓ Fernando 58'
Bench
-
35
Matheus Fernandes ↑ 12'
-
11
Fernando ↑ 58'
- 37
-
25
Bruno Praxedes ↑ 77'
-
9
Isidro Pitta ↑ 77'
- 31
- 5
- 16
- 18
- 33
- 32
- 27
Coach
Vágner Mancini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Ytalo | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Artur Guimaraes | 2 |
| Luan Candido | 2 |
| Luciano Juba | 2 |
| Eduardo Sasha | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Claudinho | 2 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.74
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81
RB Bragantino xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia to win 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
84%
Draw or RB Bragantino
41%
EC Bahia or RB Bragantino
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Bragantino win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.7%
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 0
11.5%
0 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
3.8%
4 – 0
2.9%
0 – 2
2.5%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | RB Bragantino covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 18% | 67% |
| -1.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| -1 | 33% | 25% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
45%
✓
RB Bragantino keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.