EC Bahia vs RB Bragantino, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs RB Bragantino — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- RB Bragantino 27 games · 36 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Gremio FBPA | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Oct | EC Vitoria | A | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Oct | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Oct | EC Juventude | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Oct | SE Palmeiras | A | 1–5 | L |
| 04 Oct | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Oct | Mirassol FC | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | RB Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #10 |
| 46 | Points | 36 |
| 28 | Played | 27 |
| 12 / 10 / 6 | W / D / L | 10 / 6 / 11 |
| 43 | Scored | 33 |
| 35 | Conceded | 31 |
| +8 | GD | +2 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 43% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
58%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
33%
Clean Sheets
RB Bragantino this season
RB Bragantino this season
EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). RB Bragantino are 10th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Bragantino
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/2
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
RB Bragantino
| Isidro Pitta | 6 G | 1 A |
| Lucas Barbosa | 5 G | 2 A |
| Juninho Capixaba | 3 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — EC Bahia and RB Bragantino get this one started.
- 5' RB Bragantino player sees a card in front of him.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Luciano Juba suffering a number of foals already.
- 12' The supporters are chanting for Matheus Fernandes. He replaces Eric Ramires on 12 minute.
- 17' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 20' The deadlock is broken! Matheus Fernandes gets on the scoresheet on 20 minutes.
- 25' Vinicius has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 27' The referee calls foul for Santiago Ramos. He receives a card.
- 32' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 37' EC Bahia are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 42' The supporters are chanting for Tiago. He replaces Kayky on 42 minute.
- 46' Fresh legs for RB Bragantino! Fabinho comes on to replace Matheus Fernandes.
- 51' A quiet spell here at Arena Fonte Nova. RB Bragantino seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 53' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Michel Araujo on 53 minutes.
- 58' RB Bragantino manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Fernando is hanging Henry Mosquera on the field on 58 minute.
- 60' Vanderlan has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 60.
- 61' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucas Barbosa.
- 66' Erick, a Brazil , has 8 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 70' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. Nicolas Acevedo is replaced by Erick on 70 minute.
- 75' Assisted by Luciano Juba with the perfectly-timed delivery and Willian Jose makes no mistake. 1-1!
- 77' Another change for RB Bragantino made on 77 minute. Juninho Capixaba leaves to be changed by Bruno Praxedes.
- 82' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 87' A change in the EC Bahia ranks — Jean Lucas exits the field as Everton Ribeiro enters on 87.
- 90' Isidro Pitta was booked on 90.
- RB Bragantino will have plenty to reflect on. EC Bahia were simply the better side today.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
-
6
Jean Lucas ↓ Everton Ribeiro 87'
- 12
- 13
-
11
Rodrigo Nestor ↓ Michel Araujo 46'
- 33
- 21
- 46
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↓ Erick 70'
- 37
- 16
Bench
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 87'
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↑ 70'
- 1
- 25
- 34
-
14
Erick ↑ 70'
-
15
Michel Araujo ↑ 46'
- 5
- 66
-
77
Tiago ↑ 42'
- 44
Coach
Rogério Ceni
RB Bragantino Lineups
Starting XI
- 29
- 1
- 14
- 6
- 7
-
8
Eduardo Sasha ↓ Isidro Pitta 77'
- 12
- 21
- 4
- 34
-
30
Henry Mosquera ↓ Fernando 58'
Bench
-
35
Matheus Fernandes ↑ 12'
-
11
Fernando ↑ 58'
- 37
-
25
Bruno Praxedes ↑ 77'
-
9
Isidro Pitta ↑ 77'
- 31
- 5
- 16
- 18
- 33
- 32
- 27
Coach
Vágner Mancini
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luciano Juba | 3 |
| Eduardo Sasha | 2 |
| Claudinho | 2 |
| Ytalo | 2 |
| Willian Jose | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Artur Guimaraes | 2 |
| Luan Candido | 2 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.88
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.84
RB Bragantino xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia to win 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: EC Bahia win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.72
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
84%
Draw or RB Bragantino
39%
EC Bahia or RB Bragantino
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Bragantino win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
11.6%
2 – 0
11.4%
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.4%
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6%
0 – 1
4.7%
1 – 2
4.2%
2 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
2.9%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | RB Bragantino covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 19% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 24% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
43%
✓
RB Bragantino keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.