EC Bahia vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 23 games · 34 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 23 | 34 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 22 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | SC Internacional | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Nov | Gremio FBPA | H | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Nov | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Nov | Santos FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/4
46-60
2/–
61-75
3/2
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 7 G | 1 A |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and EC Bahia launch into their encounter with Fortaleza EC.
- 5' It looks surprising Fortaleza EC does not make any changes. Breno Lopes has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 15' Luciano Juba has been relatively quiet despite scoring 17 goals in his last 240 appearances.
- 20' Matheus Rossetto needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 25' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 30' Goal! Adam Bareiro scores his 20 goal in 169 matches.
- 31' That looks like a foul for a card for Adam Bareiro.
- 36' The Argentina Jose Herrera breaks the deadlock on 36 minutes. 0-2!
- 41' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fortaleza EC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 45' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
- 46' Time for substitution for EC Bahia. Erick is replaced by Tiago.
- 51' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and Fortaleza EC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ronaldo made 172 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 60' Everton Ribeiro is replacing David Duarte for the EC Bahia side.
- 65' It is a cagey affair so far. EC Bahia in their trying to find a way past Fortaleza EC's compact .
- 66' GOAL! Willian Jose scores on 66.
- 71' Fortaleza EC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Deyverson is hanging Adam Bareiro on the field on 71 minute.
- 72' Allanzinho is replacing Tomas Pochettino for the Fortaleza EC side.
- 75' Brilliant from the ! Deyverson makes it 1-3 with a superb finish on 75.
- 77' Diogo Barbosa is having his name booked by the referee on 77.
- 78' Time for substitution for Fortaleza EC. Breno Lopes is replaced by Matheus Rossetto.
- 83' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Brenno Costa.
- 86' Fortaleza EC make a change. Jose Herrera trudges off to be replaced by Yago Pikachu on 86 minutes.
- 88' GOAL! Tiago scores on 88. Assisted by Ademir Santos
- 90' Pierre picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 90' The EC Bahia manager makes a substitution. Ademir Santos departs to be replaced by Kayky.
- 2-3 the final result. EC Bahia will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 90'
- 2
- 12
- 14
-
33
David Duarte ↓ Everton Ribeiro 60'
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
Bench
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 60'
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↑ 78'
- 13
- 25
- 34
- 11
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 46'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 90'
- 5
-
77
Tiago ↑ 46'
- 44
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↓ Allanzinho 72'
-
5
Matheus Pereira ↓ Pablo Barbosa 71'
-
27
Adam Bareiro ↓ Deyverson 71'
- 3
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Matheus Rossetto 78'
- 14
- 30
- 34
-
80
Jose Herrera ↓ Yago Pikachu 86'
- 12
Bench
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↑ 86'
-
20
Matheus Rossetto ↑ 78'
- 16
-
18
Deyverson ↑ 71'
- 23
- 9
- 2
- 91
- 4
-
70
Pablo Barbosa ↑ 71'
- 96
-
19
Allanzinho ↑ 72'
Coach
Martin Palermo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hugo Rodallega | 4 |
| Marinho | 3 |
| Rodriguinho | 3 |
| Juninho | 2 |
| Yago Pikachu | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Felipe Pires | 1 |
| Rodriguinho | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or Fortaleza EC 72% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Fortaleza EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
64%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
64%
EC Bahia or Fortaleza EC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fortaleza EC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 19% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.