EC Bahia vs Fortaleza EC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Fortaleza EC — Serie A at Arena Fonte Nova.
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Fortaleza EC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | SC Internacional | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Nov | RB Bragantino | H | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov | EC Bahia | A | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Nov | CA Mineiro | A | 3–3 | D |
| 09 Nov | Gremio FBPA | H | 2–2 | D |
| 06 Nov | Ceará SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Nov | Santos FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | CR Flamengo | H | 1–0 | W |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Arena Fonte Nova as EC Bahia face off against Fortaleza EC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 5 minutes.
- 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rogério Ceni might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 15' Fortaleza EC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
- 20' Brenno Costa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 30' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Adam Bareiro makes it 0-1.
- 31' It’s gonna be a card for Adam Bareiro.
- 36' Against the run of play, Jose Herrera has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 41' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Ademir Santos is booked for EC Bahia — card on 45.
- 46' The whistle greets Erick as he departs to be replaced by Tiago.
- 51' Lucas Gazal has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 152 appearances.
- 56' Fortaleza EC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 60' It is a substitution in EC Bahia team. David Duarte is replaced by Everton Ribeiro on 60 minute.
- 65' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gilberto suffering a number of foals already.
- 66' Magnificent from Willian Jose! That is 69 goals in 356 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 71' A tactical swap from Fortaleza EC — Deyverson on, Adam Bareiro off on 71 minutes.
- 72' A change in the Fortaleza EC ranks — Tomas Pochettino exits the field as Allanzinho enters on 72.
- 75' Deyverson has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 75 minutes.
- 77' That is a card for Fortaleza EC. Diogo Barbosa will be fuming at that decision.
- 78' A change in the Fortaleza EC ranks — Breno Lopes exits the field as Matheus Rossetto enters on 78.
- 83' It’s gonna be a card for Brenno Costa.
- 86' A tactical swap from Fortaleza EC — Yago Pikachu on, Jose Herrera off on 86 minutes.
- 88' Assisted by Ademir Santos with the perfectly-timed delivery and Tiago makes no mistake. 2-3!
- 90' Poor challenge from Pierre. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 90' EC Bahia ring the changes. Ademir Santos has done his job and it is now time for Kayky to step up.
- With this win, Fortaleza EC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Starting XI
- 96
- 6
-
7
Ademir Santos ↓ Kayky 90'
- 2
- 12
- 14
-
33
David Duarte ↓ Everton Ribeiro 60'
- 21
- 19
- 46
- 16
Bench
-
10
Everton Ribeiro ↑ 60'
- 4
-
8
Cauly ↑ 78'
- 13
- 25
- 34
- 11
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 46'
-
37
Kayky ↑ 90'
- 5
-
77
Tiago ↑ 46'
- 44
Coach
Rogério Ceni
Fortaleza EC Lineups
Starting XI
- 6
-
7
Tomas Pochettino ↓ Allanzinho 72'
-
5
Matheus Pereira ↓ Pablo Barbosa 71'
-
27
Adam Bareiro ↓ Deyverson 71'
- 3
-
26
Breno Lopes ↓ Matheus Rossetto 78'
- 14
- 30
- 34
-
80
Jose Herrera ↓ Yago Pikachu 86'
- 12
Bench
-
22
Yago Pikachu ↑ 86'
-
20
Matheus Rossetto ↑ 78'
- 16
-
18
Deyverson ↑ 71'
- 23
- 9
- 2
- 91
- 4
-
70
Pablo Barbosa ↑ 71'
- 96
-
19
Allanzinho ↑ 72'
Coach
Martin Palermo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hugo Rodallega | 4 |
| Rodriguinho | 3 |
| Marinho | 3 |
| Yago Pikachu | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Juninho | 2 |
| Tomas Pochettino | 1 |
| Renato Kayzer | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.52
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
Fortaleza EC xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or Fortaleza EC 72% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Fortaleza EC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
64%
Draw or Fortaleza EC
64%
EC Bahia or Fortaleza EC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fortaleza EC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
8%
0 – 0
6.8%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6%
2 – 0
5.7%
0 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Fortaleza EC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 19% | 63% |
| -0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +1 | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Fortaleza EC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.