Sunday , 18 October 2026

Derby County FC vs West Ham United FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 4

FA Cup · 2022-23
Mon 30 Jan 2023 · 19:45 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs West Ham United FC — FA Cup at Pride Park.

Head-to-Head

2
Derby County FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals West Ham United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jan West Ham United FC H 0–2 L
24 Jan Port Vale FC A 2–1 W
21 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
14 Jan Cheltenham Town FC A 3–2 W
08 Jan Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
02 Jan Accrington Stanley FC H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jan Derby County FC A 2–0 W
21 Jan Everton FC H 2–0 W
14 Jan Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–1 L
07 Jan Brentford FC A 1–0 W
04 Jan Leeds United FC A 2–2 D
30 Dec Brentford FC H 0–2 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
West Ham United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

West Ham United FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.04 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 West Ham United FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or West Ham United FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC32% Draw30% West Ham United FC38%
Actual: West Ham United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.33
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
62%
Draw or West Ham United FC
68%
Derby County FC or West Ham United FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC21% Draw51% West Ham United FC28%
Actual: West Ham United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.9%
0 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
8.9%
1 – 2
8.1%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.3%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push West Ham United FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 17% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 22% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
West Ham United FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.