Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Accrington Stanley FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Mon 2 Jan 2023 · 15:00 UTC Pride Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Jan Derby County FC A 0–4 L
29 Dec Morecambe FC A 0–2 L
26 Dec Barnsley FC H 1–1 D
03 Dec Oxford United FC H 1–1 D
26 Nov Barnet FC H 1–0 W
19 Nov Cambridge United FC A 1–0 W

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.97 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.56 Accrington Stanley FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC to win 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC68% Draw21% Accrington Stanley FC11%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes38% 0% No62%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
89%
Draw or Accrington Stanley FC
32%
Derby County FC or Accrington Stanley FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC48% Draw44% Accrington Stanley FC8%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.2%
2 – 0
15.1%
0 – 0
9.7%
3 – 0
9.7%
1 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
5.6%
4 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.4%
1 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Accrington Stanley FC covers
-2.5 23% 77%
-2 23% 22% 56%
-1.5 44% 56%
-1 44% 25% 30%
-0.5 70% 30%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 6% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
57%
Accrington Stanley FC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.