Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Port Vale FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 24 Jan 2023 · 19:45 UTC Vale Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
3
Port Vale FC 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Derby County FC H 1–2 L
16 Jan Peterborough United FC H 0–2 L
01 Jan Forest Green Rovers FC A 3–1 W
29 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–2 L
26 Dec Morecambe FC H 1–0 W
10 Dec Bristol Rovers FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Port Vale FC A 2–1 W
21 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
14 Jan Cheltenham Town FC A 3–2 W
08 Jan Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
02 Jan Accrington Stanley FC H 4–0 W
30 Dec Cambridge United FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Vale Park will turn into a battlefield for Port Vale FC and Derby County FC.
  • 2' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Dennis Politic.
  • 7' Port Vale FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 12' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 17' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 22' With 0 assists to his name this season, Daniel Jones is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Port Vale FC.
  • 27' Port Vale FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 32' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Port Vale FC that had 153 games and scored 112 goals.
  • 37' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Darrell Clarke will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 42' Nathan Smith has been relatively quiet despite scoring 5 goals in his last 153 appearances.
  • 47' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Funso-King Ojo suffering a number of foals already.
  • 52' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 56' Port Vale FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Funso-King Ojo on 56.
  • 61' Tony Springett is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Port Vale FC so far.
  • 63' Ademipo Odubeko is replacing Dennis Politic for the Port Vale FC side.
  • 68' Derby County FC make a change. Tom Barkhuizen trudges off to be replaced by James Collins on 68 minutes.
  • 73' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 74' It is a substitution in Port Vale FC team. Daniel Butterworth is replaced by Tom Pett on 74 minute.
  • 79' David McGoldrick has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 5 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 80' Fresh legs for Port Vale FC! William Forrester comes on to replace Lewis Cass.
  • 85' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 88' David McGoldrick does the damage! The net is bulging and Derby County FC surge ahead!
  • 89' A goal from the Guatemala international Nathaniel Mendez-Laing! He fires home on 89 to make it 1-2!
  • 90' Another change for Derby County FC made on 90 minute. David McGoldrick leaves to be changed by Jake Rooney.
  • 90' Derby County FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • It finishes all square. Port Vale FC and Derby County FC share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.28 Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Port Vale FC or Derby County FC 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC32% Draw28% Derby County FC40%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Port Vale FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Derby County FC
68%
Port Vale FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC24% Draw46% Derby County FC30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.5%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC

Handicap Port Vale FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.