Saturday , 14 November 2026

Port Vale FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 24 Jan 2023 · 19:45 UTC Vale Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
3
Port Vale FC 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Derby County FC H 1–2 L
16 Jan Peterborough United FC H 0–2 L
01 Jan Forest Green Rovers FC A 3–1 W
29 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–2 L
26 Dec Morecambe FC H 1–0 W
10 Dec Bristol Rovers FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Port Vale FC A 2–1 W
21 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
14 Jan Cheltenham Town FC A 3–2 W
08 Jan Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
02 Jan Accrington Stanley FC H 4–0 W
30 Dec Cambridge United FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Port Vale FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 2' That is a Yellow card for Port Vale FC. Dennis Politic will be fuming at that decision.
  • 7' Port Vale FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 12' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 12 minutes.
  • 17' Port Vale FC have won 112 goals from 153 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 22' The 30-year-old Joseph Wildsmith has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 27' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 32' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 37' Malvind Benning has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 42' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 47' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 52' Over 52 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 56' The Belgium Funso-King Ojo breaks the deadlock on 56 minutes. 1-0!
  • 61' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 63' The crowd applauds Dennis Politic as he leaves the pitch. Ademipo Odubeko steps in for Port Vale FC.
  • 68' Another change for Derby County FC made on 68 minute. Tom Barkhuizen leaves to be changed by James Collins.
  • 73' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 74' The whistle greets Daniel Butterworth as he departs to be replaced by Tom Pett.
  • 79' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 80' William Forrester gets the nod from Port Vale FC. He replaces Lewis Cass and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 85' Nathan Smith has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 88' David McGoldrick is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the forward.
  • 89' What a strike from Nathaniel Mendez-Laing! The score is 1-2.
  • 90' Jake Rooney is replacing David McGoldrick for the Derby County FC side.
  • 90' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 90.
  • The final score is 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.28 Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Port Vale FC or Derby County FC 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC32% Draw28% Derby County FC40%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Port Vale FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Derby County FC
68%
Port Vale FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC24% Draw46% Derby County FC30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.5%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC

Handicap Port Vale FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.