Sunday , 16 August 2026

Port Vale FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 24 Jan 2023 · 19:45 UTC Vale Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
3
Port Vale FC 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Derby County FC H 1–2 L
16 Jan Peterborough United FC H 0–2 L
01 Jan Forest Green Rovers FC A 3–1 W
29 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–2 L
26 Dec Morecambe FC H 1–0 W
10 Dec Bristol Rovers FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Port Vale FC A 2–1 W
21 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
14 Jan Cheltenham Town FC A 3–2 W
08 Jan Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
02 Jan Accrington Stanley FC H 4–0 W
30 Dec Cambridge United FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Port Vale FC and Derby County FC is underway.
  • 2' That is a Yellow card for Port Vale FC. Dennis Politic will be fuming at that decision.
  • 7' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 12' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 17' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 22' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 27' Joseph Wildsmith is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Derby County FC so far.
  • 32' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 37' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Port Vale FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 42' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 47' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 47.
  • 52' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Darrell Clarke will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 56' GOAL! Funso-King Ojo fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 61' Both keepers have barely been tested. Port Vale FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 63' Time for substitution for Port Vale FC. Dennis Politic is replaced by Ademipo Odubeko.
  • 68' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. James Collins is hanging Tom Barkhuizen on the field on 68 minute.
  • 73' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Port Vale FC that had 153 games and scored 112 goals.
  • 74' Another change for Port Vale FC made on 74 minute. Daniel Butterworth leaves to be changed by Tom Pett.
  • 79' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Port Vale FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 80' The Port Vale FC manager makes a substitution. Lewis Cass departs to be replaced by William Forrester.
  • 85' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 88' GOAL! David McGoldrick fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 89' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Nathaniel Mendez-Laing makes no mistake. 1-2!
  • 90' The crowd applauds David McGoldrick as he leaves the pitch. Jake Rooney steps in for Derby County FC.
  • 90' The referee shows Derby County FC player a Yellow card on 90.
  • 1-2 the final result. Port Vale FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.28 Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Port Vale FC or Derby County FC 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC32% Draw28% Derby County FC40%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Port Vale FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Derby County FC
68%
Port Vale FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC24% Draw46% Derby County FC30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.5%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC

Handicap Port Vale FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.