Thursday , 2 July 2026

Port Vale FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Tue 24 Jan 2023 · 19:45 UTC Vale Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
3
Port Vale FC 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Derby County FC H 1–2 L
16 Jan Peterborough United FC H 0–2 L
01 Jan Forest Green Rovers FC A 3–1 W
29 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–2 L
26 Dec Morecambe FC H 1–0 W
10 Dec Bristol Rovers FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Jan Port Vale FC A 2–1 W
21 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
14 Jan Cheltenham Town FC A 3–2 W
08 Jan Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
02 Jan Accrington Stanley FC H 4–0 W
30 Dec Cambridge United FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Port Vale FC and Derby County FC has kicked off!
  • 2' Controversy at the stadium! Dennis Politic argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 7' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Port Vale FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 12' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 17' Port Vale FC is showing some good football. However, Port Vale FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 22' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 22 minutes.
  • 27' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 32' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Port Vale FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 37' It’s high time Darrell Clarke made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 42' The home supporters are growing impatient. Port Vale FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 47' It is a cagey affair so far. Port Vale FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
  • 52' Lewis Cass has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 56' A stunning finish from Funso-King Ojo — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 63' Ademipo Odubeko gets the nod from Port Vale FC. He replaces Dennis Politic and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' Another change for Derby County FC made on 68 minute. Tom Barkhuizen leaves to be changed by James Collins.
  • 73' Jason Knight has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 74' Port Vale FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tom Pett is hanging Daniel Butterworth on the field on 74 minute.
  • 79' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 80' Another substitution for Port Vale FC to replace Lewis Cass by William Forrester on 80 minute.
  • 85' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 88' Goal! David McGoldrick scores his 60 goal in 366 matches.
  • 89' Sensational shot from Nathaniel Mendez-Laing. Derby County FC is back in the lead.
  • 90' Jake Rooney has so much to prove this time. He replaces David McGoldrick on 90 minute.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Nathaniel Mendez-Laing. He receives a Yellow card.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Derby County FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.28 Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Port Vale FC or Derby County FC 72% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC32% Draw28% Derby County FC40%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Port Vale FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Derby County FC
68%
Port Vale FC or Derby County FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC24% Draw46% Derby County FC30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.5%
0 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
7.4%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC

Handicap Port Vale FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 60% 40%
+1 60% 20% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 12% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.