Sunday , 15 November 2026

Cheltenham Town FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 14 Jan 2023 · 15:00 UTC Jonny-Rocks Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
3
Cheltenham Town FC 4 games · Avg 3.0 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan Derby County FC H 2–3 L
07 Jan Morecambe FC A 1–2 L
01 Jan Bristol Rovers FC A 1–2 L
29 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–0 W
26 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–1 L
10 Dec Forest Green Rovers FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan Cheltenham Town FC A 3–2 W
08 Jan Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
02 Jan Accrington Stanley FC H 4–0 W
30 Dec Cambridge United FC H 1–0 W
27 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
17 Dec Forest Green Rovers FC H 4–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Cheltenham Town FC and Derby County FC has kicked off!
  • 2' Magnificent from Caleb Taylor! That is 9 goals in 392 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 7' The energy levels are beginning to show. Wade Elliott might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 8' Conor Hourihane has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 8 minutes.
  • 11' What a moment for Max Bird! That strike on 11 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 16' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for David McGoldrick suffering a number of foals already.
  • 19' The referee has no hesitation. Craig Forsyth is booked for Derby County FC — Yellow card on 19.
  • 24' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 24 minutes.
  • 29' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cheltenham Town FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 34' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Cheltenham Town FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 39' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 44' Cheltenham Town FC ring the changes. Liam Sercombe has done his job and it is now time for Taylor Perry to step up.
  • 49' Cheltenham Town FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 54' Cheltenham Town FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 54.
  • 55' The deadlock is broken! Tom Barkhuizen gets on the scoresheet on 55 minutes.
  • 57' Cheltenham Town FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 57.
  • 62' James Olayinka gets the nod from Cheltenham Town FC. He replaces Will Ferry and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 63' Curtis Davies has so much to prove this time. He replaces Eiran Cashin on 63 minute.
  • 68' Ben Williams was booked on 68.
  • 69' David McGoldrick gets the nod from Derby County FC. He replaces Conor Hourihane and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 74' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 77' Alfie May is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the forward.
  • 82' Cheltenham Town FC ring the changes. Elliott Bonds has done his job and it is now time for Charlie Brown to step up.
  • 84' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for James Collins.
  • 85' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Jake Rooney comes on to replace James Collins.
  • 90' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46 Cheltenham Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Cheltenham Town FC or Derby County FC 75% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cheltenham Town FC30% Draw25% Derby County FC45%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Cheltenham Town FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Derby County FC
70%
Cheltenham Town FC or Derby County FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cheltenham Town FC24% Draw42% Derby County FC34%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
6.2%
0 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Cheltenham Town FC

Handicap Cheltenham Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 20% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Cheltenham Town FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.