Sunday , 16 August 2026

Cheltenham Town FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 14 Jan 2023 · 15:00 UTC Jonny-Rocks Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
3
Cheltenham Town FC 4 games · Avg 3.0 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan Derby County FC H 2–3 L
07 Jan Morecambe FC A 1–2 L
01 Jan Bristol Rovers FC A 1–2 L
29 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–0 W
26 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–1 L
10 Dec Forest Green Rovers FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan Cheltenham Town FC A 3–2 W
08 Jan Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
02 Jan Accrington Stanley FC H 4–0 W
30 Dec Cambridge United FC H 1–0 W
27 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
17 Dec Forest Green Rovers FC H 4–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Cheltenham Town FC get us underway at Jonny-Rocks Stadium.
  • 2' Magnificent from Caleb Taylor! That is 7 goals in 377 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 7' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 8' Conor Hourihane has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 8 minutes.
  • 11' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Max Bird makes it 1-2.
  • 16' The 33-year-old Tom Barkhuizen has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 19' Craig Forsyth is having his name booked by the referee on 19.
  • 24' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 29' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cheltenham Town FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 34' Both keepers have barely been tested. Cheltenham Town FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 39' England international Ryan Jackson has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 44' The crowd applauds Liam Sercombe as he leaves the pitch. Taylor Perry steps in for Cheltenham Town FC.
  • 49' Over 49 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 54' Supporters expect more eagerness from Will Ferry, as he is very good at scoring at Jonny-Rocks Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 55' Against the run of play, Tom Barkhuizen has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 57' Will Ferry has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 57.
  • 62' Cheltenham Town FC make a change. Will Ferry trudges off to be replaced by James Olayinka on 62 minutes.
  • 63' Derby County FC make a change. Eiran Cashin trudges off to be replaced by Curtis Davies on 63 minutes.
  • 68' The referee shows Cheltenham Town FC player a Yellow card on 68.
  • 69' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Conor Hourihane by David McGoldrick on 69 minute.
  • 74' Louie Sibley has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 77' Goal! Alfie May scores his 99 goal in 235 matches.
  • 82' Charlie Brown has so much to prove this time. He replaces Elliott Bonds on 82 minute.
  • 84' James Collins has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 84.
  • 85' The supporters are chanting for Jake Rooney. He replaces James Collins on 85 minute.
  • 90' James Collins has been relatively quiet despite scoring 91 goals in his last 382 appearances.
  • The points are shared — Cheltenham Town FC 2-3 Derby County FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46 Cheltenham Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Cheltenham Town FC or Derby County FC 75% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cheltenham Town FC30% Draw25% Derby County FC45%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Cheltenham Town FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Derby County FC
70%
Cheltenham Town FC or Derby County FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cheltenham Town FC24% Draw42% Derby County FC34%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
6.2%
0 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Cheltenham Town FC

Handicap Cheltenham Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 20% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Cheltenham Town FC keeps clean sheet
17%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.