Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cheltenham Town FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 14 Jan 2023 · 15:00 UTC Jonny-Rocks Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
3
Cheltenham Town FC 4 games · Avg 3.0 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan Derby County FC H 2–3 L
07 Jan Morecambe FC A 1–2 L
01 Jan Bristol Rovers FC A 1–2 L
29 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–0 W
26 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–1 L
10 Dec Forest Green Rovers FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan Cheltenham Town FC A 3–2 W
08 Jan Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
02 Jan Accrington Stanley FC H 4–0 W
30 Dec Cambridge United FC H 1–0 W
27 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
17 Dec Forest Green Rovers FC H 4–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46 Cheltenham Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Cheltenham Town FC or Derby County FC 75% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cheltenham Town FC30% Draw25% Derby County FC45%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Cheltenham Town FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Derby County FC
70%
Cheltenham Town FC or Derby County FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cheltenham Town FC24% Draw42% Derby County FC34%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
6.2%
0 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Cheltenham Town FC

Handicap Cheltenham Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 20% 25%
+1.5 75% 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

Cheltenham Town FC keeps clean sheet
17%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.