Thursday , 1 October 2026

Cheltenham Town FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 14 Jan 2023 · 15:00 UTC Jonny-Rocks Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
3
Cheltenham Town FC 4 games · Avg 3.0 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan Derby County FC H 2–3 L
07 Jan Morecambe FC A 1–2 L
01 Jan Bristol Rovers FC A 1–2 L
29 Dec Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–0 W
26 Dec Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–1 L
10 Dec Forest Green Rovers FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan Cheltenham Town FC A 3–2 W
08 Jan Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
02 Jan Accrington Stanley FC H 4–0 W
30 Dec Cambridge United FC H 1–0 W
27 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC A 0–0 D
17 Dec Forest Green Rovers FC H 4–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Jonny-Rocks Stadium. Cheltenham Town FC are looking to make home advantage count against Derby County FC.
  • 2' What a moment for Caleb Taylor! That strike on 2 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 7' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 8' What an equalizer from Conor Hourihane!
  • 11' The deadlock is broken! Max Bird gets on the scoresheet on 11 minutes.
  • 16' Cheltenham Town FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 19' Craig Forsyth catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 19.
  • 24' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 29' Derby County FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 34' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 390 games and scored 457 goals.
  • 39' A quiet spell here at Jonny-Rocks Stadium. Cheltenham Town FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 44' The supporters are chanting for Taylor Perry. He replaces Liam Sercombe on 44 minute.
  • 49' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 54' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 55' Tom Barkhuizen has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 55 minutes.
  • 57' Will Ferry picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 62' James Olayinka has so much to prove this time. He replaces Will Ferry on 62 minute.
  • 63' Derby County FC ring the changes. Eiran Cashin has done his job and it is now time for Curtis Davies to step up.
  • 68' Controversy at the stadium! Ben Williams argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for David McGoldrick. He replaces Conor Hourihane on 69 minute.
  • 74' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 77' Brilliant from the forward! Alfie May makes it 2-3 with a superb finish on 77.
  • 82' The supporters are chanting for Charlie Brown. He replaces Elliott Bonds on 82 minute.
  • 84' Controversy at the stadium! James Collins argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
  • 85' The supporters are chanting for Jake Rooney. He replaces James Collins on 85 minute.
  • 90' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • Full Time. Derby County FC beats Cheltenham Town FC

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46 Cheltenham Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.8 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Cheltenham Town FC or Derby County FC 75% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cheltenham Town FC30% Draw25% Derby County FC45%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Cheltenham Town FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Derby County FC
70%
Cheltenham Town FC or Derby County FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cheltenham Town FC24% Draw42% Derby County FC34%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.7%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 2
6.2%
0 – 1
6.2%
0 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
5.2%
1 – 0
4.8%
2 – 0
4.1%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Cheltenham Town FC

Handicap Cheltenham Town FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 16% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 20% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 14% 11%
+2.5 89% — 11%

Clean Sheet

Cheltenham Town FC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.