Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Sunderland AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 21 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 27,441 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 28' Eliezer Mayenda

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Sunderland AFC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Samuel Allison
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
  • Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov
4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 10.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

2
Derby County FC 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Sunderland AFC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Sunderland AFC H 0–1 L
18 Jan Watford FC H 0–2 L
14 Jan Leyton Orient FC A 5–6 L
04 Jan Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
01 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–4 L
29 Dec Leeds United FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Derby County FC A 1–0 W
17 Jan Burnley FC A 0–0 D
11 Jan Stoke City FC H 1–2 L
05 Jan Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
01 Jan Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W
29 Dec Stoke City FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Sunderland AFC gets underway.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Sunderland AFC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Derby County FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' It looks like no one’s ball. Sunderland AFC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 25' Sunderland AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 28' Against the run of play, Eliezer Mayenda has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 33' Jobe Bellingham catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 33.
  • 38' Jerry Yates needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 20 Yellow cards this season.
  • 43' Derby County FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sunderland AFC backline.
  • 48' A quiet spell here at Pride Park Stadium. Sunderland AFC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 50' The referee calls foul for Marcus Harness. He receives a card.
  • 55' Sunderland AFC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 58' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Corey Blackett-Taylor is hanging Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on the field on 58 minute.
  • 59' Kayden Jackson makes way for Lars-Jorgen Salvesen at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 64' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 69' Over 69 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 73' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Kane Wilson by Thomas Barkhuizen on 73 minute.
  • 74' Daniel Ballard is replacing Dennis Cirkin for the Sunderland AFC side.
  • 79' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 84' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Marcus Harness made 379 appearances and scored 51 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 86' The supporters are chanting for Salis Abdul Samed. He replaces Chris Rigg on 86 minute.
  • 89' Leo Hjelde is ready to make an impact after coming on for Enzo Le Fee at the 89 minute mark.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.68 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Sunderland AFC xG
I would bet for: Sunderland AFC or Draw 77% + Under 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC23% Draw33% Sunderland AFC44%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Sunderland AFC
77%
Derby County FC or Sunderland AFC
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC14% Draw57% Sunderland AFC29%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
19.1%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 2
9.8%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 1
4.2%
0 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.7%
2 – 2
2.5%
0 – 4
1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Sunderland AFC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 15% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 25% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 13% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
51% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.