Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Sunderland AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 21 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 27,441 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 28' Eliezer Mayenda

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Sunderland AFCChampionship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Samuel Allison
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
  • Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov

Head-to-Head

2
Derby County FC 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Sunderland AFC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Sunderland AFC H 0–1 L
18 Jan Watford FC H 0–2 L
14 Jan Leyton Orient FC A 5–6 L
04 Jan Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
01 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–4 L
29 Dec Leeds United FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Derby County FC A 1–0 W
17 Jan Burnley FC A 0–0 D
11 Jan Stoke City FC H 1–2 L
05 Jan Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
01 Jan Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W
29 Dec Stoke City FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Derby County FC to score. At the same time, Sunderland AFC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Callum Elder, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Chris Mepham made 344 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 15' Sunderland AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 15.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 28' Sunderland AFC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Eliezer Mayenda on 28.
  • 33' The referee shows Sunderland AFC player a card on 33.
  • 38' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 43' The travelling Sunderland AFC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 48' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 48 minutes.
  • 50' Marcus Harness was booked on 50.
  • 55' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 58' Corey Blackett-Taylor has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on 58 minute.
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Lars-Jorgen Salvesen. He replaces Kayden Jackson on 59 minute.
  • 64' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 69' Sunderland AFC is showing some good football. However, Sunderland AFC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 73' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Thomas Barkhuizen is hanging Kane Wilson on the field on 73 minute.
  • 74' Daniel Ballard has so much to prove this time. He replaces Dennis Cirkin on 74 minute.
  • 79' Sunderland AFC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 84' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Patrick Roberts suffering a number of foals already.
  • 86' Salis Abdul Samed is replacing Chris Rigg for the Sunderland AFC side.
  • 89' The Sunderland AFC manager makes a substitution. Enzo Le Fee departs to be replaced by Leo Hjelde.
  • The final score is 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.68 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Sunderland AFC xG
I would bet for: Sunderland AFC or Draw 77% + Under 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC23% Draw33% Sunderland AFC44%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Sunderland AFC
77%
Derby County FC or Sunderland AFC
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC14% Draw57% Sunderland AFC29%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
19.1%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 2
9.8%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 1
4.2%
0 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.7%
2 – 2
2.5%
0 – 4
1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Sunderland AFC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 15% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 25% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 13% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
51%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.