Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Sunderland AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 1 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC Stadium of Light 39,017 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jobe Bellingham 40' 1–0
Wilson Isidor 55' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Sunderland AFC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Stadium of Light.

Match Details

  • Referee Dean Whitestone
  • Assistant 1 Daniel Leach
  • Assistant 2 Paul Hodskinson
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Sunderland AFC 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Derby County FC H 2–0 W
28 Sep Watford FC A 1–2 L
21 Sep Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
14 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–3 L
31 Aug Portsmouth FC A 3–1 W
24 Aug Burnley FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L
28 Sep Norwich City FC H 2–3 L
21 Sep Sheffield United FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Cardiff City FC H 1–0 W
31 Aug Bristol City FC H 3–0 W
24 Aug Watford FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Sunderland AFC to score. At the same time, Derby County FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kenzo Goudmijn suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' Jerry Yates needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 25' Controversy at the stadium! Dennis Cirkin argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 30' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dennis Cirkin is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 35' Ben Osborn has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 36' Poor challenge from Marcus Harness. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 40' GOAL! Jobe Bellingham scores on 40.
  • 45' England international Nathaniel Phillips has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 50' Derby County FC come into this ranked 13 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 55' The Haiti Wilson Isidor breaks the deadlock on 55 minutes. 2-0!
  • 59' Sunderland AFC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 64' Derby County FC have won 459 goals from 393 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 65' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Tawanda Chirewa departs to be replaced by Craig Forsyth.
  • 66' Kayden Jackson is replacing Marcus Harness for the Derby County FC side.
  • 71' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 74' Sunderland AFC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Alan Browne is hanging Chris Rigg on the field on 74 minute.
  • 79' It is a cagey affair so far. Sunderland AFC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact 5-4-1.
  • 84' Sunderland AFC currently sit 2 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 85' Tom Watson is replacing Ian Poveda for the Sunderland AFC side.
  • 89' Kenzo Goudmijn is having his name booked by the referee on 89.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Derby County FC.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 Sunderland AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.56 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 65% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sunderland AFC60% Draw26% Derby County FC14%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Sunderland AFC or Draw
86%
Draw or Derby County FC
40%
Sunderland AFC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC40% Draw51% Derby County FC9%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
17.9%
0 – 0
14.3%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8%
3 – 0
7.1%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.8%
2 – 2
2.3%
0 – 2
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Sunderland AFC

Handicap Sunderland AFC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 19% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 27% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
57% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.