Thursday , 2 July 2026

Sunderland AFC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 1 Oct 2024 · 18:45 UTC Stadium of Light 39,017 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jobe Bellingham 40' 1–0
Wilson Isidor 55' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Sunderland AFC vs Derby County FCChampionship at Stadium of Light.

Match Details

  • Referee Dean Whitestone
  • Assistant 1 Daniel Leach
  • Assistant 2 Paul Hodskinson

Head-to-Head

2
Sunderland AFC 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Derby County FC H 2–0 W
28 Sep Watford FC A 1–2 L
21 Sep Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
14 Sep Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–3 L
31 Aug Portsmouth FC A 3–1 W
24 Aug Burnley FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Sunderland AFC A 0–2 L
28 Sep Norwich City FC H 2–3 L
21 Sep Sheffield United FC A 0–1 L
14 Sep Cardiff City FC H 1–0 W
31 Aug Bristol City FC H 3–0 W
24 Aug Watford FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Derby County FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ben Osborn, as he is very good at scoring at Stadium of Light with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 10' Sunderland AFC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Curtis Nelson suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' Sunderland AFC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 25' The referee shows Sunderland AFC player a card on 25.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 36' The referee calls foul for Marcus Harness. He receives a card.
  • 40' Sunderland AFC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Jobe Bellingham on 40.
  • 45' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 50' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 55' Goal! Wilson Isidor scores his 37 goal in 422 matches.
  • 59' The referee calls foul for Chris Mepham. He receives a card.
  • 64' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 65' Craig Forsyth has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tawanda Chirewa on 65 minute.
  • 66' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Marcus Harness is replaced by Kayden Jackson on 66 minute.
  • 71' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 74' Alan Browne has so much to prove this time. He replaces Chris Rigg on 74 minute.
  • 79' Kane Wilson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 84' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Sunderland AFC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 85' The whistle greets Ian Poveda as he departs to be replaced by Tom Watson.
  • 89' Derby County FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Derby County FC.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.55 Sunderland AFC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.56 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under — clean sheet likely 65% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sunderland AFC60% Draw26% Derby County FC14%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Sunderland AFC or Draw
86%
Draw or Derby County FC
40%
Sunderland AFC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Sunderland AFC40% Draw51% Derby County FC9%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
17.9%
0 – 0
14.3%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
8%
3 – 0
7.1%
0 – 1
5.7%
3 – 1
4.2%
1 – 2
2.8%
4 – 0
2.8%
2 – 2
2.3%
0 – 2
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Sunderland AFC

Handicap Sunderland AFC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 19% 67%
-1.5 33% 67%
-1 33% 27% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 9% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
57%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.