Derby County FC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2024-25

Derby County FC

0 – 1

Full Time

Leeds United FC

Sun 29 Dec 2024 · 17:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 32,240 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 79' Brenden Aaronson

Marcus Harness 32' Y

Y 68' Ethan Ampadu

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Leeds United FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Leeds United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Andy Davies (England)
Assistant 1 Graham Kane
Assistant 2 Lee Venamore

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Hull City AFC	46	73
4	Oxford United FC	46	47
5	Leicester City FC	46	46
6	Blackburn Rovers FC	1	1
7	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	1	1
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	0	0
9	Millwall FC	0	0
10	Middlesbrough FC	0	0
11	Swansea City AFC	0	0
12	Charlton Athletic FC	0	0
13	West Bromwich Albion FC	0	0
14	Bolton Wanderers FC	0	0
15	Birmingham City FC	0	0
16	Sheffield United FC	0	0
17	Southampton FC	0	0
18	Wrexham AFC	0	0
19	Watford FC	0	0
20	Burnley FC	0	0
21	Cardiff City FC	0	0
22	West Ham United FC	0	0
23	Derby County FC	0	0
24	Norwich City FC	0	0
25	Preston North End FC	0	0
26	Stoke City FC	0	0
27	Lincoln City FC	0	0
28	Portsmouth FC	0	0
29	Bristol City FC	0	0
30	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 9 games · Avg 3.0 goals Leeds United FC

Last 5 meetings

2024-12-29 Derby County FC 0–1 Leeds United FC 2024-12-07 Leeds United FC 2–0 Derby County FC 2020-07-19 Derby County FC 1–3 Leeds United FC 2019-09-21 Leeds United FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2019-05-15 Leeds United FC 2–4 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Dec	Leeds United FC	H	0–1	L
26 Dec	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	2–1	W
20 Dec	Luton Town FC	A	1–2	L
13 Dec	Portsmouth FC	H	4–0	W
10 Dec	Burnley FC	A	0–0	D
07 Dec	Leeds United FC	A	0–2	L

Leeds United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
29 Dec	Derby County FC	A	1–0	W
26 Dec	Stoke City FC	A	2–0	W
21 Dec	Oxford United FC	H	4–0	W
14 Dec	Preston North End FC	A	1–1	D
10 Dec	Middlesbrough FC	H	3–1	W
07 Dec	Derby County FC	H	2–0	W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

–/1

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds Pride Park Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Derby County FC and Leeds United FC.
5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
10' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Derby County FC and Leeds United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
15' Leeds United FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
20' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
32' It’s gonna be a card for Marcus Harness.
37' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Daniel Farke will be considering his options from the bench.
42' Derby County FC have won 452 goals from 385 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
47' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Leeds United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
52' Derby County FC currently sit 14 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
57' Leeds United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
62' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
67' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Corey Blackett-Taylor comes on to replace Nathaniel Mendez-Laing.
68' Ethan Ampadu was booked on 68.
71' A tactical swap from Leeds United FC — Daniel James on, Wilfried Gnonto off on 71 minutes.
73' It is a substitution in Derby County FC team. Marcus Harness is replaced by Tawanda Chirewa on 73 minute.
78' Daniel James has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
79' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Brenden Aaronson makes it 0-1.
84' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
86' The supporters are chanting for James Collins. He replaces Jerry Yates on 86 minute.
89' Brenden Aaronson makes way for Patrick Bamford at the 89 minute mark. A tactical switch from Leeds United FC.
90' The crowd applauds Ao Tanaka as he leaves the pitch. Josuha Guilavogui steps in for Leeds United FC.
Another three points for Leeds United FC.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Dajaune Brown 86'
18
Marcus Harness ↓ Tawanda Chirewa 73'
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing ↓ Corey Blackett-Taylor 67'
19
Kayden Jackson ↓ Thomas Barkhuizen 73'
2
Kane Wilson
35
Curtis Nelson
10
Jerry Yates ↓ James Collins 86'
32
Ebou Adams
20
Callum Elder
12
Nathaniel Phillips
1
Jacob Widell Zetterstrom

Bench

Coach Paul Warne

Leeds United FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

4
Ethan Ampadu
6
Joe Rodon
25
Sam Byram
2
Jayden Bogle
5
Pascal Struijk
1
Illan Meslier
22
Ao Tanaka ↓ Josuha Guilavogui 90'
11
Brenden Aaronson ↓ Patrick Bamford 89'
17
Largie Ramazani ↓ Manor Solomon 71'
29
Wilfried Gnonto ↓ Daniel James 71'
19
Mateo Fernandez ↓ Joel Piroe 71'

Bench

7
Daniel James ↑ 71'
26
Karl Darlow
9
Patrick Bamford ↑ 89'
8
Joe Rothwell
23
Josuha Guilavogui ↑ 90'
14
Manor Solomon ↑ 71'
10
Joel Piroe ↑ 71'
33
Isaac Schmidt
37
James Debayo

Coach Daniel Farke

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kemar Roofe	4
Kemar Roofe	2
Jack Marriott	2
Stuart Dallas	2
Chris Martin	2
Mateusz Klich	1
Max Lowe	1
Tom Lawrence	1

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

2024-12-29 Derby County FC 0–1 Leeds United FC L 2024-12-26 Derby County FC 2–1 West Bromwich Albion FC W 2024-12-20 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC L 2024-12-13 Derby County FC 4–0 Portsmouth FC W 2024-12-10 Burnley FC 0–0 Derby County FC D 2024-12-07 Leeds United FC 2–0 Derby County FC L

Leeds United FC Form

2024-12-29 Derby County FC 0–1 Leeds United FC W 2024-12-26 Stoke City FC 0–2 Leeds United FC W 2024-12-21 Leeds United FC 4–0 Oxford United FC W 2024-12-14 Preston North End FC 1–1 Leeds United FC D 2024-12-10 Leeds United FC 3–1 Middlesbrough FC W 2024-12-07 Leeds United FC 2–0 Derby County FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.2 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.22 Leeds United FC xG

I would bet for: Derby County FC or Leeds United FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC33% Draw29% Leeds United FC38%

Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.42

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	70%	30%
± 2.5	43%	57%
± 3.5	23%	77%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

62%

Draw or Leeds United FC

67%

Derby County FC or Leeds United FC

71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC25% Draw50% Leeds United FC25%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14%

0 – 0

11%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

9.5%

1 – 2

7.7%

2 – 1

7.5%

0 – 2

6.4%

2 – 0

6.2%

2 – 2

4.7%

1 – 3

3.2%

3 – 1

3.1%

0 – 3

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Leeds United FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	19%	66%
-0.5	34%	—	66%
+0.5	65%	—	35%
+1	65%	20%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.