Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Derby County FC
0 – 1
Full Time
Leeds United FC
Sun 29 Dec 2024 · 17:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 32,240 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 79' Brenden Aaronson
Marcus Harness 32' Y
Y 68' Ethan Ampadu

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Leeds United FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Davies (England)
  • Assistant 1 Graham Kane
  • Assistant 2 Lee Venamore

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Coventry City FC 46 95
2 Ipswich Town FC 46 84
3 Millwall FC 46 83
4 Southampton FC 46 80
5 Middlesbrough FC 46 80
6 Hull City AFC 46 73
7 Wrexham AFC 46 71
8 Derby County FC 46 69
9 Norwich City FC 46 65
10 Birmingham City FC 46 64
11 Swansea City AFC 46 64
12 Bristol City FC 46 62
13 Sheffield United FC 46 60
14 Preston North End FC 46 60
15 Queens Park Rangers FC 46 58
16 Watford FC 46 57
17 Stoke City FC 46 55
18 Portsmouth FC 46 55
19 Charlton Athletic FC 46 53
20 Blackburn Rovers FC 46 52
21 West Bromwich Albion FC 46 51
22 Oxford United FC 46 47
23 Leicester City FC 46 46
24 Sheffield Wednesday FC 46 0

Head-to-Head

1
1
7
Derby County FC 9 games · Avg 3.0 goals Leeds United FC
Last 5 meetings
2024-12-29 Derby County FC 0–1 Leeds United FC 2024-12-07 Leeds United FC 2–0 Derby County FC 2020-07-19 Derby County FC 1–3 Leeds United FC 2019-09-21 Leeds United FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2019-05-15 Leeds United FC 2–4 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Leeds United FC H 0–1 L
26 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
20 Dec Luton Town FC A 1–2 L
13 Dec Portsmouth FC H 4–0 W
10 Dec Burnley FC A 0–0 D
07 Dec Leeds United FC A 0–2 L
Leeds United FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Dec Derby County FC A 1–0 W
26 Dec Stoke City FC A 2–0 W
21 Dec Oxford United FC H 4–0 W
14 Dec Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
10 Dec Middlesbrough FC H 3–1 W
07 Dec Derby County FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Derby County FC is hosting Leeds United FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Derby County FC and Leeds United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Daniel Farke might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 15' Leeds United FC have won 532 goals from 358 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 25' Derby County FC currently sit 14 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' Both keepers have barely been tested. Derby County FC and Leeds United FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 32' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Marcus Harness on 32 minutes.
  • 37' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 42' Leeds United FC come into this ranked 1 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 47' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 52' The travelling Leeds United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 57' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 62' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 67' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing departs to be replaced by Corey Blackett-Taylor.
  • 68' A moment of madness from Ethan Ampadu on 68 minutes earns him a card. Leeds United FC will be frustrated.
  • 71' A change in the Leeds United FC ranks — Wilfried Gnonto exits the field as Daniel James enters on 71.
  • 73' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Marcus Harness is replaced by Tawanda Chirewa.
  • 78' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 79' Leeds United FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Brenden Aaronson on 79.
  • 84' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Leeds United FC that had 358 games and scored 532 goals.
  • 86' James Collins is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jerry Yates at the 86 minute mark.
  • 89' Patrick Bamford is ready to make an impact after coming on for Brenden Aaronson at the 89 minute mark.
  • 90' Leeds United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Josuha Guilavogui is hanging Ao Tanaka on the field on 90 minute.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Leeds United FC players.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Paul Warne

Leeds United FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Daniel Farke

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Kemar Roofe 4
Kemar Roofe 2
Jack Marriott 2
Stuart Dallas 2
Chris Martin 2
Jamie Shackleton 1
Mateusz Klich 1
Joe Rodon 1

Head to Head

2024-12-29 Derby County FC 0–1 Leeds United FC 2024-12-07 Leeds United FC 2–0 Derby County FC 2020-07-19 Derby County FC 1–3 Leeds United FC 2019-09-21 Leeds United FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2019-05-15 Leeds United FC 2–4 Derby County FC

Derby County FC Form

2024-12-29 Derby County FC 0–1 Leeds United FC L 2024-12-26 Derby County FC 2–1 West Bromwich Albion FC W 2024-12-20 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC L 2024-12-13 Derby County FC 4–0 Portsmouth FC W 2024-12-10 Burnley FC 0–0 Derby County FC D 2024-12-07 Leeds United FC 2–0 Derby County FC L

Leeds United FC Form

2024-12-29 Derby County FC 0–1 Leeds United FC W 2024-12-26 Stoke City FC 0–2 Leeds United FC W 2024-12-21 Leeds United FC 4–0 Oxford United FC W 2024-12-14 Preston North End FC 1–1 Leeds United FC D 2024-12-10 Leeds United FC 3–1 Middlesbrough FC W 2024-12-07 Leeds United FC 2–0 Derby County FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Leeds United FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC33% Draw29% Leeds United FC38%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Leeds United FC
67%
Derby County FC or Leeds United FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC25% Draw50% Leeds United FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 19% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
31% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.