Derby County FC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Leeds United FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
- Leeds United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Andy Davies (England)
- Assistant 1 Graham Kane
- Assistant 2 Lee Venamore
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec | Leeds United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Dec | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Dec | Luton Town FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Dec | Portsmouth FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Burnley FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 07 Dec | Leeds United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec | Derby County FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Dec | Stoke City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | Oxford United FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 14 Dec | Preston North End FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Dec | Middlesbrough FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 07 Dec | Derby County FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 2 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 2 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Derby County FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marcus Harness, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 15' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing has been relatively quiet despite scoring 29 goals in his last 376 appearances.
- 20' Leeds United FC is showing some good football. However, Leeds United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 25' Derby County FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Leeds United FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 32' A moment of madness from Marcus Harness on 32 minutes earns him a card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
- 37' Leeds United FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 47' Joe Rodon, a Wales , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 52' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Leeds United FC winning 100% of all matches.
- 57' Daniel James is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Derby County FC tonight.
- 62' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 67' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Corey Blackett-Taylor on, Nathaniel Mendez-Laing off on 67 minutes.
- 68' The referee calls foul for Ethan Ampadu. He receives a card.
- 71' Fresh legs for Leeds United FC! Daniel James comes on to replace Wilfried Gnonto.
- 73' Tawanda Chirewa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Marcus Harness on 73 minute.
- 78' Derby County FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 79' What a strike from Brenden Aaronson! The score is 0-1.
- 84' It is a cagey affair so far. Derby County FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Leeds United FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 86' James Collins has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jerry Yates on 86 minute.
- 89' Fresh legs for Leeds United FC! Patrick Bamford comes on to replace Brenden Aaronson.
- 90' Josuha Guilavogui gets the nod from Leeds United FC. He replaces Ao Tanaka and will look to change the dynamic.
- With this win, Leeds United FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Dajaune Brown 86'
- 18
- 11
- 19
- 2
- 35
-
10
Jerry Yates ↓ James Collins 86'
- 32
- 20
- 12
- 1
Bench
- 3
-
27
Corey Blackett-Taylor ↑ 67'
- 23
- 31
-
9
James Collins ↑ 86'
- 5
-
28
Tawanda Chirewa ↑ 73'
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 73'
-
39
Dajaune Brown ↑ 86'
Coach
Paul Warne
Leeds United FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4
- 6
- 25
- 2
- 5
- 1
-
22
Ao Tanaka ↓ Josuha Guilavogui 90'
- 11
-
17
Largie Ramazani ↓ Manor Solomon 71'
-
29
Wilfried Gnonto ↓ Daniel James 71'
-
19
Mateo Fernandez ↓ Joel Piroe 71'
Bench
-
7
Daniel James ↑ 71'
- 26
-
9
Patrick Bamford ↑ 89'
- 8
-
23
Josuha Guilavogui ↑ 90'
-
14
Manor Solomon ↑ 71'
-
10
Joel Piroe ↑ 71'
- 33
- 37
Coach
Daniel Farke
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kemar Roofe | 4 |
| Jack Marriott | 2 |
| Stuart Dallas | 2 |
| Chris Martin | 2 |
| Kemar Roofe | 2 |
| Jack Harrison | 1 |
| Maximilian Wober | 1 |
| Brenden Aaronson | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Leeds United FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for:
Derby County FC or Leeds United FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Leeds United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Leeds United FC
67%
Derby County FC or Leeds United FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Leeds United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 20% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.