Derby County FC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Derby County FC vs Leeds United FC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Leeds United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Andy Davies (England)
- Assistant 1 Graham Kane
- Assistant 2 Lee Venamore
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec | Leeds United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Dec | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Dec | Luton Town FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Dec | Portsmouth FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 10 Dec | Burnley FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 07 Dec | Leeds United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec | Derby County FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Dec | Stoke City FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | Oxford United FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 14 Dec | Preston North End FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Dec | Middlesbrough FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 07 Dec | Derby County FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
H2H (9 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Derby County FC welcome Leeds United FC for this crunch clash at Pride Park Stadium.
- 5' Leeds United FC have won 541 goals from 368 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Leeds United FC.
- 15' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 20' Derby County FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 25' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 30' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 32' Marcus Harness was booked on 32.
- 37' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 42' Josuha Guilavogui is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Leeds United FC so far.
- 47' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Leeds United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 52' Daniel James has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 57' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joe Rodon suffering a number of foals already.
- 62' The home supporters are growing impatient. Derby County FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 67' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Nathaniel Mendez-Laing by Corey Blackett-Taylor on 67 minute.
- 68' The referee has no hesitation. Ethan Ampadu is booked for Leeds United FC — card on 68.
- 71' The Leeds United FC bench stirs into life. Wilfried Gnonto is withdrawn and Daniel James gets his opportunity.
- 73' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Marcus Harness is replaced by Tawanda Chirewa.
- 78' Supporters expect more eagerness from Patrick Bamford, as he is very good at scoring at Pride Park Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 79' The USA Brenden Aaronson breaks the deadlock on 79 minutes. 0-1!
- 84' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ao Tanaka made 452 appearances and scored 25 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 86' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — James Collins on, Jerry Yates off on 86 minutes.
- 89' The Leeds United FC bench stirs into life. Brenden Aaronson is withdrawn and Patrick Bamford gets his opportunity.
- 90' Leeds United FC make a change. Ao Tanaka trudges off to be replaced by Josuha Guilavogui on 90 minutes.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Dajaune Brown 86'
- 18
- 11
- 19
- 2
- 35
-
10
Jerry Yates ↓ James Collins 86'
- 32
- 20
- 12
- 1
Bench
- 3
-
27
Corey Blackett-Taylor ↑ 67'
- 23
- 31
-
9
James Collins ↑ 86'
- 5
-
28
Tawanda Chirewa ↑ 73'
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 73'
-
39
Dajaune Brown ↑ 86'
Coach
Paul Warne
Leeds United FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4
- 6
- 25
- 2
- 5
- 1
-
22
Ao Tanaka ↓ Josuha Guilavogui 90'
- 11
-
17
Largie Ramazani ↓ Manor Solomon 71'
-
29
Wilfried Gnonto ↓ Daniel James 71'
-
19
Mateo Fernandez ↓ Joel Piroe 71'
Bench
-
7
Daniel James ↑ 71'
- 26
-
9
Patrick Bamford ↑ 89'
- 8
-
23
Josuha Guilavogui ↑ 90'
-
14
Manor Solomon ↑ 71'
-
10
Joel Piroe ↑ 71'
- 33
- 37
Coach
Daniel Farke
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kemar Roofe | 4 |
| Chris Martin | 2 |
| Kemar Roofe | 2 |
| Jack Marriott | 2 |
| Stuart Dallas | 2 |
| Mateusz Klich | 1 |
| Max Lowe | 1 |
| Tom Lawrence | 1 |
Head to Head
Derby County FC Form
Leeds United FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.2
Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.22
Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for:
Derby County FC or Leeds United FC 71% + Under 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Leeds United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 2.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 3.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
| ± 4.5 | 11% |
|
89% |
Double Chance
Derby County FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Leeds United FC
67%
Derby County FC or Leeds United FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 1
7.5%
0 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Derby County FC
| Handicap | Derby County FC covers | Push | Leeds United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 10% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 19% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 20% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✓
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.