Bristol City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bristol City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Ashton Gate.
- Bristol City FC 15 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 15 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Will Finnie
- Assistant 1 Bhupinder Gill
- Assistant 2 Blake Antrobus (England)
5 games this season
🟨 3.0/game
⚽ 12.0 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City FC | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 15 | 28 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 15 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea City AFC | 15 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton FC | 15 | 24 |
| 8 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham United FC | 15 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth FC | 15 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich City FC | 15 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 15 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 15 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall FC | 15 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City FC | 15 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 15 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton Athletic FC | 15 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 15 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln City FC | 15 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 15 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 15 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 15 | 8 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan | Derby County FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Jan | Plymouth Argyle FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Dec | Portsmouth FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Dec | Luton Town FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Dec | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Dec | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan | Bristol City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Jan | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 29 Dec | Leeds United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Dec | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Dec | Luton Town FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Dec | Portsmouth FC | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Bristol City FC | Derby County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #23 |
| 18 | Points | 10 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 3 / 7 | W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 9 |
| 16 | Scored | 14 |
| 24 | Conceded | 30 |
| -8 | GD | -16 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 33% | Win % | 13% |
Key Stats
42%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
13%
Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season
Bristol City FC this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Bristol City FC are 17th (18 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Bristol City FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/3
46-60
1/7
61-75
1/2
76+
7/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Bristol City FC
| Scott Twine | 5 G | |
| Dominic Ballard | 4 G | |
| Lorent Tolaj | 2 G | 1 A |
Derby County FC
| Bobby Clark | 3 G | 2 A |
| Samuel Szmodics | 3 G | 1 A |
| Carlton Morris | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Bristol City FC and Derby County FC has kicked off!
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 399 games and scored 463 goals.
- 19' The deadlock is broken! Luke McNally gets on the scoresheet on 19 minutes.
- 24' Sweden international Jacob Widell Zetterstrom has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 28' Anis Mehmeti is having his name booked by the referee on 28.
- 33' Bristol City FC currently sit 10 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 35' A moment of madness from Ross McCrorie on 35 minutes earns him a card. Bristol City FC will be frustrated.
- 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Craig Forsyth suffering a number of foals already.
- 45' Liam Thompson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
- 46' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Kayden Jackson is withdrawn and Ben Osborn gets his opportunity.
- 51' A quiet spell here at Ashton Gate. Bristol City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 56' Bristol City FC have won 450 goals from 401 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 58' Fresh legs for Bristol City FC! Fally Mayulu comes on to replace Nahki Wells.
- 63' Tawanda Chirewa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kenzo Goudmijn on 63 minute.
- 68' The energy levels are beginning to show. Paul Warne might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 71' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Marcus Harness is withdrawn and Dajaune Brown gets his opportunity.
- 76' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 78' Time for substitution for Bristol City FC. Scott Twine is replaced by Yu Hirakawa.
- 83' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 88' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Nathaniel Mendez-Laing exits the field as James Collins enters on 88.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Haydon Roberts.
- Derby County FC will have plenty to reflect on. Bristol City FC were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Bristol City FC Lineups
3-4-3Starting XI
- 6
-
21
Nahki Wells ↓ Fally Mayulu 58'
- 14
- 16
-
10
Scott Twine ↓ Yu Hirakawa 78'
-
2
Ross McCrorie ↓ George Tanner 58'
- 12
- 24
- 15
- 11
- 1
Bench
- 27
- 29
-
19
George Tanner ↑ 58'
- 23
- 20
- 31
-
9
Fally Mayulu ↑ 58'
- 40
-
7
Yu Hirakawa ↑ 78'
Coach
Liam Manning
Derby County FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 17
-
18
Marcus Harness ↓ Dajaune Brown 71'
- 11
-
19
Kayden Jackson ↓ Ben Osborn 46'
- 2
- 35
- 10
- 20
- 12
-
16
Liam Thompson ↓ Craig Forsyth 71'
- 1
Bench
-
8
Ben Osborn ↑ 46'
-
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 71'
- 23
- 31
-
9
James Collins ↑ 88'
- 5
-
28
Tawanda Chirewa ↑ 63'
- 7
-
39
Dajaune Brown ↑ 71'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andreas Weimann | 2 |
| Famara Diedhiou | 2 |
| Martyn Waghorn | 2 |
| Colin Kazim-Richards | 1 |
| Jamie Paterson | 1 |
| Alex Scott | 1 |
| Jayden Bogle | 1 |
| Craig Forsyth | 1 |
Head to Head
Bristol City FC Form
2025-01-04
Bristol City FC
1–0
Derby County FC
W
2025-01-01
Plymouth Argyle FC
2–2
Bristol City FC
D
2024-12-29
Bristol City FC
3–0
Portsmouth FC
W
2024-12-26
Bristol City FC
1–0
Luton Town FC
W
2024-12-22
West Bromwich Albion FC
2–0
Bristol City FC
L
2024-12-14
Bristol City FC
1–1
Queens Park Rangers FC
D
Derby County FC Form
2025-01-04
Bristol City FC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
2025-01-01
Sheffield Wednesday FC
4–2
Derby County FC
L
2024-12-29
Derby County FC
0–1
Leeds United FC
L
2024-12-26
Derby County FC
2–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
W
2024-12-20
Luton Town FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
2024-12-13
Derby County FC
4–0
Portsmouth FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64
Bristol City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Bristol City FC to win 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bristol City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 71% |
|
29% |
| ± 2.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Bristol City FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
44%
Bristol City FC or Derby County FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Bristol City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6%
3 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC
| Handicap | Bristol City FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 24% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 12% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
43%
✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

