Sunday , 16 August 2026

Bristol City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 4 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Ashton Gate 22,040 HT 45' · FT 45'
Luke McNally 19' 1–0

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Derby County FC H 1–0 W
01 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–2 D
29 Dec Portsmouth FC H 3–0 W
26 Dec Luton Town FC H 1–0 W
22 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–2 L
14 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
01 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–4 L
29 Dec Leeds United FC H 0–1 L
26 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
20 Dec Luton Town FC A 1–2 L
13 Dec Portsmouth FC H 4–0 W

Season Stats

Bristol City FC Derby County FC
#29 Position #23
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Bristol City FC are 29th (0 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Ashton Gate will turn into a battlefield for Bristol City FC and Derby County FC.
  • 5' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Bristol City FC and Derby County FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 10' Bristol City FC are deployed in a 3-4-3 today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 19' Assisted by Scott Twine with the perfectly-timed delivery and Luke McNally makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 24' It looks like no one’s ball. Bristol City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 28' It’s a booking for Bristol City FC player. Anis Mehmeti gets a card.
  • 33' The home supporters are growing impatient. Bristol City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 35' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ross McCrorie on 35 minutes.
  • 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Liam Thompson on 45.
  • 46' The whistle greets Kayden Jackson as he departs to be replaced by Ben Osborn.
  • 51' It is a cagey affair so far. Bristol City FC in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 58' A change in the Bristol City FC ranks — Nahki Wells exits the field as Fally Mayulu enters on 58.
  • 63' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tawanda Chirewa is hanging Kenzo Goudmijn on the field on 63 minute.
  • 68' named a 3-4-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 71' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Marcus Harness is replaced by Dajaune Brown.
  • 76' Both keepers have barely been tested. Bristol City FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 78' Yu Hirakawa is ready to make an impact after coming on for Scott Twine at the 78 minute mark.
  • 83' The travelling Derby County FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 88' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing departs to be replaced by James Collins.
  • 90' Haydon Roberts has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.81 Bristol City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.38 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 87% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bristol City FC47% Draw37% Derby County FC16%
Actual: Bristol City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 67%
33%
± 1.5 34%
66%
± 2.5 13%
87%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Bristol City FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Derby County FC
53%
Bristol City FC or Derby County FC
63%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bristol City FC24% Draw68% Derby County FC8%
Actual: Bristol City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
33.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.3%
0 – 1
9.7%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
2.5%
0 – 2
1.8%
1 – 2
1.8%
3 – 1
1.2%
2 – 2
0.9%
4 – 0
0.5%

Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC

Handicap Bristol City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 11% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 28% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 86% 14%
+1 86% 12% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
69%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.