Bristol City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2024-25

Bristol City FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Derby County FC

Sat 4 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Ashton Gate 22,040 HT 45' · FT 45'

Luke McNally 19' 1–0

Anis Mehmeti 28' Y

Ross McCrorie 35' Y

Y 45' Liam Thompson

Haydon Roberts 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Ashton Gate.

Bristol City FC 8 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 8 games · 5 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Will Finnie
Assistant 1 Bhupinder Gill
Assistant 2 Blake Antrobus (England)

5 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 12.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Swansea City AFC	8	17
2	West Ham United FC	8	15
3	Middlesbrough FC	8	15
4	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	7	14
5	West Bromwich Albion FC	8	14
6	Queens Park Rangers FC	8	13
7	Stoke City FC	8	13
8	Bristol City FC	8	13
9	Charlton Athletic FC	8	12
10	Birmingham City FC	8	11
11	Millwall FC	8	11
12	Lincoln City FC	8	11
13	Southampton FC	8	10
14	Wrexham AFC	8	10
15	Bolton Wanderers FC	8	10
16	Blackburn Rovers FC	8	9
17	Norwich City FC	8	9
18	Sheffield United FC	8	9
19	Portsmouth FC	7	8
20	Watford FC	8	8
21	Cardiff City FC	8	7
22	Derby County FC	8	5
23	Preston North End FC	8	4
24	Burnley FC	8	4

Head-to-Head

Bristol City FC 12 games · Avg 2.5 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-04 Bristol City FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2024-08-31 Derby County FC 3–0 Bristol City FC 2022-04-23 Derby County FC 1–3 Bristol City FC 2021-12-04 Bristol City FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2021-01-30 Derby County FC 1–0 Bristol City FC

Recent Form

Bristol City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Jan	Derby County FC	H	1–0	W
01 Jan	Plymouth Argyle FC	A	2–2	D
29 Dec	Portsmouth FC	H	3–0	W
26 Dec	Luton Town FC	H	1–0	W
22 Dec	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	0–2	L
14 Dec	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	1–1	D

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Jan	Bristol City FC	A	0–1	L
01 Jan	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	2–4	L
29 Dec	Leeds United FC	H	0–1	L
26 Dec	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	2–1	W
20 Dec	Luton Town FC	A	1–2	L
13 Dec	Portsmouth FC	H	4–0	W

Season Stats

Bristol City FC		Derby County FC
#8	Position	#22
13	Points	5
8	Played	8
4 / 1 / 3	W / D / L	1 / 2 / 5
11	Scored	7
12	Conceded	14
-1	GD	-7
1.63	PPG	0.63
50%	Win %	13%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

13% Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season

13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Bristol City FC are 8th (13 pts). Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bristol City FC

0-15

1/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

3/2

46-60

1/4

61-75

1/1

76+

5/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Derby County FC

0-15

–/2

16-30

3/2

31-45

1/4

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/2

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bristol City FC

Dominic Ballard	3 G
Lorent Tolaj	2 G	1 A
Scott Twine	2 G

Derby County FC

Bobby Clark	2 G	2 A
Samuel Szmodics	2 G	1 A
Carlton Morris	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' That's the starting whistle at Ashton Gate. Ninety minutes of football awaits between Bristol City FC and Derby County FC.
5' A quiet spell here at Ashton Gate. Derby County FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Bristol City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
15' It is a cagey affair so far. Bristol City FC in their 3-4-3 trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
19' Goal! Luke McNally scores his 11 goal in 2 matches.
24' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
28' Anis Mehmeti picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
33' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
35' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ross McCrorie on 35.
40' Callum Elder has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 360 appearances.
45' That is a card for Derby County FC. Liam Thompson will be fuming at that decision.
46' Ben Osborn is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kayden Jackson at the 46 minute mark.
51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Rob Dickie is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Bristol City FC.
56' Bristol City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
58' A tactical swap from Bristol City FC — Fally Mayulu on, Nahki Wells off on 58 minutes.
63' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Tawanda Chirewa comes on to replace Kenzo Goudmijn.
68' It looks like no one’s ball. Bristol City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
71' The crowd applauds Marcus Harness as he leaves the pitch. Dajaune Brown steps in for Derby County FC.
76' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
78' The Bristol City FC manager makes a substitution. Scott Twine departs to be replaced by Yu Hirakawa.
83' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
88' The crowd applauds Nathaniel Mendez-Laing as he leaves the pitch. James Collins steps in for Derby County FC.
90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Haydon Roberts.
That’s it! Another goalless match for Bristol City FC and Derby County FC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

Bristol City FC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Liam Manning

Derby County FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Tawanda Chirewa 63'
18
Marcus Harness ↓ Dajaune Brown 71'
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing ↓ James Collins 88'
19
Kayden Jackson ↓ Ben Osborn 46'
2
Kane Wilson
35
Curtis Nelson
10
Jerry Yates
20
Callum Elder
12
Nathaniel Phillips
16
Liam Thompson ↓ Craig Forsyth 71'
1
Jacob Widell Zetterstrom

Bench

8
Ben Osborn ↑ 46'
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 71'
23
Joe Ward
31
Josh Vickers
9
James Collins ↑ 88'
5
Sonny Bradley
28
Tawanda Chirewa ↑ 63'
7
Thomas Barkhuizen
39
Dajaune Brown ↑ 71'

Coach Paul Warne

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Famara Diedhiou	2
Martyn Waghorn	2
Andreas Weimann	2
Luke McNally	1
Nahki Wells	1
Filip Benkovic	1
Colin Kazim-Richards	1
Jamie Paterson	1

Head to Head

Bristol City FC Form

2025-01-04 Bristol City FC 1–0 Derby County FC W 2025-01-01 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–2 Bristol City FC D 2024-12-29 Bristol City FC 3–0 Portsmouth FC W 2024-12-26 Bristol City FC 1–0 Luton Town FC W 2024-12-22 West Bromwich Albion FC 2–0 Bristol City FC L 2024-12-14 Bristol City FC 1–1 Queens Park Rangers FC D

Derby County FC Form

2025-01-04 Bristol City FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2025-01-01 Sheffield Wednesday FC 4–2 Derby County FC L 2024-12-29 Derby County FC 0–1 Leeds United FC L 2024-12-26 Derby County FC 2–1 West Bromwich Albion FC W 2024-12-20 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC L 2024-12-13 Derby County FC 4–0 Portsmouth FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.76 Bristol City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.81 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Bristol City FC to win 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Bristol City FC59% Draw24% Derby County FC17%

Actual: Bristol City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.57

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	47%	53%
± 3.5	26%	74%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Bristol City FC or Draw

83%

Draw or Derby County FC

41%

Bristol City FC or Derby County FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Bristol City FC41% Draw46% Derby County FC13%

Actual: Bristol City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

1 – 1

11.7%

2 – 0

11.6%

0 – 0

9.6%

2 – 1

9.3%

3 – 0

6.7%

3 – 1

5.5%

0 – 1

5.2%

1 – 2

4.2%

2 – 2

3.8%

4 – 0

4 – 1

2.5%

Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC

Handicap	Bristol City FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	16%	—	84%
-2	16%	18%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	25%	41%
-0.5	59%	—	41%
+0.5	84%	—	16%
+1	84%	11%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet

45% ✗

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.