Bristol City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2024-25

Bristol City FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Derby County FC

Sat 4 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Ashton Gate 22,040 HT 45' · FT 45'

Luke McNally 19' 1–0

Anis Mehmeti 28' Y

Ross McCrorie 35' Y

Y 45' Liam Thompson

Haydon Roberts 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Ashton Gate.

Bristol City FC 46 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Derby County FC 46 games · 69 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Will Finnie
Assistant 1 Bhupinder Gill
Assistant 2 Blake Antrobus (England)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Bristol City FC 12 games · Avg 2.5 goals Derby County FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-04 Bristol City FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2024-08-31 Derby County FC 3–0 Bristol City FC 2022-04-23 Derby County FC 1–3 Bristol City FC 2021-12-04 Bristol City FC 1–0 Derby County FC 2021-01-30 Derby County FC 1–0 Bristol City FC

Recent Form

Bristol City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Jan	Derby County FC	H	1–0	W
01 Jan	Plymouth Argyle FC	A	2–2	D
29 Dec	Portsmouth FC	H	3–0	W
26 Dec	Luton Town FC	H	1–0	W
22 Dec	West Bromwich Albion FC	A	0–2	L
14 Dec	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	1–1	D

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Jan	Bristol City FC	A	0–1	L
01 Jan	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	2–4	L
29 Dec	Leeds United FC	H	0–1	L
26 Dec	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	2–1	W
20 Dec	Luton Town FC	A	1–2	L
13 Dec	Portsmouth FC	H	4–0	W

Season Stats

Bristol City FC		Derby County FC
#12	Position	#8
62	Points	69
46	Played	46
17 / 11 / 18	W / D / L	20 / 9 / 17
59	Scored	67
59	Conceded	59
+0	GD	+8
1.35	PPG	1.50
37%	Win %	43%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)

42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Bristol City FC are 12th (62 pts). Derby County FC are 8th (69 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Bristol City FC kicks off things out of here…
5' Kenzo Goudmijn is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Bristol City FC so far.
10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
15' Bristol City FC are deployed in a 3-4-3 today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
19' Magnificent from Luke McNally! That is 11 goals in 2 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
24' Derby County FC come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
28' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Anis Mehmeti on 28 minutes.
33' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
35' The referee calls foul for Ross McCrorie. He receives a card.
40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
45' Liam Thompson is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
46' Kayden Jackson makes way for Ben Osborn at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
51' Haydon Roberts, a England , has 16 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
58' Fally Mayulu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nahki Wells on 58 minute.
63' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Kenzo Goudmijn is withdrawn and Tawanda Chirewa gets his opportunity.
68' Both keepers have barely been tested. Bristol City FC and Derby County FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
71' Derby County FC ring the changes. Marcus Harness has done his job and it is now time for Dajaune Brown to step up.
76' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
78' A change in the Bristol City FC ranks — Scott Twine exits the field as Yu Hirakawa enters on 78.
83' With 0 assists to his name this season, Tawanda Chirewa is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
88' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing makes way for James Collins at the 88 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
90' That looks like a foul for a card for Haydon Roberts.
1-0 the final result. Derby County FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Bristol City FC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Liam Manning

Derby County FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

17
Kenzo Goudmijn ↓ Tawanda Chirewa 63'
18
Marcus Harness ↓ Dajaune Brown 71'
11
Nathaniel Mendez-Laing ↓ James Collins 88'
19
Kayden Jackson ↓ Ben Osborn 46'
2
Kane Wilson
35
Curtis Nelson
10
Jerry Yates
20
Callum Elder
12
Nathaniel Phillips
16
Liam Thompson ↓ Craig Forsyth 71'
1
Jacob Widell Zetterstrom

Bench

8
Ben Osborn ↑ 46'
3
Craig Forsyth ↑ 71'
23
Joe Ward
31
Josh Vickers
9
James Collins ↑ 88'
5
Sonny Bradley
28
Tawanda Chirewa ↑ 63'
7
Thomas Barkhuizen
39
Dajaune Brown ↑ 71'

Coach Paul Warne

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Martyn Waghorn	2
Andreas Weimann	2
Famara Diedhiou	2
Luke McNally	1
Nahki Wells	1
Filip Benkovic	1
Colin Kazim-Richards	1
Jamie Paterson	1

Head to Head

Bristol City FC Form

2025-01-04 Bristol City FC 1–0 Derby County FC W 2025-01-01 Plymouth Argyle FC 2–2 Bristol City FC D 2024-12-29 Bristol City FC 3–0 Portsmouth FC W 2024-12-26 Bristol City FC 1–0 Luton Town FC W 2024-12-22 West Bromwich Albion FC 2–0 Bristol City FC L 2024-12-14 Bristol City FC 1–1 Queens Park Rangers FC D

Derby County FC Form

2025-01-04 Bristol City FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2025-01-01 Sheffield Wednesday FC 4–2 Derby County FC L 2024-12-29 Derby County FC 0–1 Leeds United FC L 2024-12-26 Derby County FC 2–1 West Bromwich Albion FC W 2024-12-20 Luton Town FC 2–1 Derby County FC L 2024-12-13 Derby County FC 4–0 Portsmouth FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.54 Bristol City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.07 Derby County FC xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Bristol City FC51% Draw26% Derby County FC23%

Actual: Bristol City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes52% 0% No48%

Avg goals/match: 2.61

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	73%	27%
± 2.5	48%	52%
± 3.5	27%	73%
± 4.5	13%	87%

Double Chance

Bristol City FC or Draw

77%

Draw or Derby County FC

49%

Bristol City FC or Derby County FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Bristol City FC33% Draw47% Derby County FC20%

Actual: Bristol City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

9.4%

2 – 1

2 – 0

8.5%

0 – 1

6.8%

1 – 2

6.2%

2 – 2

4.8%

3 – 1

4.6%

3 – 0

4.3%

0 – 2

4.1%

3 – 2

2.6%

Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC

Handicap	Bristol City FC covers	Push	Derby County FC covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	22%	53%
-0.5	47%	—	53%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	15%	10%
+1.5	90%	—	10%
+2	90%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet

35% ✗

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.