Saturday , 14 November 2026

Bristol City FC vs Derby County FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Sat 4 Jan 2025 · 15:00 UTC Ashton Gate 22,040 HT 45' · FT 45'
Luke McNally 19' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Bristol City FC vs Derby County FC — Championship at Ashton Gate.

Match Details

  • Referee Will Finnie
  • Assistant 1 Bhupinder Gill
  • Assistant 2 Blake Antrobus (England)
5 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 12.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Derby County FC H 1–0 W
01 Jan Plymouth Argyle FC A 2–2 D
29 Dec Portsmouth FC H 3–0 W
26 Dec Luton Town FC H 1–0 W
22 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–2 L
14 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
01 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–4 L
29 Dec Leeds United FC H 0–1 L
26 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
20 Dec Luton Town FC A 1–2 L
13 Dec Portsmouth FC H 4–0 W

Season Stats

Bristol City FC Derby County FC
#17 Position #23
18 Points 10
15 Played 15
5 / 3 / 7 W / D / L 2 / 4 / 9
16 Scored 14
24 Conceded 30
-8 GD -16
1.20 PPG 0.67
33% Win % 13%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Bristol City FC are 17th (18 pts). Derby County FC are 23rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bristol City FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/3
46-60
1/7
61-75
1/2
76+
7/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bristol City FC
Scott Twine 5 G
Dominic Ballard 4 G
Lorent Tolaj 2 G 1 A
Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Bristol City FC and Derby County FC has kicked off!
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Derby County FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 399 games and scored 463 goals.
  • 19' The deadlock is broken! Luke McNally gets on the scoresheet on 19 minutes.
  • 24' Sweden international Jacob Widell Zetterstrom has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 28' Anis Mehmeti is having his name booked by the referee on 28.
  • 33' Bristol City FC currently sit 10 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 35' A moment of madness from Ross McCrorie on 35 minutes earns him a card. Bristol City FC will be frustrated.
  • 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Craig Forsyth suffering a number of foals already.
  • 45' Liam Thompson catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
  • 46' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Kayden Jackson is withdrawn and Ben Osborn gets his opportunity.
  • 51' A quiet spell here at Ashton Gate. Bristol City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 56' Bristol City FC have won 450 goals from 401 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 58' Fresh legs for Bristol City FC! Fally Mayulu comes on to replace Nahki Wells.
  • 63' Tawanda Chirewa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kenzo Goudmijn on 63 minute.
  • 68' The energy levels are beginning to show. Paul Warne might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 71' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. Marcus Harness is withdrawn and Dajaune Brown gets his opportunity.
  • 76' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 78' Time for substitution for Bristol City FC. Scott Twine is replaced by Yu Hirakawa.
  • 83' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 88' A change in the Derby County FC ranks — Nathaniel Mendez-Laing exits the field as James Collins enters on 88.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Haydon Roberts.
  • Derby County FC will have plenty to reflect on. Bristol City FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.64 Bristol City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.86 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Bristol City FC to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bristol City FC56% Draw25% Derby County FC19%
Actual: Bristol City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Bristol City FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Derby County FC
44%
Bristol City FC or Derby County FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bristol City FC38% Draw47% Derby County FC15%
Actual: Bristol City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 0
10.7%
0 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6%
3 – 0
5.8%
3 – 1
5.1%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 2
2.9%
4 – 0
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Bristol City FC

Handicap Bristol City FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 17% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 24% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 12% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.