Saturday , 14 November 2026

Leyton Orient FC vs Derby County FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Tue 14 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Brisbane Road 8,279 HT 45' · FT 45'
Charlie Kelman 20' 1–0
1–1 24' Dajaune Brown
Jamie Donley 74' Y
Sean Clare 90' Y
Sean Clare 113' YR

Overview

Match Preview

Leyton Orient FC vs Derby County FC — FA Cup at Brisbane Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Speedie (England)
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Alexander Bradley (England)
7 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 10.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan Derby County FC H 6–5 W
04 Jan Shrewsbury Town FC H 1–0 W
01 Jan Bristol Rovers FC A 3–2 W
29 Dec Cambridge United FC H 2–0 W
26 Dec Crawley Town FC H 3–0 W
21 Dec Barnsley FC A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan Leyton Orient FC A 5–6 L
04 Jan Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
01 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–4 L
29 Dec Leeds United FC H 0–1 L
26 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
20 Dec Luton Town FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Leyton Orient FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Leyton Orient FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Leyton Orient FC
Idris El Mizouni 2 G
Aaron Connolly 1 G
Armando Dobra 1 G
Tony Springett 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Leyton Orient FC have kicked off against Derby County FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Darren Pratley, as he is very good at scoring at Brisbane Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Craig Forsyth made 397 appearances and scored 10 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 20' Assisted by Sonny Perkins with the perfectly-timed delivery and Charlie Kelman makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 24' What composure from Dajaune Brown! The Jamaica international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 29' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 34' The energy levels are beginning to show. Richie Wellens might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 39' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 43' Darren Pratley picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 48' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 53' Leyton Orient FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 58' A quiet spell here at Brisbane Road. Leyton Orient FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 62' The crowd applauds Darren Pratley as he leaves the pitch. Jordan Brown steps in for Leyton Orient FC.
  • 67' Brandon Cooper needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 68' Thomas Barkhuizen has so much to prove this time. He replaces Corey Blackett-Taylor on 68 minute.
  • 71' A tactical swap from Leyton Orient FC — Tom James on, Diallang Jaiyesimi off on 71 minutes.
  • 74' Jamie Donley has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 74.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! James Collins comes on to replace Nathaniel Mendez-Laing.
  • 80' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 82' Fresh legs for Leyton Orient FC! Jayden Sweeney comes on to replace Ethan Galbraith.
  • 87' Curtis Nelson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 16 goals in his last 377 appearances.
  • 90' Sean Clare picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 6-5.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.12 Leyton Orient FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leyton Orient FC49% Draw22% Derby County FC29%
Actual: Leyton Orient FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

Leyton Orient FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Derby County FC
51%
Leyton Orient FC or Derby County FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Leyton Orient FC34% Draw38% Derby County FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–5 not predicted
6 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
8.1%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.2%
1 – 3
4.2%
1 – 0
3.4%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Leyton Orient FC

Handicap Leyton Orient FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 13% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 18% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 16% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Leyton Orient FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.