Sunday , 16 August 2026

Leyton Orient FC vs Derby County FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2024-25
Tue 14 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Brisbane Road 8,279 HT 45' · FT 45'
Charlie Kelman 20' 1–0
1–1 24' Dajaune Brown
Jamie Donley 74' Y
Sean Clare 90' Y
Sean Clare 113' YR

Overview

Match Preview

Leyton Orient FC vs Derby County FCFA Cup at Brisbane Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Benjamin Speedie (England)
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Alexander Bradley (England)
3 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 3.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan Derby County FC H 6–5 W
04 Jan Shrewsbury Town FC H 1–0 W
01 Jan Bristol Rovers FC A 3–2 W
29 Dec Cambridge United FC H 2–0 W
26 Dec Crawley Town FC H 3–0 W
21 Dec Barnsley FC A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Jan Leyton Orient FC A 5–6 L
04 Jan Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
01 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–4 L
29 Dec Leeds United FC H 0–1 L
26 Dec West Bromwich Albion FC H 2–1 W
20 Dec Luton Town FC A 1–2 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Leyton Orient FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Derby County FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 15' Leyton Orient FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Derby County FC backline.
  • 20' GOAL! Charlie Kelman fires home to make it 1-0!
  • 24' What a moment for Dajaune Brown! That strike on 24 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 29' Ethan Galbraith needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 22 Yellow cards this season.
  • 34' Leyton Orient FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 39' Over 39 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 43' The referee calls foul for Darren Pratley. He receives a card.
  • 48' Leyton Orient FC is showing some good football. However, Leyton Orient FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 53' Supporters expect more eagerness from Diallang Jaiyesimi, as he is very good at scoring at Brisbane Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 58' Derby County FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 62' A change in the Leyton Orient FC ranks — Darren Pratley exits the field as Jordan Brown enters on 62.
  • 67' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 68' A tactical swap from Derby County FCThomas Barkhuizen on, Corey Blackett-Taylor off on 68 minutes.
  • 71' The whistle greets Diallang Jaiyesimi as he departs to be replaced by Tom James.
  • 74' Jamie Donley has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 74.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! James Collins comes on to replace Nathaniel Mendez-Laing.
  • 80' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 82' The Leyton Orient FC bench stirs into life. Ethan Galbraith is withdrawn and Jayden Sweeney gets his opportunity.
  • 87' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Sean Clare on 90 minutes earns him a card. Leyton Orient FC will be frustrated.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 6-5 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.12 Leyton Orient FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leyton Orient FC49% Draw22% Derby County FC29%
Actual: Leyton Orient FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

Leyton Orient FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Derby County FC
51%
Leyton Orient FC or Derby County FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Leyton Orient FC34% Draw38% Derby County FC28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–5 not predicted
6 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
8.1%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.2%
1 – 3
4.2%
1 – 0
3.4%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Leyton Orient FC

Handicap Leyton Orient FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 13% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 18% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 16% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Leyton Orient FC keeps clean sheet
16%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.