Leyton Orient FC vs Derby County FC, FA Cup 2024-25 ROUND 3
Overview
Match Preview
Leyton Orient FC vs Derby County FC — FA Cup at Brisbane Road.
- Leyton Orient FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Benjamin Speedie (England)
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Alexander Bradley (England)
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | Derby County FC | H | 6–5 | W |
| 04 Jan | Shrewsbury Town FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Jan | Bristol Rovers FC | A | 3–2 | W |
| 29 Dec | Cambridge United FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Dec | Crawley Town FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | Barnsley FC | A | 4–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan | Leyton Orient FC | A | 5–6 | L |
| 04 Jan | Bristol City FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Jan | Sheffield Wednesday FC | A | 2–4 | L |
| 29 Dec | Leeds United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Dec | West Bromwich Albion FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Dec | Luton Town FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Leyton Orient FC this season
Leyton Orient FC this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
Derby County FC this season
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Derby County FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jamie Donley, as he is very good at scoring at Brisbane Road with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' Leyton Orient FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Charlie Kelman on 20.
- 24' What a strike from Dajaune Brown! The score is 1-1.
- 29' Jack Currie has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 47 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 34' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. James Collins made 382 appearances and scored 91 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 39' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Derby County FC that had 385 games and scored 452 goals.
- 43' Leyton Orient FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 43.
- 48' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 53' Derby County FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 58' It looks like no one’s ball. Derby County FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 62' Another change for Leyton Orient FC made on 62 minute. Darren Pratley leaves to be changed by Jordan Brown.
- 67' Derby County FC is showing some good football. However, Derby County FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 68' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Corey Blackett-Taylor by Thomas Barkhuizen on 68 minute.
- 71' It is a substitution in Leyton Orient FC team. Diallang Jaiyesimi is replaced by Tom James on 71 minute.
- 74' That looks like a foul for a card for Jamie Donley.
- 75' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is replaced by James Collins.
- 80' Leyton Orient FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 82' Time for substitution for Leyton Orient FC. Ethan Galbraith is replaced by Jayden Sweeney.
- 87' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Leyton Orient FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Sean Clare. He receives a card.
- With this win, Leyton Orient FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Leyton Orient FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
4
Jack Simpson ↓ Brandon Cooper 100'
- 28
-
18
Darren Pratley ↓ Jordan Brown 62'
- 19
-
27
Diallang Jaiyesimi ↓ Tom James 71'
- 23
- 22
- 24
- 12
-
20
Sonny Perkins ↓ Zech Obiero 101'
- 17
Bench
-
6
Brandon Cooper ↑ 100'
-
3
Jayden Sweeney ↑ 82'
-
8
Jordan Brown ↑ 62'
-
2
Tom James ↑ 71'
-
29
Zech Obiero ↑ 101'
- 26
- 36
- –
- –
Coach
Richie Wellens
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 3
- 18
- 11
- 27
- 2
- 35
- 12
- 16
- 1
-
39
Dajaune Brown ↓ Kayden Jackson 68'
Bench
- 8
-
19
Kayden Jackson ↑ 68'
- 31
-
9
James Collins ↑ 75'
- 32
- 20
- 21
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 68'
- –
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sonny Bradley | 2 |
| Nathaniel Mendez-Laing | 1 |
| Louie Sibley | 1 |
| Thomas Barkhuizen | 1 |
| Dajaune Brown | 1 |
| Charlie Kelman | 1 |
Head to Head
Leyton Orient FC Form
2025-01-14
Leyton Orient FC
6–5
Derby County FC
W
2025-01-04
Leyton Orient FC
1–0
Shrewsbury Town FC
W
2025-01-01
Bristol Rovers FC
2–3
Leyton Orient FC
W
2024-12-29
Leyton Orient FC
2–0
Cambridge United FC
W
2024-12-26
Leyton Orient FC
3–0
Crawley Town FC
W
2024-12-21
Barnsley FC
0–4
Leyton Orient FC
W
Derby County FC Form
2025-01-14
Leyton Orient FC
6–5
Derby County FC
L
2025-01-04
Bristol City FC
1–0
Derby County FC
L
2025-01-01
Sheffield Wednesday FC
4–2
Derby County FC
L
2024-12-29
Derby County FC
0–1
Leeds United FC
L
2024-12-26
Derby County FC
2–1
West Bromwich Albion FC
W
2024-12-20
Luton Town FC
2–1
Derby County FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.12
Leyton Orient FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Leyton Orient FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.01
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
Leyton Orient FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Derby County FC
51%
Leyton Orient FC or Derby County FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 6–5 not predicted6 – 5Actual
1 – 1
8.1%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.2%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4.2%
1 – 3
4.2%
1 – 0
3.4%
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Leyton Orient FC
| Handicap | Leyton Orient FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 13% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 18% | 57% |
| -0.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 16% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 10% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Leyton Orient FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.