Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Sunderland AFC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
Tue 21 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 27,441 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 28' Eliezer Mayenda

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Sunderland AFC — Championship at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Samuel Allison
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
  • Assistant 2 Hristo Karaivanov
5 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 13.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

2
Derby County FC 2 games · Avg 1.5 goals Sunderland AFC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Sunderland AFC H 0–1 L
18 Jan Watford FC H 0–2 L
14 Jan Leyton Orient FC A 5–6 L
04 Jan Bristol City FC A 0–1 L
01 Jan Sheffield Wednesday FC A 2–4 L
29 Dec Leeds United FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Jan Derby County FC A 1–0 W
17 Jan Burnley FC A 0–0 D
11 Jan Stoke City FC H 1–2 L
05 Jan Portsmouth FC H 1–0 W
01 Jan Sheffield United FC H 2–1 W
29 Dec Stoke City FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
1/5
16-30
3/6
31-45
2/7
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/4
76+
4/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 3 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 3 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Pride Park Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Derby County FC and Sunderland AFC.
  • 5' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' Jobe Bellingham has been relatively quiet despite scoring 12 goals in his last 394 appearances.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' Liam Thompson, a England midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 28' Against the run of play, Eliezer Mayenda has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 33' A moment of madness from Jobe Bellingham on 33 minutes earns him a card. Sunderland AFC will be frustrated.
  • 38' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 43' Daniel Ballard has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 3 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 48' Patrick Roberts is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sunderland AFC so far.
  • 50' The referee calls foul for Marcus Harness. He receives a card.
  • 55' The 26-year-old Anthony Patterson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 58' Nathaniel Mendez-Laing makes way for Corey Blackett-Taylor at the 58 minute mark. A tactical switch from Derby County FC.
  • 59' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Kayden Jackson departs to be replaced by Lars-Jorgen Salvesen.
  • 64' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 69' It looks surprising Derby County FC does not make any changes. Wilson Isidor has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 73' A tactical swap from Derby County FC — Thomas Barkhuizen on, Kane Wilson off on 73 minutes.
  • 74' The Sunderland AFC bench stirs into life. Dennis Cirkin is withdrawn and Daniel Ballard gets his opportunity.
  • 79' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dennis Cirkin is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Derby County FC.
  • 84' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 86' A tactical swap from Sunderland AFC — Salis Abdul Samed on, Chris Rigg off on 86 minutes.
  • 89' The whistle greets Enzo Le Fee as he departs to be replaced by Leo Hjelde.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Derby County FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.68 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Sunderland AFC xG
I would bet for: Sunderland AFC or Draw 77% + Under 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC23% Draw33% Sunderland AFC44%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
56%
Draw or Sunderland AFC
77%
Derby County FC or Sunderland AFC
67%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC14% Draw57% Sunderland AFC29%
Actual: Sunderland AFC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
19.1%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
9.9%
0 – 2
9.8%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 1
4.2%
0 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.7%
2 – 2
2.5%
0 – 4
1%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Sunderland AFC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 15% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 25% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 13% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Sunderland AFC keeps clean sheet
51% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.