Saturday , 14 November 2026

Derby County FC vs Oxford United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 15 Aug 2023 · 18:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 25,292 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 32' Mark Harris
0–2 72' Mark Harris
Martyn Waghorn 87' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Oxford United FC — League One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Toner
  • Assistant 1 Alan Cresswell (England)
  • Assistant 2 Christopher Ward
5 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 10.2 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug Oxford United FC H 1–2 L
12 Aug Burton Albion FC A 3–0 W
05 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 1–2 L
07 May Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–1 L
29 Apr Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
22 Apr Burton Albion FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug Derby County FC A 2–1 W
12 Aug Carlisle United FC H 1–0 W
05 Aug Cambridge United FC A 0–2 L
07 May Accrington Stanley FC H 1–2 L
29 Apr Forest Green Rovers FC A 3–0 W
25 Apr Cheltenham Town FC H 4–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
38% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oxford United FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/2
61-75
3/2
76+
9/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Oxford United FC
Mark Harris 6 G 1 A
Gatlin O'Donkor 4 G 2 A
Cameron Brannagan 2 G
Ciaron Brown 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Derby County FC to score. At the same time, Oxford United FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 15' Derby County FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' Oxford United FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 26' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Joe Ward is replaced by Kane Wilson.
  • 27' Poor challenge from James Collins. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 32' A goal from the Wales international Mark Harris! He fires home on 32 to make it 0-1!
  • 37' A moment of madness from Max Bird on 37 minutes earns him a card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
  • 42' Conor Hourihane is having his name booked by the referee on 42.
  • 47' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 52' The referee shows Oxford United FC player a card on 52.
  • 57' A change in the Oxford United FC ranks — Tyler Goodrham exits the field as Ruben Rodrigues enters on 57.
  • 62' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 67' Tyler Goodrham has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 68' A moment of madness from Kane Wilson on 68 minutes earns him a card. Derby County FC will be frustrated.
  • 68' Callum Elder has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on 68 minute.
  • 69' Fresh legs for Derby County FC! Martyn Waghorn comes on to replace Korey Smith.
  • 72' What a moment for Mark Harris! That strike on 72 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 75' The Oxford United FC bench stirs into life. Billy Bodin is withdrawn and Fin Stevens gets his opportunity.
  • 80' Oxford United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 80.
  • 82' Eiran Cashin has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 82.
  • 87' What a strike from Martyn Waghorn! The score is 1-2.
  • 87' Fresh legs for Oxford United FC! Josh McEachran comes on to replace Marcus Browne.
  • 90' James Beadle has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Oxford United FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.31 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Oxford United FC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC36% Draw29% Oxford United FC35%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Oxford United FC
64%
Derby County FC or Oxford United FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC27% Draw48% Oxford United FC25%
Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.5%
1 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.3%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.