Thursday , 2 July 2026

Derby County FC vs Oxford United FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 15 Aug 2023 · 18:45 UTC Pride Park Stadium 25,292 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 32' Mark Harris
0–2 72' Mark Harris
Martyn Waghorn 87' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Oxford United FCLeague One at Pride Park Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Ben Toner
  • Assistant 1 Alan Cresswell (England)
  • Assistant 2 Christopher Ward

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug Oxford United FC H 1–2 L
12 Aug Burton Albion FC A 3–0 W
05 Aug Wigan Athletic FC H 1–2 L
07 May Sheffield Wednesday FC A 0–1 L
29 Apr Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
22 Apr Burton Albion FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Aug Derby County FC A 2–1 W
12 Aug Carlisle United FC H 1–0 W
05 Aug Cambridge United FC A 0–2 L
07 May Accrington Stanley FC H 1–2 L
29 Apr Forest Green Rovers FC A 3–0 W
25 Apr Cheltenham Town FC H 4–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.31 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Oxford United FC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC36% Draw29% Oxford United FC35%
Actual: Oxford United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Oxford United FC
64%
Derby County FC or Oxford United FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Derby County FC27% Draw48% Oxford United FC25%
Actual: Oxford United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.5%
1 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.3%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
3.5%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 65% 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
28%
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.