Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Chapecoense AF vs Santos FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 28 Jan 2026 · 23:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Chapecoense AF vs Santos FC — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Savio Pereira Sampaio (Brazil)
8 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Santos FC H 4–2 W
10 Dec Fluminense FC A 0–3 L
07 Dec SC Recife H 0–1 L
03 Dec AC Goianiense H 0–1 L
01 Dec America FC A 0–3 L
20 Nov Gremio FBPA H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Chapecoense AF A 2–4 L
07 Dec Cruzeiro EC H 3–0 W
03 Dec EC Juventude A 3–0 W
29 Nov SC Recife H 3–0 W
25 Nov SC Internacional A 1–1 D
20 Nov Mirassol FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Chapecoense AF Santos FC
#20 Position #8
18 Points 38
27 Played 27
3 / 9 / 15 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 9
29 Scored 41
53 Conceded 40
-24 GD +1
0.67 PPG 1.41
11% Win % 37%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Chapecoense AF this season
26% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season

Chapecoense AF are 20th (18 pts). Santos FC are 8th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chapecoense AF
0-15
1/5
16-30
4/9
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/6
76+
5/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Santos FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/3
31-45
7/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
3/4
76+
7/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chapecoense AF
Marcinho 5 G 2 A
Walter Clar 3 G 1 A
Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 11 G 3 A
Neymar 6 G 3 A
Alvaro Barreal 5 G 1 A
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Chapecoense AF Lineups

Santos FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.42 Chapecoense AF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2 Santos FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 65% + Over 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Chapecoense AF29% Draw26% Santos FC45%
Actual: Chapecoense AF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Chapecoense AF or Draw
55%
Draw or Santos FC
71%
Chapecoense AF or Santos FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Chapecoense AF22% Draw41% Santos FC37%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
10.2%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 2
6.6%
2 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 0
4.7%
0 – 3
4.3%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 0
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Chapecoense AF

Handicap Chapecoense AF covers Push Santos FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 14% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 50% — 50%
+1 50% 20% 29%
+1.5 71% — 29%
+2 71% 15% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Chapecoense AF keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.