Tuesday , 6 October 2026

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Júbilo Iwata, J. League 2024 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2024
Sat 19 Oct 2024 · 06:00 UTC Yodoko Sakura Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 22' Leo Gomes
Y 52' Hassan Hilo
Y 90' Ko Matsubara

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs Júbilo Iwata — J. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Júbilo Iwata H 1–2 L
05 Oct Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–0 W
02 Oct Gamba Osaka H 1–0 W
28 Sep Kashiwa Reysol H 0–0 D
22 Sep Shonan Bellmare A 2–1 W
13 Sep Vissel Kobe A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–1 W
06 Oct Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–2 L
28 Sep Nagoya Grampus A 0–2 L
21 Sep Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
14 Sep Kashiwa Reysol A 2–0 W
25 Aug Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 0–2 L

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
43% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
Solomon Sakuragawa 3 G
Yumeki Yokoyama 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Yodoko Sakura Stadium that hosts another battle between Cerezo Osaka FC and Júbilo Iwata.
  • 5' Goal! Ryo Germain scores his 36 goal in 275 matches.
  • 10' Leo Ceara is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cerezo Osaka FC tonight.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 20' Cerezo Osaka FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 22' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Leo Gomes on 22 minutes.
  • 27' The travelling Júbilo Iwata supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 32' Ryuya Nishio needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 6 Yellow cards this season.
  • 37' Eiji Kawashima, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 42' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 47' A quiet spell here at Yodoko Sakura Stadium. Cerezo Osaka FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 52' That looks like a foul for a card for Hassan Hilo.
  • 57' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Júbilo Iwata needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 62' Cerezo Osaka FC make a change. Hiroaki Okuno trudges off to be replaced by Satoki Uejo on 62 minutes.
  • 64' Another substitution for Jubilo Iwata to replace Jordy Croux by Hiroki Yamada on 64 minute.
  • 69' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cerezo Osaka FC and Júbilo Iwata are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 71' The deadlock is broken! Ryo Germain gets on the scoresheet on 71 minutes.
  • 76' Fresh legs for Jubilo Iwata! Rikiya Uehara comes on to replace Shun Nakamura.
  • 78' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Reiya Sakata is replaced by Hayato Okuda on 78 minute.
  • 83' Júbilo Iwata come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 86' Another change for Jubilo Iwata made on 86 minute. Masaya Matsumoto leaves to be changed by Shunsuke Nishikubo.
  • 88' What composure from Leo Ceara! The Brazil international strokes it home. 1-2.
  • 89' The Cerezo Osaka FC bench stirs into life. Ryosuke Shindo is withdrawn and Hiroto Yamada gets his opportunity.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Ko Matsubara argues furiously but the card stands.
  • Júbilo Iwata celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.26 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Júbilo Iwata xG
I would bet for: Cerezo Osaka FC or Júbilo Iwata 71% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cerezo Osaka FC40% Draw29% Júbilo Iwata31%
Actual: Júbilo Iwata win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Júbilo Iwata
60%
Cerezo Osaka FC or Júbilo Iwata
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cerezo Osaka FC27% Draw50% Júbilo Iwata23%
Actual: Júbilo Iwata win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
10.5%
0 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.4%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap Cerezo Osaka FC covers Push Júbilo Iwata covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
33% ✓
Júbilo Iwata keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.