Thursday , 2 July 2026

CA Paranaense vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 26 Apr 2026 · 21:30 UTC Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CA Paranaense vs EC VitoriaSerie A at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia.

Match Details

  • Referee Bruno de Araujo (Brazil)
9 games this season 🟨 1.6/game 7.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
19 Apr SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
12 Apr Chapecoense AF H 2–0 W
05 Apr CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
01 Apr EC Bahia A 0–3 L
29 Mar Botafogo FR H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr CA Paranaense A 1–3 L
18 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–0 D
11 Apr Sao Paulo FC H 2–0 W
05 Apr Chapecoense AF A 1–1 D
01 Apr Cruzeiro EC A 0–3 L
22 Mar Mirassol FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

CA Paranaense EC Vitoria
#4 Position #13
30 Points 22
18 Played 17
9 / 3 / 6 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 7
24 Scored 21
18 Conceded 25
+6 GD -4
1.67 PPG 1.29
50% Win % 35%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
86% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
41% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

CA Paranaense are 4th (30 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Paranaense
0-15
1/4
16-30
/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/
61-75
/
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
1/
16-30
3/
31-45
1/7
46-60
1/
61-75
3/
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Paranaense
Kevin Viveros 11 G 1 A
Stiven Mendoza 5 G
Julimar 3 G 1 A
EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 5 G 1 A
Renato Kayzer 3 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. EC Vitoria kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 8' It’s a booking for CA Paranaense player. Luiz Gustavo gets a card.
  • 12' That looks like a foul for a card for Edenilson.
  • 17' Marinho needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 22' Carlos Rene puts EC Vitoria on the lead.
  • 27' It’s high time Odair Hellmann made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 32' CA Paranaense seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 34' What a strike from Kevin Viveros! The score is 1-1.
  • 39' Diego Tarzia has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 17 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
  • 43' The referee calls foul for Leandro Martinez. He receives a card.
  • 46' Another change for EC Vitoria made on 46 minute. Edenilson leaves to be changed by Ronald.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lucas Silva made 171 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 55' The referee shows CA Paranaense player a card on 55.
  • 60' EC Vitoria is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 63' Dudu has so much to prove this time. He replaces Joao Victor on 63 minute.
  • 68' Arthur Dias was booked on 68.
  • 73' It looks surprising EC Vitoria does not make any changes. Edenilson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 74' Another substitution for EC Vitoria to replace Carlos Rene by Fabricio on 74 minute.
  • 79' Bruno Zapelli has so much to prove this time. He replaces Juan Portilla on 79 minute.
  • 80' Another substitution for CA Paranaense to replace Bruno Ramos by Chiqueti on 80 minute.
  • 85' CA Paranaense looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Kevin Viveros scoring 2 goals.
  • 87' It’s a booking for EC Vitoria player. Ze Vitor gets a card.
  • 90' Santos was booked on 90.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Renan Peixoto. He replaces Stiven Mendoza on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.14 CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.83 EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for: CA Paranaense to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Paranaense63% Draw22% EC Vitoria15%
Actual: CA Paranaense win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

CA Paranaense or Draw
85%
Draw or EC Vitoria
37%
CA Paranaense or EC Vitoria
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Paranaense47% Draw41% EC Vitoria12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.6%
1 – 0
10.5%
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
9.4%
3 – 0
8%
0 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
4.3%
2 – 2
3.9%
4 – 1
3.7%
1 – 2
3.6%
0 – 1
3.6%

Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense

Handicap CA Paranaense covers Push EC Vitoria covers
-2.5 23% 77%
-2 23% 20% 57%
-1.5 43% 57%
-1 43% 23% 34%
-0.5 66% 34%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
44%
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.