Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CA Paranaense vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 26 Apr 2026 · 21:30 UTC Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CA Paranaense vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Estadio Mario Celso Petraglia.

Match Details

  • Referee Bruno de Araujo (Brazil)
9 games this season 🟨 1.6/game ⚽ 7.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr EC Vitoria H 3–1 W
19 Apr SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
12 Apr Chapecoense AF H 2–0 W
05 Apr CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
01 Apr EC Bahia A 0–3 L
29 Mar Botafogo FR H 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Apr CA Paranaense A 1–3 L
18 Apr SC Corinthians Paulista H 0–0 D
11 Apr Sao Paulo FC H 2–0 W
05 Apr Chapecoense AF A 1–1 D
01 Apr Cruzeiro EC A 0–3 L
22 Mar Mirassol FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

CA Paranaense EC Vitoria
#3 Position #13
49 Points 33
28 Played 28
14 / 7 / 7 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 13
43 Scored 28
32 Conceded 42
+11 GD -14
1.75 PPG 1.18
50% Win % 32%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
86% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
CA Paranaense this season
39% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

CA Paranaense are 3rd (49 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Paranaense
0-15
5/4
16-30
3/4
31-45
5/3
46-60
6/–
61-75
3/3
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
2/9
46-60
1/2
61-75
5/5
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Paranaense
Kevin Viveros 18 G 3 A
Stiven Mendoza 5 G 1 A
Leozinho 4 G
Julimar 3 G 1 A
EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 8 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 4 G 2 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — CA Paranaense and EC Vitória get this one started.
  • 5' Carlos Teran has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 8' Luiz Gustavo is having his name booked by the referee on 8.
  • 12' A meaty challenge results in booking for Edenilson on 12.
  • 17' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 22' Carlos Rene does the damage! The net is bulging and EC Vitoria surge ahead!
  • 27' Kevin Viveros has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 12 goals to his name this season.
  • 32' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 34' Kevin Viveros doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 39' EC Vitória are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 43' Leandro Martinez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 43.
  • 46' EC Vitoria ring the changes. Edenilson has done his job and it is now time for Ronald to step up.
  • 51' CA Paranaense are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined EC Vitória backline.
  • 55' The referee has no hesitation. Gaston Benavidez is booked for CA Paranaense — card on 55.
  • 60' The 18-year-old Bruno Ramos has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 63' Dudu is replacing Joao Victor for the CA Paranaense side.
  • 68' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Arthur Dias.
  • 73' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Edenilson suffering a number of foals already.
  • 74' Another change for EC Vitoria made on 74 minute. Carlos Rene leaves to be changed by Fabricio.
  • 79' It is a substitution in CA Paranaense team. Juan Portilla is replaced by Bruno Zapelli on 79 minute.
  • 80' The CA Paranaense bench stirs into life. Bruno Ramos is withdrawn and Chiqueti gets his opportunity.
  • 85' Lucas Arcanjo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 182 appearances.
  • 87' Ze Vitor has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 87.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Santos.
  • 90' A change in the CA Paranaense ranks — Stiven Mendoza exits the field as Renan Peixoto enters on 90.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 3-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.28 CA Paranaense xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.8 EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for: CA Paranaense to win 66% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Paranaense66% Draw20% EC Vitoria14%
Actual: CA Paranaense win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

CA Paranaense or Draw
86%
Draw or EC Vitoria
34%
CA Paranaense or EC Vitoria
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CA Paranaense50% Draw39% EC Vitoria11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.9%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.1%
4 – 0
5%
4 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.7%
1 – 2
3.2%
0 – 1
3%

Asian Handicap — CA Paranaense

Handicap CA Paranaense covers Push EC Vitoria covers
-2.5 26% — 74%
-2 26% 21% 53%
-1.5 47% — 53%
-1 47% 23% 31%
-0.5 69% — 31%
+0.5 89% — 11%
+1 89% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

CA Paranaense keeps clean sheet
45% ✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.