Sunday , 16 August 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 17 Feb 2024 · 14:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 28,917 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 8' Niclas Fullkrug
Yannick Gerhardt 63' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Petersen
  • Assistant 1 Alexander Sather
  • Assistant 2 Robert Wessel

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb Borussia Dortmund H 1–1 D
10 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
04 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–2 D
27 Jan 1. FC Köln H 1–1 D
20 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–1 D
13 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
09 Feb SC Freiburg H 3–0 W
02 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–0 D
28 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 H 3–1 W
20 Jan 1. FC Köln A 4–0 W
13 Jan SV Darmstadt 98 A 3–0 W

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg Borussia Dortmund
#1 Position #8
29 Points 0
34 Played 0
7 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
45 Scored 0
69 Conceded 0
-24 GD +0
0.85 PPG
21% Win %

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfL Wolfsburg are 1st (29 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Volkswagen Arena as VfL Wolfsburg face off against Borussia Dortmund in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' It’s high time Niko Kovać made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 8' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Niclas Fullkrug makes it 0-1.
  • 13' VfL Wolfsburg are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
  • 18' VfL Wolfsburg is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 23' VfL Wolfsburg currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 25' Moritz Jenz catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 25.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His VfL Wolfsburg side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' VfL Wolfsburg have won 479 goals from 471 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 46' VfL Wolfsburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yannick Gerhardt is hanging Mattias Svanberg on the field on 46 minute.
  • 51' Mattias Svanberg is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Borussia Dortmund so far.
  • 56' It looks like no one’s ball. Borussia Dortmund is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 61' Borussia Dortmund come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 63' Yannick Gerhardt has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 63 minutes.
  • 68' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 70' It’s gonna be a card for Yannick Gerhardt.
  • 75' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 77' A tactical swap from VfL WolfsburgLukas Nmecha on, Kevin Behrens off on 77 minutes.
  • 78' Borussia Dortmund ring the changes. Marco Reus has done his job and it is now time for Salih Ozcan to step up.
  • 83' A quiet spell here at Volkswagen Arena. VfL Wolfsburg seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 84' Niclas Fullkrug makes way for Youssoufa Moukoko at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Borussia Dortmund.
  • 88' Time for substitution for VfL Wolfsburg. Jonas Wind is replaced by Amin Sarr.
  • 90' Maximilian Arnold picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.43 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.04 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 81% + Borussia Dortmund or Draw 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg20% Draw36% Borussia Dortmund44%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes24% 0% No76%
Avg goals/match: 1.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 74%
26%
± 1.5 43%
57%
± 2.5 19%
81%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
55%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
80%
VfL Wolfsburg or Borussia Dortmund
64%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg9% Draw62% Borussia Dortmund29%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
25.7%
0 – 1
22.6%
0 – 2
11.7%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
5.5%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 1
2.1%
1 – 3
2%
2 – 0
1.8%
2 – 2
1.3%
0 – 4
1.1%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 2% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 11% 87%
-0.5 13% 87%
+0.5 51% 49%
+1 51% 29% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 14% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
36%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
65%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.