VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.
- VfL Wolfsburg 34 games · 29 pts (2025/26)
- Borussia Dortmund 34 games · 73 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Martin Petersen
- Assistant 1 Alexander Sather
- Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
15 games this season
🟨 0.9/game
⚽ 8.1 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb | Borussia Dortmund | H | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Feb | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Jan | 1. FC Koln | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Jan | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Jan | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Feb | SC Freiburg | H | 3–0 | W |
| 02 Feb | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Jan | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Jan | 1. FC Koln | A | 4–0 | W |
| 13 Jan | SV Darmstadt 98 | A | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| VfL Wolfsburg | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| #16 | Position | #2 |
| 29 | Points | 73 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 7 / 8 / 19 | W / D / L | 22 / 7 / 5 |
| 45 | Scored | 70 |
| 69 | Conceded | 34 |
| -24 | GD | +36 |
| 0.85 | PPG | 2.15 |
| 21% | Win % | 65% |
Key Stats
29%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
6%
Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
VfL Wolfsburg this season
44%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/–
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Volkswagen Arena that hosts another battle between VfL Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfL Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 8' Niclas Fullkrug doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 13' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfL Wolfsburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 18' Koen Casteels has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 23' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 25' VfL Wolfsburg player sees a card in front of him.
- 30' VfL Wolfsburg have won 479 goals from 471 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 35' Borussia Dortmund has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
- 40' Borussia Dortmund fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Borussia Dortmund is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 46' Yannick Gerhardt is replacing Mattias Svanberg for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
- 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 61' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 63' Goal! Yannick Gerhardt scores his 24 goal in 471 matches.
- 68' Borussia Dortmund are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 70' The referee shows VfL Wolfsburg player a card on 70.
- 75' VfL Wolfsburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 77' Time for substitution for VfL Wolfsburg. Kevin Behrens is replaced by Lukas Nmecha.
- 78' Borussia Dortmund manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Salih Ozcan is hanging Marco Reus on the field on 78 minute.
- 83' VfL Wolfsburg currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 84' Borussia Dortmund manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Youssoufa Moukoko is hanging Niclas Fullkrug on the field on 84 minute.
- 88' The supporters are chanting for Amin Sarr. He replaces Jonas Wind on 88 minute.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Maximilian Arnold is booked for VfL Wolfsburg — card on 90.
- 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
VfL Wolfsburg Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4
- 1
- 27
- 20
-
17
Kevin Behrens ↓ Lukas Nmecha 77'
- 32
- 19
- 21
-
23
Jonas Wind ↓ Amin Sarr 88'
- 40
- 25
Bench
-
10
Lukas Nmecha ↑ 77'
- 7
-
31
Yannick Gerhardt ↑ 46'
- 12
- 6
-
9
Amin Sarr ↑ 88'
- 5
- 39
- 2
Coach
Niko Kovać
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 19
-
11
Marco Reus ↓ Salih Ozcan 78'
- 10
- 14
- 1
- 20
- 26
- 23
- 4
- 22
Bench
- 21
- 15
- 17
- 33
-
6
Salih Ozcan ↑ 78'
- 2
-
18
Youssoufa Moukoko ↑ 84'
-
43
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens ↑ 78'
- 48
Coach
Edin Terzic
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Erling Haaland | 5 |
| Jude Bellingham | 4 |
| Karim Adeyemi | 4 |
| Donyell Malen | 3 |
| Emre Can | 2 |
| Marco Reus | 2 |
| Raphael Guerreiro | 2 |
| Ridle Baku | 2 |
Head to Head
VfL Wolfsburg Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
2024-02-17
VfL Wolfsburg
1–1
Borussia Dortmund
D
2024-02-09
Borussia Dortmund
3–0
SC Freiburg
W
2024-02-02
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–0
Borussia Dortmund
D
2024-01-28
Borussia Dortmund
3–1
VfL Bochum 1848
W
2024-01-20
1. FC Koln
0–4
Borussia Dortmund
W
2024-01-13
SV Darmstadt 98
0–3
Borussia Dortmund
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.9
VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.28
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 60% + Borussia Dortmund to win 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
42%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
81%
VfL Wolfsburg or Borussia Dortmund
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.7%
1 – 2
9.4%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
9.1%
0 – 3
7.9%
1 – 3
7.1%
0 – 0
5.7%
0 – 4
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 4
4.1%
2 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3.3%
Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg
| Handicap | VfL Wolfsburg covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| -1.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -1 | 4% | 8% | 87% |
| -0.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| +0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +1 | 33% | 22% | 45% |
| +1.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| +2 | 55% | 20% | 24% |
| +2.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
Clean Sheet
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

