Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 17 Feb 2024 · 14:30 UTC Volkswagen Arena 28,917 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 8' Niclas Fullkrug
Yannick Gerhardt 63' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at Volkswagen Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin Petersen
  • Assistant 1 Alexander Sather
  • Assistant 2 Robert Wessel
15 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 8.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb Borussia Dortmund H 1–1 D
10 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
04 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 2–2 D
27 Jan 1. FC Koln H 1–1 D
20 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–1 D
13 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
09 Feb SC Freiburg H 3–0 W
02 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 0–0 D
28 Jan VfL Bochum 1848 H 3–1 W
20 Jan 1. FC Koln A 4–0 W
13 Jan SV Darmstadt 98 A 3–0 W

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg Borussia Dortmund
#16 Position #2
29 Points 73
34 Played 34
7 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
45 Scored 70
69 Conceded 34
-24 GD +36
0.85 PPG 2.15
21% Win % 65%

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Volkswagen Arena that hosts another battle between VfL Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. VfL Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 8' Niclas Fullkrug doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 13' The home supporters are growing impatient. VfL Wolfsburg must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 18' Koen Casteels has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 23' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 25' VfL Wolfsburg player sees a card in front of him.
  • 30' VfL Wolfsburg have won 479 goals from 471 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 35' Borussia Dortmund has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 40' Borussia Dortmund fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 45' It looks like no one’s ball. Borussia Dortmund is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 46' Yannick Gerhardt is replacing Mattias Svanberg for the VfL Wolfsburg side.
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 56' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 61' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 63' Goal! Yannick Gerhardt scores his 24 goal in 471 matches.
  • 68' Borussia Dortmund are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 70' The referee shows VfL Wolfsburg player a card on 70.
  • 75' VfL Wolfsburg seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 77' Time for substitution for VfL Wolfsburg. Kevin Behrens is replaced by Lukas Nmecha.
  • 78' Borussia Dortmund manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Salih Ozcan is hanging Marco Reus on the field on 78 minute.
  • 83' VfL Wolfsburg currently sit 12 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 84' Borussia Dortmund manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Youssoufa Moukoko is hanging Niclas Fullkrug on the field on 84 minute.
  • 88' The supporters are chanting for Amin Sarr. He replaces Jonas Wind on 88 minute.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Maximilian Arnold is booked for VfL Wolfsburg — card on 90.
  • 1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.9 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.28 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Borussia Dortmund to win 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg19% Draw23% Borussia Dortmund58%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
42%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
81%
VfL Wolfsburg or Borussia Dortmund
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg12% Draw39% Borussia Dortmund49%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.7%
1 – 2
9.4%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
9.1%
0 – 3
7.9%
1 – 3
7.1%
0 – 0
5.7%
0 – 4
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
1 – 4
4.1%
2 – 1
3.7%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 8% 87%
-0.5 13% 87%
+0.5 33% 67%
+1 33% 22% 45%
+1.5 55% 45%
+2 55% 20% 24%
+2.5 76% 24%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
11%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.