Holstein Kiel vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Holstein Kiel vs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim — Bundesliga at Holstein-Stadion.
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 games · 61 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Felix Brych
- Assistant 1 Nikolai Kimmeyer
- Assistant 2 Mitja Stegemann
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | H | 4–2 | W |
| 11 Jan | SC Freiburg | A | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Dec | FC Augsburg | H | 5–1 | W |
| 14 Dec | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 1–4 | L |
| 07 Dec | RB Leipzig | H | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | Holstein Kiel | A | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Jan | FC Bayern München | A | 0–5 | L |
| 11 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Dec | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Dec | Borussia Dortmund | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Dec | FCSB Bukarest | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0-15
1/4
16-30
4/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/1
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Holstein Kiel to score. At the same time, TSG 1899 Hoffenheim does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' It looks surprising Holstein Kiel does not make any changes. Max Geschwill has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Max Moerstedt, as he is very good at scoring at Holstein-Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 23' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim receives a card for a hard tackle on 23.
- 26' What a strike from Adam Hlozek! The score is 0-1.
- 31' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Phil Harres suffering a number of foals already.
- 36' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 41' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Lasse Rosenboom made 277 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 46' What a strike from Andrej Kramaric! The score is 0-2.
- 51' TSG 1899 Hoffenheim is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 53' Holstein Kiel player sees a card in front of him.
- 56' Goal! Adam Hlozek scores his 27 goal in 46 matches.
- 61' The whistle greets Magnus Knudsen as he departs to be replaced by Armin Gigovic.
- 66' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 70' Finn Ole Becker is replacing Anton Stach for the TSG 1899 Hoffenheim side.
- 73' The whistle greets David Zec as he departs to be replaced by Dominik Javorcek.
- 78' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 83' Benedikt Pichler has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 84' Goal! Andu Yobel Kelati scores his 1 goal in 277 matches.
- 87' Holstein Kiel receives a card for a hard tackle on 87.
- 87' Time for substitution for Holstein Kiel. Alexander Bernhardsson is replaced by Benedikt Pichler.
- 88' The whistle greets Erencan Yardimci as he departs to be replaced by David Mokwa Ntusu.
- 90' It is a substitution in TSG 1899 Hoffenheim team. Max Moerstedt is replaced by Stanley N'Soki on 90 minute.
- Full Time. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim beats Holstein Kiel
Lineups
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
18
Shuto Machino ↓ Jann-Fiete Arp 61'
- 1
-
24
Magnus Knudsen ↓ Armin Gigovic 61'
- 8
- 14
- 22
- 19
- 23
- 6
- 11
-
26
David Zec ↓ Dominik Javorcek 73'
Bench
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 61'
- 31
-
9
Benedikt Pichler ↑ 87'
- 47
- 21
-
33
Dominik Javorcek ↑ 73'
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↑ 61'
-
16
Andu Yobel Kelati ↑ 61'
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 25
- 1
- 27
- 23
- 15
- 53
-
16
Anton Stach ↓ Finn Ole Becker 70'
- 35
- 22
- 7
-
33
Max Moerstedt ↓ Stanley N'Soki 90'
Bench
- 8
-
20
Finn Ole Becker ↑ 70'
- 26
- 37
- 14
-
34
Stanley N'Soki ↑ 90'
- 19
- 2
-
52
David Mokwa Ntusu ↑ 88'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Andrej Kramaric | 4 |
| Phil Neumann | 2 |
| Adam Hlozek | 2 |
| Angelo Stiller | 1 |
| Shuto Machino | 1 |
| Alexander Bernhardsson | 1 |
| Andu Yobel Kelati | 1 |
| Johannes van den Bergh | 1 |
Head to Head
Holstein Kiel Form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim Form
2025-01-18
Holstein Kiel
1–3
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
2025-01-15
FC Bayern München
5–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
L
2025-01-11
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–1
VfL Wolfsburg
L
2024-12-21
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1–2
Borussia Monchengladbach
L
2024-12-15
Borussia Dortmund
1–1
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
D
2024-12-12
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
0–0
FCSB Bukarest
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.71
Holstein Kiel xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim xG
I would bet for:
Holstein Kiel or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 74% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Holstein Kiel or Draw
61%
Draw or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
65%
Holstein Kiel or TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
1 – 2
8%
2 – 1
7.5%
2 – 2
6.8%
0 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 1
4.7%
1 – 0
4.3%
2 – 0
4.3%
3 – 1
4.3%
0 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
4.2%
Asian Handicap — Holstein Kiel
| Handicap | Holstein Kiel covers | Push | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 11% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 17% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 18% | 22% |
| +1.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +2 | 78% | 12% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.