Thursday , 2 July 2026

Molde FK vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Europe 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Thu 5 Oct 2023 · 19:00 UTC Aker Stadion HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Molde FK vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenEurope at Aker Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Anastasios Papapetrou
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

2
Molde FK 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–2 L
21 Sep Qarabag Agdam FK A 0–1 L
29 Aug Galatasaray SK A 1–2 L
23 Aug Galatasaray SK H 2–3 L
15 Aug KI H 2–0 W
08 Aug KI A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Molde FK A 2–1 W
30 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 3–0 W
24 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 4–1 W
21 Sep BK Hacken H 4–0 W
15 Sep FC Bayern München A 2–2 D
02 Sep SV Darmstadt 98 H 5–1 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23 Molde FK xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Molde FK or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Molde FK28% Draw27% Bayer 04 Leverkusen45%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Molde FK or Draw
55%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
72%
Molde FK or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Molde FK22% Draw46% Bayer 04 Leverkusen32%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.5%
0 – 0
7.8%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
3.8%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Molde FK

Handicap Molde FK covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 16% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 21% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

Molde FK keeps clean sheet
21%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.