Saturday , 14 November 2026

FC Bayern München vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Champions League 2024-25 LAST 16

Wed 5 Mar 2025 · 20:00 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Harry Kane 9' 1–0
Jamal Musiala 54' 2–0
Harry Kane pen 75' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Champions League at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 James Mainwaring
23 games this season 🟨 3.6/game ⚽ 12.2 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–0 W
28 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 3–1 W
23 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt H 4–0 W
18 Feb Celtic FC H 1–1 D
15 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–0 D
12 Feb Celtic FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
01 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 4–1 W
22 Feb Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W
15 Feb FC Bayern München H 0–0 D
08 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 0–0 D
05 Feb 1. FC Köln H 3–2 W

Season Stats

FC Bayern München Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#2 Position #16
21 Points 12
8 Played 8
7 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 3 / 2
22 Scored 13
8 Conceded 14
+14 GD -1
2.63 PPG 1.50
88% Win % 38%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 16th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/–
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Harry Kane 4 G 3 A
Michael Olise 2 G 1 A
Alphonso Davies 2 G
Jamal Musiala 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Allianz Arena. FC Bayern Munchen are looking to make home advantage count against Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 9' Goal! Harry Kane scores his 284 goal in 395 matches.
  • 14' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Bayern Munchen and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 19' Nordi Mukiele has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 24' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Bayern Munchen must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 29' FC Bayern Munchen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bayer 04 Leverkusen backline.
  • 34' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 39' That looks like a foul for a card for Nordi Mukiele.
  • 44' The 23-year-old Florian Wirtz has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 6 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 49' The travelling Bayer 04 Leverkusen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 51' Poor challenge from Leon Goretzka. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 54' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jamal Musiala makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 58' Jonas Urbig is ready to make an impact after coming on for Manuel Neuer at the 58 minute mark.
  • 62' That looks like a foul for a card for Nordi Mukiele.
  • 67' Kingsley Coman has been relatively quiet despite scoring 58 goals in his last 555 appearances.
  • 68' The supporters are chanting for Leroy Sane. He replaces Kingsley Coman on 68 minute.
  • 73' Controversy at the stadium! Edmond Tapsoba argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 74' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jonathan Tah on 74 minutes.
  • 75' Harry Kane is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 22 goals this season for the .
  • 80' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 81' It is a substitution in Bayer 04 Leverkusen team. Jeremie Frimpong is replaced by Arthur Augusto on 81 minute.
  • 86' A quiet spell here at Allianz Arena. Bayer 04 Leverkusen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 87' Bayer 04 Leverkusen make a change. Alejandro Grimaldo trudges off to be replaced by Emiliano Buendia on 87 minutes.
  • 89' Joao Palhinha gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Leon Goretzka and will look to change the dynamic.
  • With this win, FC Bayern Munchen is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.44 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + FC Bayern München to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München64% Draw20% Bayer 04 Leverkusen16%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
84%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
36%
FC Bayern München or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München50% Draw38% Bayer 04 Leverkusen12%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.6%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.4%
4 – 0
4.8%
0 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 27% — 73%
-2 27% 20% 53%
-1.5 47% — 53%
-1 47% 22% 31%
-0.5 69% — 31%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
39% ✗
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.