FC Bayern München vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Champions League 2024-25 LAST 16
Overview
Match Preview
FC Bayern München vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Champions League at Allianz Arena.
- FC Bayern München 8 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Michael Oliver
- Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
- Assistant 2 James Mainwaring
23 games this season
🟨 3.6/game
⚽ 12.2 goals/game
🟥 4 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atlético de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 3–0 | W |
| 28 Feb | VfB Stuttgart | A | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Feb | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 4–0 | W |
| 18 Feb | Celtic FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Feb | Celtic FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar | FC Bayern München | A | 0–3 | L |
| 01 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 4–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | Holstein Kiel | A | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | FC Bayern München | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Feb | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 05 Feb | 1. FC Köln | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| FC Bayern München | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #16 |
| 21 | Points | 12 |
| 8 | Played | 8 |
| 7 / 0 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 2 |
| 22 | Scored | 13 |
| 8 | Conceded | 14 |
| +14 | GD | -1 |
| 2.63 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 88% | Win % | 38% |
Key Stats
57%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
62%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 16th (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
4/–
61-75
4/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Bayern München
| Harry Kane | 4 G | 3 A |
| Michael Olise | 2 G | 1 A |
| Alphonso Davies | 2 G | |
| Jamal Musiala | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Allianz Arena. FC Bayern Munchen are looking to make home advantage count against Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 9' Goal! Harry Kane scores his 284 goal in 395 matches.
- 14' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Bayern Munchen and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 19' Nordi Mukiele has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 24' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Bayern Munchen must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 29' FC Bayern Munchen are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bayer 04 Leverkusen backline.
- 34' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 39' That looks like a foul for a card for Nordi Mukiele.
- 44' The 23-year-old Florian Wirtz has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 6 assists is a remarkable return.
- 49' The travelling Bayer 04 Leverkusen supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 51' Poor challenge from Leon Goretzka. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 54' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jamal Musiala makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 58' Jonas Urbig is ready to make an impact after coming on for Manuel Neuer at the 58 minute mark.
- 62' That looks like a foul for a card for Nordi Mukiele.
- 67' Kingsley Coman has been relatively quiet despite scoring 58 goals in his last 555 appearances.
- 68' The supporters are chanting for Leroy Sane. He replaces Kingsley Coman on 68 minute.
- 73' Controversy at the stadium! Edmond Tapsoba argues furiously but the card stands.
- 74' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jonathan Tah on 74 minutes.
- 75' Harry Kane is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 22 goals this season for the .
- 80' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 81' It is a substitution in Bayer 04 Leverkusen team. Jeremie Frimpong is replaced by Arthur Augusto on 81 minute.
- 86' A quiet spell here at Allianz Arena. Bayer 04 Leverkusen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 87' Bayer 04 Leverkusen make a change. Alejandro Grimaldo trudges off to be replaced by Emiliano Buendia on 87 minutes.
- 89' Joao Palhinha gets the nod from FC Bayern Munchen. He replaces Leon Goretzka and will look to change the dynamic.
- With this win, FC Bayern Munchen is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 1
- 6
- 11
- 8
- 2
- 27
- 19
- 17
- 42
- 3
Bench
- 10
- 15
- 7
- 26
- 25
- 22
- 16
- 21
- 23
- 44
- 40
- 24
Coach
Vincent Kompany
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
34
Granit Xhaka ↓ Aleix Garcia 81'
- 4
- 23
- 5
- 25
- 20
- 30
-
21
Amine Adli ↓ Edmond Tapsoba 68'
- 17
-
10
Florian Wirtz ↓ Patrik Schick 81'
- 3
Bench
-
16
Emiliano Buendia ↑ 87'
- 1
- 7
- 36
-
24
Aleix Garcia ↑ 81'
-
14
Patrik Schick ↑ 81'
-
12
Edmond Tapsoba ↑ 68'
- 19
- 22
-
13
Arthur Augusto ↑ 81'
Coach
Xabi Alonso
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Robert Lewandowski | 8 |
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Serge Gnabry | 5 |
| Leon Goretzka | 3 |
| Leon Bailey | 3 |
| Thomas Muller | 3 |
| Exequiel Palacios | 3 |
| Alejandro Grimaldo | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Bayern München Form
2025-03-05
FC Bayern München
3–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2025-02-28
VfB Stuttgart
1–3
FC Bayern München
W
2025-02-23
FC Bayern München
4–0
Eintracht Frankfurt
W
2025-02-18
FC Bayern München
1–1
Celtic FC
D
2025-02-15
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–0
FC Bayern München
D
2025-02-12
Celtic FC
1–2
FC Bayern München
W
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2025-03-05
FC Bayern München
3–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2025-03-01
Eintracht Frankfurt
1–4
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2025-02-22
Holstein Kiel
0–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2025-02-15
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–0
FC Bayern München
D
2025-02-08
VfL Wolfsburg
0–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
2025-02-05
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
3–2
1. FC Köln
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.44
FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + FC Bayern München to win 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
FC Bayern München or Draw
84%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
36%
FC Bayern München or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.6%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.4%
4 – 0
4.8%
0 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.6%
Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München
| Handicap | FC Bayern München covers | Push | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -2 | 27% | 20% | 53% |
| -1.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| -1 | 47% | 22% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +1 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

