Wednesday , 30 September 2026

FC Bayern München vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Champions League 2024-25 LAST 16

Wed 5 Mar 2025 · 20:00 UTC Allianz Arena 75,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Harry Kane 9' 1–0
Jamal Musiala 54' 2–0
Harry Kane pen 75' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

FC Bayern München vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Champions League at Allianz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 James Mainwaring
17 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 12.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–0 W
28 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 3–1 W
23 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt H 4–0 W
18 Feb Celtic FC H 1–1 D
15 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–0 D
12 Feb Celtic FC A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Mar FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
01 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 4–1 W
22 Feb Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W
15 Feb FC Bayern München H 0–0 D
08 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 0–0 D
05 Feb 1. FC Köln H 3–2 W

Season Stats

FC Bayern München Bayer 04 Leverkusen
#2 Position #16
21 Points 12
8 Played 8
7 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 3 / 2
22 Scored 13
8 Conceded 14
+14 GD -1
2.63 PPG 1.50
88% Win % 38%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 16th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Bayern München
Michael Olise 2 G 1 A
Harry Kane 1 G 1 A
Alphonso Davies 1 G
Jamal Musiala 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Allianz Arena. FC Bayern Munchen are looking to make home advantage count against Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Bayern Munchen and Bayer 04 Leverkusen are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 9' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Harry Kane makes it 1-0.
  • 14' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vincent Kompany will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 19' A quiet spell here at Allianz Arena. FC Bayern Munchen seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 24' Bayer 04 Leverkusen come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 29' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 34' Piero Hincapie is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Bayer 04 Leverkusen tonight.
  • 39' A moment of madness from Nordi Mukiele on 39 minutes earns him a card. Bayer 04 Leverkusen will be frustrated.
  • 44' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Bayern Munchen in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Bayer 04 Leverkusen's compact 4-4-2.
  • 49' With 0 assists to his name this season, Patrik Schick is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Bayern Munchen.
  • 51' Leon Goretzka picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 54' A goal from the Germany international Jamal Musiala! He fires home on 54 to make it 2-0!
  • 58' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Manuel Neuer is replaced by Jonas Urbig.
  • 62' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nordi Mukiele.
  • 67' FC Bayern Munchen are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 68' Leroy Sane is replacing Kingsley Coman for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
  • 73' It’s gonna be a card for Edmond Tapsoba.
  • 74' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Jonathan Tah.
  • 75' Harry Kane is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 14 goals this season for the .
  • 80' FC Bayern Munchen is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 81' It is a substitution in Bayer 04 Leverkusen team. Jeremie Frimpong is replaced by Arthur Augusto on 81 minute.
  • 86' Supporters expect more eagerness from Emiliano Buendia, as he is very good at scoring at Allianz Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 87' Another change for Bayer 04 Leverkusen made on 87 minute. Alejandro Grimaldo leaves to be changed by Emiliano Buendia.
  • 89' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Leon Goretzka is replaced by Joao Palhinha on 89 minute.
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen will have plenty to reflect on. FC Bayern Munchen were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.44 FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + FC Bayern München to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München64% Draw20% Bayer 04 Leverkusen16%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

FC Bayern München or Draw
84%
Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
36%
FC Bayern München or Bayer 04 Leverkusen
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Bayern München50% Draw38% Bayer 04 Leverkusen12%
Actual: FC Bayern München win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.6%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
7.4%
4 – 0
4.8%
0 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.4%
1 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München

Handicap FC Bayern München covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5 27% — 73%
-2 27% 20% 53%
-1.5 47% — 53%
-1 47% 22% 31%
-0.5 69% — 31%
+0.5 88% — 12%
+1 88% 8% 4%
+1.5 96% — 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
39% ✗
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.