Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München, Champions League 2024-25 LAST 16

Tue 11 Mar 2025 · 20:00 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 52' Harry Kane
0–2 71' Alphonso Davies

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern MünchenChampions League at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Slavko Vincic
  • Assistant 1 Tomaz Klancnik
  • Assistant 2 Andraz Kovacic
18 games this season 🟨 3.1/game 10.0 goals/game 🟥 5 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar FC Bayern München H 0–2 L
08 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 0–2 L
05 Mar FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
01 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 4–1 W
22 Feb Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W
15 Feb FC Bayern München H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–0 W
08 Mar VfL Bochum 1848 H 2–3 L
05 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–0 W
28 Feb VfB Stuttgart A 3–1 W
23 Feb Eintracht Frankfurt H 4–0 W
18 Feb Celtic FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen FC Bayern München
#16 Position #2
12 Points 21
8 Played 8
3 / 3 / 2 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 1
13 Scored 22
14 Conceded 8
-1 GD +14
1.50 PPG 2.63
38% Win % 88%

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
42% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
14% Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 16th (12 pts). FC Bayern München are 2nd (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Bayern München
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
3/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.7 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.24 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: FC Bayern München to win 62% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen16% Draw22% FC Bayern München62%
Actual: FC Bayern München win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.94
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
38%
Draw or FC Bayern München
84%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or FC Bayern München
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen9% Draw40% FC Bayern München51%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
11.5%
0 – 3
9.6%
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 1
8.9%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 3
6.7%
0 – 4
5.4%
1 – 4
3.9%
2 – 2
3.1%
1 – 0
3%
2 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 2% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 7% 91%
-0.5 9% 91%
+0.5 29% 71%
+1 29% 23% 48%
+1.5 52% 48%
+2 52% 21% 27%
+2.5 73% 27%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
12%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
50%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.