Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SV Werder Bremen, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 14:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Romano Schmid
0–2 90+4' Justin Njinmah

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SV Werder BremenBundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Welz
  • Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
  • Assistant 2 Arno Blos
19 games this season 🟨 1.2/game 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar SV Werder Bremen H 0–2 L
05 Mar FC Bayern München A 0–3 L
01 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 4–1 W
22 Feb Holstein Kiel A 2–0 W
15 Feb FC Bayern München H 0–0 D
08 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Mar Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 2–0 W
01 Mar VfL Wolfsburg H 1–2 L
25 Feb Arminia Bielefeld A 1–2 L
21 Feb SC Freiburg A 0–5 L
16 Feb TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–3 L
07 Feb FC Bayern München A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen SV Werder Bremen
#6 Position #15
59 Points 32
34 Played 34
17 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 8 / 8 / 18
68 Scored 37
47 Conceded 60
+21 GD -23
1.74 PPG 0.94
50% Win % 24%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
64% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
18% Clean Sheets
SV Werder Bremen this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). SV Werder Bremen are 15th (32 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SV Werder Bremen
0-15
/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
2.12 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 SV Werder Bremen xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen58% Draw23% SV Werder Bremen19%
Actual: SV Werder Bremen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
81%
Draw or SV Werder Bremen
42%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or SV Werder Bremen
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen44% Draw41% SV Werder Bremen15%
Actual: SV Werder Bremen win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–2 not predicted
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
9.4%
1 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
6.7%
3 – 0
6.5%
0 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
3.6%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push SV Werder Bremen covers
-2.5 20% 80%
-2 20% 18% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 22% 39%
-0.5 61% 39%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
36%
SV Werder Bremen keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.