FC Bayern München vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Bayern München vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.
- FC Bayern München 34 games · 89 pts (2025/26)
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Exner
- Assistant 1 Nikolai Kimmeyer
- Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak
17 games this season
🟨 1.2/game
⚽ 6.8 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | Holstein Kiel | H | 4–3 | W |
| 29 Jan | SK Slovan Bratislava | H | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Jan | SC Freiburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Jan | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Jan | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 5–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | FC Bayern München | A | 3–4 | L |
| 24 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jan | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | H | 4–2 | W |
| 11 Jan | SC Freiburg | A | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Dec | FC Augsburg | H | 5–1 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
35%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern München
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/4
31-45
4/2
46-60
6/1
61-75
3/1
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Bayern München is hosting Holstein Kiel for another epic battle.
- 5' Holstein Kiel is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. David Zec made 277 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 19' Goal! Jamal Musiala scores his 73 goal in 540 matches.
- 24' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 29' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Bayern München needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 34' Holstein Kiel is showing some good football. However, Holstein Kiel are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 39' The travelling Holstein Kiel supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 44' Holstein Kiel started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
- 46' What an equalizer from Harry Kane!
- 46' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Michael Olise is replaced by Serge Gnabry.
- 48' GOAL! Harry Kane scores on 45. Assisted by Kingsley Coman
- 53' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 54' Goal! Serge Gnabry scores his 105 goal in 540 matches.
- 58' Time for substitution for FC Bayern Munchen. Aleksandar Pavlovic is replaced by Joao Palhinha.
- 61' Magnus Knudsen has so much to prove this time. He replaces Armin Gigovic on 61 minute.
- 62' GOAL! Finn Porath scores on 62. Assisted by Timo Becker
- 67' Min-Jae Kim needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 15 Yellow cards this season.
- 71' Jann-Fiete Arp has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lasse Rosenboom on 71 minute.
- 76' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 78' The referee shows FC Bayern Munchen player a card on 78.
- 81' The referee shows Holstein Kiel player a card on 81.
- 82' The whistle greets John Tolkin as he departs to be replaced by Marko Ivezic.
- 85' The whistle greets Raphael Guerreiro as he departs to be replaced by Adam Aznou.
- 90' Holstein Kiel seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- With this win, FC Bayern München is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 1
- 6
- 11
- 22
- 2
- 27
- 17
- 42
- 3
- 45
Bench
- 10
- 15
- 7
- 25
- 16
- 23
- 44
- 40
- 49
Coach
Vincent Kompany
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 10
- 1
- 8
- 17
-
47
John Tolkin ↓ Marko Ivezic 82'
- 3
- 33
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↓ Magnus Knudsen 61'
-
19
Phil Harres ↓ Andu Yobel Kelati 82'
- 23
- 26
Bench
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 71'
-
7
Steven Skrzybski ↑ 61'
- 18
-
24
Magnus Knudsen ↑ 61'
- 9
- 21
- 14
-
6
Marko Ivezic ↑ 82'
-
16
Andu Yobel Kelati ↑ 82'
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Serge Gnabry | 2 |
| Jamal Musiala | 2 |
| Finn Porath | 1 |
| Leroy Sane | 1 |
| Fin Bartels | 1 |
| Hauke Finn Wahl | 1 |
| Michael Olise | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Bayern München Form
2025-02-01
FC Bayern München
4–3
Holstein Kiel
W
2025-01-29
FC Bayern München
3–1
SK Slovan Bratislava
W
2025-01-25
SC Freiburg
1–2
FC Bayern München
W
2025-01-22
Feyenoord Rotterdam
3–0
FC Bayern München
L
2025-01-18
FC Bayern München
3–2
VfL Wolfsburg
W
2025-01-15
FC Bayern München
5–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.53
FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.12
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
FC Bayern München or Draw
79%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
41%
FC Bayern München or Holstein Kiel
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 1
7.3%
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
5.3%
3 – 2
5.3%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.4%
4 – 1
4.2%
1 – 0
3.8%
4 – 2
3.4%
2 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München
| Handicap | FC Bayern München covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 17% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 20% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.