FC Bayern München vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Bayern München vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.
- FC Bayern München 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Exner
- Assistant 1 Nikolai Kimmeyer
- Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak
9 games this season
🟨 5.1/game
⚽ 17.0 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | Holstein Kiel | H | 4–3 | W |
| 29 Jan | SK Slovan Bratislava | H | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Jan | SC Freiburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Jan | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Jan | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 5–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | FC Bayern München | A | 3–4 | L |
| 24 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jan | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | H | 4–2 | W |
| 11 Jan | SC Freiburg | A | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Dec | FC Augsburg | H | 5–1 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern München
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/–
31-45
5/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/2
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Bayern München
| Michael Olise | 6 G | 3 A |
| Harry Kane | 4 G | 7 A |
| Luis Diaz | 4 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 3 G | |
| Ismael Saibari | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between FC Bayern München and Holstein Kiel is underway.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Vincent Kompany will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joshua Kimmich suffering a number of foals already.
- 15' The 26-year-old Jann-Fiete Arp has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 19' Jamal Musiala puts FC Bayern Munchen on the lead.
- 24' Holstein Kiel come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 29' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 34' A quiet spell here at Allianz Arena. Holstein Kiel seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 39' Aleksandar Pavlovic needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 11 Yellow cards this season.
- 44' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Bayern München must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 46' Goal! Harry Kane scores his 284 goal in 393 matches.
- 46' It is a substitution in FC Bayern Munchen team. Michael Olise is replaced by Serge Gnabry on 46 minute.
- 48' Brilliant from the ! Harry Kane makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 45.
- 53' Dayot Upamecano has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 2 goals this season.
- 54' Brilliant from the forward! Serge Gnabry makes it 0-4 with a superb finish on 54.
- 58' The FC Bayern Munchen manager makes a substitution. Aleksandar Pavlovic departs to be replaced by Joao Palhinha.
- 61' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. Armin Gigovic is replaced by Magnus Knudsen on 61 minute.
- 62' GOAL! Finn Porath fires home to make it 0-5!
- 67' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 71' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. Lasse Rosenboom is replaced by Jann-Fiete Arp on 71 minute.
- 76' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Holstein Kiel needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 78' Konrad Laimer catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 78.
- 81' Controversy at the stadium! David Zec argues furiously but the card stands.
- 82' Holstein Kiel make a change. John Tolkin trudges off to be replaced by Marko Ivezic on 82 minutes.
- 85' Adam Aznou is replacing Raphael Guerreiro for the FC Bayern Munchen side.
- 90' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Bayern München in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Holstein Kiel's compact 3-4-2-1.
- Holstein Kiel will have plenty to reflect on. FC Bayern München were simply the better side today.
Lineups
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 1
- 6
- 11
- 22
- 2
- 27
- 17
- 42
- 3
- 45
Bench
- 10
- 15
- 7
- 25
- 16
- 23
- 44
- 40
- 49
Coach
Vincent Kompany
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 10
- 1
- 8
- 17
-
47
John Tolkin ↓ Marko Ivezic 82'
- 3
- 33
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↓ Magnus Knudsen 61'
-
19
Phil Harres ↓ Andu Yobel Kelati 82'
- 23
- 26
Bench
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 71'
-
7
Steven Skrzybski ↑ 61'
- 18
-
24
Magnus Knudsen ↑ 61'
- 9
- 21
- 14
-
6
Marko Ivezic ↑ 82'
-
16
Andu Yobel Kelati ↑ 82'
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Serge Gnabry | 2 |
| Jamal Musiala | 2 |
| Leroy Sane | 1 |
| Fin Bartels | 1 |
| Hauke Finn Wahl | 1 |
| Michael Olise | 1 |
| Armin Gigovic | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Bayern München Form
2025-02-01
FC Bayern München
4–3
Holstein Kiel
W
2025-01-29
FC Bayern München
3–1
SK Slovan Bratislava
W
2025-01-25
SC Freiburg
1–2
FC Bayern München
W
2025-01-22
Feyenoord Rotterdam
3–0
FC Bayern München
L
2025-01-18
FC Bayern München
3–2
VfL Wolfsburg
W
2025-01-15
FC Bayern München
5–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.53
FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.12
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
FC Bayern München or Draw
79%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
41%
FC Bayern München or Holstein Kiel
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 1
7.3%
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
5.3%
3 – 2
5.3%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.4%
4 – 1
4.2%
1 – 0
3.8%
4 – 2
3.4%
2 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München
| Handicap | FC Bayern München covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 17% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 20% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.