FC Bayern München vs Holstein Kiel, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Bayern München vs Holstein Kiel — Bundesliga at Allianz Arena.
- FC Bayern München 4 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
- Holstein Kiel 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Exner
- Assistant 1 Nikolai Kimmeyer
- Assistant 2 Thomas Gorniak
5 games this season
🟨 3.6/game
⚽ 8.8 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | Holstein Kiel | H | 4–3 | W |
| 29 Jan | SK Slovan Bratislava | H | 3–1 | W |
| 25 Jan | SC Freiburg | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Jan | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Jan | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 5–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb | FC Bayern München | A | 3–4 | L |
| 24 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Jan | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | H | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Jan | Borussia Dortmund | H | 4–2 | W |
| 11 Jan | SC Freiburg | A | 2–3 | L |
| 21 Dec | FC Augsburg | H | 5–1 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
FC Bayern München this season
FC Bayern München this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Bayern München
0-15
–/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Bayern München
| Michael Olise | 4 G | 1 A |
| Harry Kane | 3 G | |
| Aleksandar Pavlovic | 1 G | 1 A |
| Dayot Upamecano | 1 G | |
| Luis Diaz | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Allianz Arena will turn into a battlefield for FC Bayern Munchen and Holstein Kiel.
- 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Timon Weiner suffering a number of foals already.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Magnus Knudsen made 3 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. FC Bayern Munchen must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 19' Jamal Musiala does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Bayern Munchen surge ahead!
- 24' Holstein Kiel started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 24.
- 29' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Bayern Munchen is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 34' Steven Skrzybski is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Bayern Munchen so far.
- 39' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 44' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His FC Bayern Munchen side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 46' Assisted by Raphael Guerreiro with the perfectly-timed delivery and Harry Kane makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 46' Serge Gnabry has so much to prove this time. He replaces Michael Olise on 46 minute.
- 48' Harry Kane doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 53' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 54' GOAL! Serge Gnabry scores on 54.
- 58' Another substitution for FC Bayern Munchen to replace Aleksandar Pavlovic by Joao Palhinha on 58 minute.
- 61' It is a substitution in Holstein Kiel team. Armin Gigovic is replaced by Magnus Knudsen on 61 minute.
- 62' Finn Porath doubles the advantage! 4-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 67' Holstein Kiel are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 71' Jann-Fiete Arp is replacing Lasse Rosenboom for the Holstein Kiel side.
- 76' Slovakia international Dominik Javorcek has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 78' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Konrad Laimer.
- 81' A meaty challenge results in booking for David Zec on 81.
- 82' Another change for Holstein Kiel made on 82 minute. John Tolkin leaves to be changed by Marko Ivezic.
- 85' Adam Aznou is ready to make an impact after coming on for Raphael Guerreiro at the 85 minute mark.
- 90' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- FC Bayern Munchen celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
FC Bayern München Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 1
- 6
- 11
- 22
- 2
- 27
- 17
- 42
- 3
- 45
Bench
- 10
- 15
- 7
- 25
- 16
- 23
- 44
- 40
- 49
Coach
Vincent Kompany
Holstein Kiel Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 10
- 1
- 8
- 17
-
47
John Tolkin ↓ Marko Ivezic 82'
- 3
- 33
-
37
Armin Gigovic ↓ Magnus Knudsen 61'
-
19
Phil Harres ↓ Andu Yobel Kelati 82'
- 23
- 26
Bench
-
20
Jann-Fiete Arp ↑ 71'
-
7
Steven Skrzybski ↑ 61'
- 18
-
24
Magnus Knudsen ↑ 61'
- 9
- 21
- 14
-
6
Marko Ivezic ↑ 82'
-
16
Andu Yobel Kelati ↑ 82'
Coach
Marcel Rapp
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Harry Kane | 5 |
| Serge Gnabry | 2 |
| Jamal Musiala | 2 |
| Steven Skrzybski | 1 |
| Finn Porath | 1 |
| Leroy Sane | 1 |
| Fin Bartels | 1 |
| Hauke Finn Wahl | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Bayern München Form
2025-02-01
FC Bayern München
4–3
Holstein Kiel
W
2025-01-29
FC Bayern München
3–1
SK Slovan Bratislava
W
2025-01-25
SC Freiburg
1–2
FC Bayern München
W
2025-01-22
Feyenoord Rotterdam
3–0
FC Bayern München
L
2025-01-18
FC Bayern München
3–2
VfL Wolfsburg
W
2025-01-15
FC Bayern München
5–0
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.53
FC Bayern München xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.59
Holstein Kiel xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.12
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
FC Bayern München or Draw
79%
Draw or Holstein Kiel
41%
FC Bayern München or Holstein Kiel
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Bayern München win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–3 not predicted4 – 3Actual
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 1
7.3%
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
5.3%
3 – 2
5.3%
1 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.4%
4 – 1
4.2%
1 – 0
3.8%
4 – 2
3.4%
2 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Bayern München
| Handicap | FC Bayern München covers | Push | Holstein Kiel covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -2 | 21% | 17% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 20% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Holstein Kiel keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.