Sunday , 16 August 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 10 Feb 2024 · 17:30 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
Josip Stanisic 18' 1–0
Alejandro Grimaldo 49' 2–0
Jeremie Frimpong 90+5' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Felix Zwayer
  • Assistant 1 Stefan Lupp
  • Assistant 2 Marco Achmuller
16 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 10.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Feb FC Bayern München H 3–0 W
06 Feb VfB Stuttgart H 3–2 W
03 Feb SV Darmstadt 98 A 2–0 W
27 Jan Borussia Mönchengladbach H 0–0 D
20 Jan RB Leipzig A 3–2 W
13 Jan FC Augsburg A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–3 L
03 Feb Borussia Mönchengladbach H 3–1 W
27 Jan FC Augsburg A 3–2 W
24 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–0 W
21 Jan SV Werder Bremen H 0–1 L
12 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen FC Bayern München
#12 Position #7
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 12th (0 pts). FC Bayern München are 7th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.09 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63 FC Bayern München xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen49% Draw32% FC Bayern München19%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes33% 0% No67%
Avg goals/match: 1.72
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 52%
48%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 10%
90%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
81%
Draw or FC Bayern München
51%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or FC Bayern München
68%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen28% Draw58% FC Bayern München14%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
20.4%
1 – 0
18.1%
1 – 1
13.2%
2 – 0
10%
0 – 1
9.8%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.3%
3 – 1
2.5%
2 – 2
2.3%
4 – 0
1%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push FC Bayern München covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% 81%
-1 19% 26% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 14% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
53%
FC Bayern München keeps clean sheet
34%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.