Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nurnberg, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

1 – 0

Full Time

1. FC Nurnberg

Sun 18 Mar 2018 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nurnberg — Bundesliga .

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 games · 0 pts
1. FC Nurnberg 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.44

Draw 4.75

1. FC Nurnberg 7.00

Head-to-Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 games · Avg 3.0 goals 1. FC Nurnberg

Last 5 meetings

2018-03-18 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FC Nurnberg 2017-10-28 1. FC Nurnberg 4–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2016-02-13 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FC Nurnberg 2015-09-12 1. FC Nurnberg 2–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2015-03-21 1. FC Nurnberg 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	1. FC Nurnberg	H	1–0	W
11 Mar	FC Hansa Rostock	H	3–2	W
03 Mar	TuS Erndtebruck	A	1–1	D
26 Feb	MSV Duisburg	H	1–1	D
18 Feb	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–0	W
10 Feb	TuS Dassendorf	H	2–0	W

1. FC Nurnberg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	0–1	L
10 Mar	MSV Duisburg	H	1–3	L
03 Mar	FC Hansa Rostock	A	0–1	L
24 Feb	VfB Stuttgart	H	0–1	L
17 Feb	Karlsruher SC	A	1–1	D
10 Feb	Hamburger SV	H	2–1	W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1. FC Nurnberg get this one started.
It finishes all square. Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1. FC Nurnberg share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

1. FC Nurnberg Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lucas Alario	1
Kai Havertz	1
Georg Margreitter	1
Kevin Volland	1

Head to Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2018-03-18 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FC Nurnberg W 2018-03-11 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3–2 FC Hansa Rostock W 2018-03-03 TuS Erndtebruck 1–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2018-02-26 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 MSV Duisburg D 2018-02-18 VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2018-02-10 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 TuS Dassendorf W

1. FC Nurnberg Form

2018-03-18 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FC Nurnberg L 2018-03-10 1. FC Nurnberg 1–3 MSV Duisburg L 2018-03-03 FC Hansa Rostock 1–0 1. FC Nurnberg L 2018-02-24 1. FC Nurnberg 0–1 VfB Stuttgart L 2018-02-17 Karlsruher SC 1–1 1. FC Nurnberg D 2018-02-10 1. FC Nurnberg 2–1 Hamburger SV W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.53 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.01 1. FC Nurnberg xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

Bayer 04 Leverkusen53% Draw26% 1. FC Nurnberg21%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes50% 0% No50%

Avg goals/match: 2.54

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	72%	28%
± 2.5	46%	54%
± 3.5	25%	75%
± 4.5	12%	88%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw

79%

Draw or 1. FC Nurnberg

47%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FC Nurnberg

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Bayer 04 Leverkusen34% Draw48% 1. FC Nurnberg18%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.1%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 0

9.9%

2 – 1

2 – 0

8.9%

0 – 1

6.9%

1 – 2

5.9%

2 – 2

4.6%

3 – 1

4.6%

3 – 0

4.5%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 2

2.4%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers	Push	1. FC Nurnberg covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	15%	75%
-1.5	25%	—	75%
-1	25%	23%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	76%	—	24%
+1	76%	15%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

37% ✗

1. FC Nurnberg keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.