VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, 2017

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1. Bundesliga 2017/18 · 2017

VfB Stuttgart

0 – 1

Full Time

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Sun 18 Feb 2018 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga .

VfB Stuttgart 0 games · 0 pts
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

VfB Stuttgart 3.00

Draw 3.60

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2.29

Head-to-Head

VfB Stuttgart 23 games · Avg 3.7 goals Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Last 5 meetings

2018-02-18 VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2017-09-23 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6–1 VfB Stuttgart 2017-04-22 VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2016-12-03 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4–1 VfB Stuttgart 2016-01-23 VfB Stuttgart 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	0–1	L
11 Feb	FC Erzgebirge Aue	A	0–1	L
03 Feb	TuS Erndtebruck	H	0–1	L
26 Jan	FC Hansa Rostock	A	0–2	L
20 Jan	MSV Duisburg	H	2–0	W
14 Jan	Karlsruher SC	A	1–2	L

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Feb	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–0	W
10 Feb	TuS Dassendorf	H	2–0	W
02 Feb	Karlsruher SC	A	3–2	W
27 Jan	Hamburger SV	H	2–2	D
19 Jan	SV Sandhausen 1916	A	1–1	D
14 Jan	1. CfR Pforzheim	H	0–0	D

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (23 games)

61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. VfB Stuttgart get us underway at .
With this win, Bayer 04 Leverkusen is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Patrik Schick	4
Florian Wirtz	4
Amine Adli	3
Sasa Kalajdzic	3
Chris Fuhrich	3
Robert Andrich	3
Orel Mangala	2
Ermedin Demirovic	2

Head to Head

VfB Stuttgart Form

2018-02-18 VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2018-02-11 FC Erzgebirge Aue 1–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2018-02-03 VfB Stuttgart 0–1 TuS Erndtebruck L 2018-01-26 FC Hansa Rostock 2–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2018-01-20 VfB Stuttgart 2–0 MSV Duisburg W 2018-01-14 Karlsruher SC 2–1 VfB Stuttgart L

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form

2018-02-18 VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2018-02-10 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 TuS Dassendorf W 2018-02-02 Karlsruher SC 2–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2018-01-27 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–2 Hamburger SV D 2018-01-19 SV Sandhausen 1916 1–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2018-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–0 1. CfR Pforzheim D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.07 VfB Stuttgart xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.59 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct

VfB Stuttgart24% Draw27% Bayer 04 Leverkusen49%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.66

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	74%	26%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw

51%

Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

76%

VfB Stuttgart or Bayer 04 Leverkusen

73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

VfB Stuttgart19% Draw47% Bayer 04 Leverkusen34%

Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.8%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

9.1%

0 – 0

0 – 2

8.7%

1 – 0

6.5%

2 – 1

6.1%

2 – 2

4.9%

1 – 3

4.9%

0 – 3

4.5%

2 – 0

3.9%

2 – 3

2.7%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap	VfB Stuttgart covers	Push	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	15%	76%
-0.5	24%	—	76%
+0.5	52%	—	48%
+1	52%	23%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	15%	11%
+2.5	89%	—	11%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

35% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.