Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nurnberg, 2014

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1. Bundesliga 2014/15 · 2014

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0 – 1

Full Time

1. FC Nurnberg

Sat 25 Oct 2014 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FC Nurnberg — Bundesliga .

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 games · 0 pts
1. FC Nurnberg 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.22

Draw 6.50

1. FC Nurnberg 11.00

Head-to-Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 8 games · Avg 3.0 goals 1. FC Nurnberg

Last 5 meetings

2014-10-25 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0–1 1. FC Nurnberg

Recent Form

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Oct	1. FC Nurnberg	H	0–1	L
18 Oct	Karlsruher SC	A	1–2	L
04 Oct	TuS Dassendorf	H	0–1	L
27 Sep	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	1–2	L
24 Sep	FC Erzgebirge Aue	H	2–2	D
20 Sep	SV Linx 1949	A	0–2	L

1. FC Nurnberg

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Oct	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–0	W
18 Oct	VfB Stuttgart	H	0–3	L
04 Oct	VfL Wolfsburg	A	0–4	L
27 Sep	FC Erzgebirge Aue	A	0–1	L
24 Sep	Karlsruher SC	H	1–0	W
20 Sep	CD Santa Clara	A	0–2	L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' Temperatures are rising at as Bayer 04 Leverkusen face off against 1. FC Nurnberg in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
0-1 the final result. Bayer 04 Leverkusen will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

1. FC Nurnberg Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Kai Havertz	1
Georg Margreitter	1
Kevin Volland	1
Lucas Alario	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 3

0.98 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.98 1. FC Nurnberg xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 69% + 1. FC Nurnberg or Draw 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Bayer 04 Leverkusen33% Draw33% 1. FC Nurnberg34%

Actual: 1. FC Nurnberg win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes40% 0% No60%

Avg goals/match: 1.96

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	83%	17%
± 1.5	59%	41%
± 2.5	31%	69%
± 3.5	14%	86%
± 4.5	6%	94%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw

66%

Draw or 1. FC Nurnberg

67%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FC Nurnberg

67%

Half-Time Result

Bayer 04 Leverkusen22% Draw55% 1. FC Nurnberg23%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

16.5%

1 – 1

14.5%

0 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

12.4%

1 – 2

6.5%

2 – 1

6.5%

0 – 2

6.4%

2 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

3.3%

1 – 3

2.2%

3 – 1

2.2%

0 – 3

2.1%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers	Push	1. FC Nurnberg covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	9%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	20%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	67%	—	33%
+1	67%	20%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

38% ✓

1. FC Nurnberg keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.