Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Erzgebirge Aue, 2014

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1. Bundesliga 2014/15 · 2014

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

2 – 2

Full Time

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Wed 24 Sep 2014 · 18:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Erzgebirge Aue — Bundesliga .

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0 games · 0 pts
FC Erzgebirge Aue 0 games · 0 pts

Match Details

Closing Odds (1X2)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.36

Draw 5.00

FC Erzgebirge Aue 7.50

Head-to-Head

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6 games · Avg 3.8 goals FC Erzgebirge Aue

Last 5 meetings

2014-09-24 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–2 FC Erzgebirge Aue

Recent Form

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Sep	FC Erzgebirge Aue	H	2–2	D
20 Sep	SV Linx 1949	A	0–2	L
13 Sep	Hamburger SV	H	3–1	W
29 Aug	MSV Duisburg	A	3–2	W
23 Aug	SV Drochtersen/Assel	H	0–2	L
21 Aug	Arminia Bielefeld	H	4–0	W

FC Erzgebirge Aue

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Sep	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	2–2	D
20 Sep	SC Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	H	0–2	L
13 Sep	VfL Wolfsburg	A	0–2	L
30 Aug	Karlsruher SC	H	0–2	L
24 Aug	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–1	D
17 Aug	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	4–0	W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Erzgebirge Aue.
It finishes all square. Bayer 04 Leverkusen and FC Erzgebirge Aue share the spoils 2-2.

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

FC Erzgebirge Aue Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 3

1.68 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.33 FC Erzgebirge Aue xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Bayer 04 Leverkusen46% Draw26% FC Erzgebirge Aue28%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.01

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	80%	20%
± 2.5	57%	43%
± 3.5	35%	65%
± 4.5	19%	81%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw

72%

Draw or FC Erzgebirge Aue

54%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or FC Erzgebirge Aue

74%

Half-Time Result

Bayer 04 Leverkusen33% Draw44% FC Erzgebirge Aue23%

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.9%

2 – 1

8.9%

1 – 0

7.5%

1 – 2

2 – 0

6.9%

0 – 0

6.7%

2 – 2

Actual

0 – 1

5.7%

3 – 1

0 – 2

4.3%

3 – 0

3.8%

3 – 2

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap	Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers	Push	FC Erzgebirge Aue covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	14%	76%
-1.5	24%	—	76%
-1	24%	21%	55%
-0.5	45%	—	55%
+0.5	71%	—	29%
+1	71%	16%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet

27% ✓

FC Erzgebirge Aue keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.