Saturday , 12 September 2026

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 17:00 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FCMLS at BMO Field.

Match Details

  • Referee Ismail Elfath
14 games this season 🟨 2.1/game 6.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Atlanta United FC H 1–2 L
22 Apr Philadelphia Union H 3–3 D
18 Apr Austin FC H 3–3 D
11 Apr FC Cincinnati H 1–1 D
04 Apr Colorado Rapids SC H 3–2 W
21 Mar Columbus Crew SC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Toronto FC A 2–1 W
22 Apr New England Revolution H 1–2 L
18 Apr Nashville SC H 0–2 L
12 Apr Chicago Fire FC A 0–1 L
04 Apr Columbus Crew SC H 1–3 L
21 Mar D.C. United SC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Toronto FC Atlanta United FC
#10 Position #14
29 Points 22
24 Played 24
6 / 11 / 7 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 14
38 Scored 29
43 Conceded 43
-5 GD -14
1.21 PPG 0.92
25% Win % 25%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
8% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Toronto FC are 10th (29 pts). Atlanta United FC are 14th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/3
46-60
4/6
61-75
7/5
76+
8/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
2/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/7
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A
Atlanta United FC
Aleksei Miranchuk 5 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.72 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.38 Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for: Toronto FC or Atlanta United FC 74% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC43% Draw26% Atlanta United FC31%
Actual: Atlanta United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.1
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 59%
41%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
57%
Toronto FC or Atlanta United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC33% Draw43% Atlanta United FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.3%
3 – 0
3.7%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% 76%
-1 24% 20% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 16% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.