Saturday , 14 November 2026

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 17:00 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at BMO Field.

Match Details

  • Referee Ismail Elfath
14 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 6.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Atlanta United FC H 1–2 L
22 Apr Philadelphia Union H 3–3 D
18 Apr Austin FC H 3–3 D
11 Apr FC Cincinnati H 1–1 D
04 Apr Colorado Rapids SC H 3–2 W
21 Mar Columbus Crew SC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Toronto FC A 2–1 W
22 Apr New England Revolution H 1–2 L
18 Apr Nashville SC H 0–2 L
12 Apr Chicago Fire FC A 0–1 L
04 Apr Columbus Crew SC H 1–3 L
21 Mar D.C. United SC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Toronto FC Atlanta United FC
#12 Position #13
39 Points 33
34 Played 34
9 / 12 / 13 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 19
52 Scored 43
67 Conceded 60
-15 GD -17
1.15 PPG 0.97
26% Win % 26%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). Atlanta United FC are 13th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
5/6
31-45
4/7
46-60
5/12
61-75
6/8
76+
7/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Josh Sargent 10 G 4 A
Daniel Salloi 9 G 6 A
Atlanta United FC
Aleksei Miranchuk 6 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.66 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47 Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for: Toronto FC or Atlanta United FC 74% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC41% Draw26% Atlanta United FC33%
Actual: Atlanta United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 38%
62%
± 4.5 21%
79%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
59%
Toronto FC or Atlanta United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC31% Draw43% Atlanta United FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
6%
2 – 0
6%
0 – 1
5.7%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.7%
1 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 12% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 19% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.