Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 17:00 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at BMO Field.

Match Details

  • Referee Ismail Elfath
14 games this season 🟨 2.1/game ⚽ 6.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Atlanta United FC H 1–2 L
22 Apr Philadelphia Union H 3–3 D
18 Apr Austin FC H 3–3 D
11 Apr FC Cincinnati H 1–1 D
04 Apr Colorado Rapids SC H 3–2 W
21 Mar Columbus Crew SC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Toronto FC A 2–1 W
22 Apr New England Revolution H 1–2 L
18 Apr Nashville SC H 0–2 L
12 Apr Chicago Fire FC A 0–1 L
04 Apr Columbus Crew SC H 1–3 L
21 Mar D.C. United SC H 0–0 D

Season Stats

Toronto FC Atlanta United FC
#13 Position #14
29 Points 27
27 Played 27
6 / 11 / 10 W / D / L 7 / 6 / 14
39 Scored 32
51 Conceded 45
-12 GD -13
1.07 PPG 1.00
22% Win % 26%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). Atlanta United FC are 14th (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
3/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
3/6
61-75
4/7
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A
Atlanta United FC
Aleksei Miranchuk 6 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.56 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for: Toronto FC or Atlanta United FC 73% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC40% Draw27% Atlanta United FC33%
Actual: Atlanta United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
67%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
60%
Toronto FC or Atlanta United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC30% Draw45% Atlanta United FC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 0
7%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.4%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% — 80%
-1 20% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% — 60%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.