Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 14 games · 11 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | Toronto FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jun | St. Louis City | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Jun | D.C. United SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Jun | Houston Dynamo | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Jun | Charlotte FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 May | Internacional CF Miami | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jun | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Jun | Nashville SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Jun | Chicago Fire FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 01 Jun | D.C. United SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 May | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #11 |
| 11 | Points | 14 |
| 14 | Played | 14 |
| 3 / 2 / 9 | W / D / L | 3 / 5 / 6 |
| 14 | Scored | 22 |
| 23 | Conceded | 29 |
| -9 | GD | -7 |
| 0.79 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 21% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Atlanta United FC are 14th (11 pts). Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Atlanta United FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' Shane O'Neill has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 15' Atlanta United FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Toronto FC backline.
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 25' Toronto FC is showing some good football. However, Toronto FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 30' Toronto FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Atlanta United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 40' Toronto FC have won 369 goals from 280 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 45' Stian Gregersen has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 46' Federico Bernardeschi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 46 minutes.
- 46' Kosi Thompson is replacing Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty for the Toronto FC side.
- 47' GOAL! Thiago Almada scores on 45. Assisted by Daniel Rios
- 48' Atlanta United FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 48.
- 52' Poor challenge from Kevin Long. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 57' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Atlanta United FC that had 283 games and scored 428 goals.
- 59' It is a substitution in Atlanta United FC team. Ajani Fortune is replaced by Bartosz Slisz on 59 minute.
- 64' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kosi Thompson is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Toronto FC.
- 67' Sigurd Rosted has so much to prove this time. He replaces Prince-Osei Owusu on 67 minute.
- 72' Stian Gregersen is having his name booked by the referee on 72.
- 75' Atlanta United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ronald Hernandez is hanging Stian Gregersen on the field on 75 minute.
- 76' Toronto FC make a change. Lorenzo Insigne trudges off to be replaced by Kobe Franklin on 76 minutes.
- 81' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Atlanta United FC and Toronto FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 86' Kobe Franklin has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 90' Shane O'Neill is ready to make an impact after coming on for Raoul Petretta at the 90 minute mark.
- It finishes all square. Atlanta United FC and Toronto FC share the spoils 2-1.
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 11
- 1
- 10
- 5
-
16
Xande Silva ↓ Tyler Wolff 90'
-
19
Daniel Rios ↓ Jamal Thiare 59'
- 8
- 26
-
35
Ajani Fortune ↓ Bartosz Slisz 59'
- 24
Bench
-
29
Jamal Thiare ↑ 59'
- 31
- 13
-
2
Ronald Hernandez ↑ 75'
- 22
-
6
Bartosz Slisz ↑ 59'
-
28
Tyler Wolff ↑ 90'
- 21
- 25
Coach
Rob Valentino
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 99
- 10
-
24
Lorenzo Insigne ↓ Kobe Franklin 76'
- 11
-
28
Raoul Petretta ↓ Shane O'Neill 90'
- 8
- 7
- 90
- 20
- 15
Bench
-
17
Sigurd Rosted ↑ 67'
-
27
Shane O'Neill ↑ 90'
- 18
- 6
- 29
-
47
Kosi Thompson ↑ 46'
-
19
Kobe Franklin ↑ 76'
- 71
- 12
Coach
John Herdman
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Federico Bernardeschi | 3 |
| Josef Martinez | 3 |
| Juan Sanchez | 3 |
| Luiz Araujo | 3 |
| Julian Gressel | 3 |
| Sebastian Giovinco | 2 |
| Pozuelo | 2 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
2024-06-29
Atlanta United FC
2–1
Toronto FC
W
2024-06-23
St. Louis City
1–1
Atlanta United FC
D
2024-06-19
D.C. United SC
0–1
Atlanta United FC
W
2024-06-15
Atlanta United FC
2–2
Houston Dynamo
D
2024-06-02
Atlanta United FC
2–3
Charlotte FC
L
2024-05-29
Internacional CF Miami
1–3
Atlanta United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.72
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.47
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atlanta United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Toronto FC
52%
Atlanta United FC or Toronto FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Atlanta United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6%
0 – 0
5.7%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 2
3.7%
1 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 13% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.