Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 18 games · 12 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | Toronto FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jun | St. Louis City | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Jun | D.C. United SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Jun | Houston Dynamo | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Jun | Charlotte FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 May | Internacional CF Miami | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jun | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Jun | Nashville SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Jun | Chicago Fire FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 01 Jun | D.C. United SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 May | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #12 |
| 12 | Points | 17 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 3 / 3 / 12 | W / D / L | 3 / 8 / 7 |
| 19 | Scored | 24 |
| 33 | Conceded | 32 |
| -14 | GD | -8 |
| 0.67 | PPG | 0.94 |
| 17% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Atlanta United FC are 15th (12 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/6
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Atlanta United FC are looking to make home advantage count against Toronto FC.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Atlanta United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Xande Silva is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Atlanta United FC.
- 20' Argentina international Thiago Almada has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' The home supporters are growing impatient. Atlanta United FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 30' It’s high time John Herdman made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 35' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 40' Kevin Long is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Atlanta United FC tonight.
- 45' The travelling Toronto FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 46' Brilliant from the ! Federico Bernardeschi makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 46.
- 46' Kosi Thompson is ready to make an impact after coming on for Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty at the 46 minute mark.
- 47' A stunning finish from Thiago Almada — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 48' Controversy at the stadium! Ajani Fortune argues furiously but the card stands.
- 52' Kevin Long is having his name booked by the referee on 52.
- 57' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Toronto FC that had 284 games and scored 371 goals.
- 59' The Atlanta United FC manager makes a substitution. Ajani Fortune departs to be replaced by Bartosz Slisz.
- 64' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 67' Toronto FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sigurd Rosted is hanging Prince-Osei Owusu on the field on 67 minute.
- 72' A moment of madness from Stian Gregersen on 72 minutes earns him a card. Atlanta United FC will be frustrated.
- 75' Ronald Hernandez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Stian Gregersen at the 75 minute mark.
- 76' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Lorenzo Insigne is replaced by Kobe Franklin.
- 81' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Shane O'Neill suffering a number of foals already.
- 86' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 90' The crowd applauds Raoul Petretta as he leaves the pitch. Shane O'Neill steps in for Toronto FC.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Atlanta United FC take all three points.
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 11
- 1
- 10
- 5
-
16
Xande Silva ↓ Tyler Wolff 90'
-
19
Daniel Rios ↓ Jamal Thiare 59'
- 8
- 26
-
35
Ajani Fortune ↓ Bartosz Slisz 59'
- 24
Bench
-
29
Jamal Thiare ↑ 59'
- 31
- 13
-
2
Ronald Hernandez ↑ 75'
- 22
-
6
Bartosz Slisz ↑ 59'
-
28
Tyler Wolff ↑ 90'
- 21
- 25
Coach
Rob Valentino
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 99
- 10
-
24
Lorenzo Insigne ↓ Kobe Franklin 76'
- 11
-
28
Raoul Petretta ↓ Shane O'Neill 90'
- 8
- 7
- 90
- 20
- 15
Bench
-
17
Sigurd Rosted ↑ 67'
-
27
Shane O'Neill ↑ 90'
- 18
- 6
- 29
-
47
Kosi Thompson ↑ 46'
-
19
Kobe Franklin ↑ 76'
- 71
- 12
Coach
John Herdman
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Juan Sanchez | 3 |
| Luiz Araujo | 3 |
| Julian Gressel | 3 |
| Federico Bernardeschi | 3 |
| Josef Martinez | 3 |
| Josef Martinez | 2 |
| Lucas Janson | 2 |
| Jordan Perruzza | 2 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
2024-06-29
Atlanta United FC
2–1
Toronto FC
W
2024-06-23
St. Louis City
1–1
Atlanta United FC
D
2024-06-19
D.C. United SC
0–1
Atlanta United FC
W
2024-06-15
Atlanta United FC
2–2
Houston Dynamo
D
2024-06-02
Atlanta United FC
2–3
Charlotte FC
L
2024-05-29
Internacional CF Miami
1–3
Atlanta United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.67
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atlanta United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.12
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Toronto FC
53%
Atlanta United FC or Toronto FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Atlanta United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.5%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 0
6.1%
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.