Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 34 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | Toronto FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jun | St. Louis City | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Jun | D.C. United SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Jun | Houston Dynamo | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Jun | Charlotte FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 May | Internacional CF Miami | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jun | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Jun | Nashville SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Jun | Chicago Fire FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 01 Jun | D.C. United SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 May | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #12 |
| 33 | Points | 39 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 6 / 19 | W / D / L | 9 / 12 / 13 |
| 43 | Scored | 52 |
| 60 | Conceded | 67 |
| -17 | GD | -15 |
| 0.97 | PPG | 1.15 |
| 26% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
68%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
12%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Atlanta United FC are 13th (33 pts). Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
3/4
16-30
5/6
31-45
4/7
46-60
5/12
61-75
6/8
76+
7/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/10
31-45
6/9
46-60
5/12
61-75
9/7
76+
16/12
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 6 G | 6 A |
Toronto FC
| Josh Sargent | 10 G | 4 A |
| Daniel Salloi | 9 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Mercedes-Benz Stadium will turn into a battlefield for Atlanta United FC and Toronto FC.
- 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Derrick Williams has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Atlanta United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 40' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Atlanta United FC and Toronto FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 46' Assisted by Lorenzo Insigne with the perfectly-timed delivery and Federico Bernardeschi makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 46' Kosi Thompson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty on 46 minute.
- 47' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Thiago Almada makes it 1-1.
- 48' Ajani Fortune has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 48.
- 52' The referee has no hesitation. Kevin Long is booked for Toronto FC — card on 52.
- 57' Over 57 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 59' Bartosz Slisz is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ajani Fortune at the 59 minute mark.
- 64' Atlanta United FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Toronto FC's shape.
- 67' Sigurd Rosted is replacing Prince-Osei Owusu for the Toronto FC side.
- 72' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Stian Gregersen on 72 minutes.
- 75' The Atlanta United FC manager makes a substitution. Stian Gregersen departs to be replaced by Ronald Hernandez.
- 76' A tactical swap from Toronto FC — Kobe Franklin on, Lorenzo Insigne off on 76 minutes.
- 81' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 86' Atlanta United FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Shane O'Neill. He replaces Raoul Petretta on 90 minute.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Atlanta United FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 11
- 1
- 10
- 5
-
16
Xande Silva ↓ Tyler Wolff 90'
-
19
Daniel Rios ↓ Jamal Thiare 59'
- 8
- 26
-
35
Ajani Fortune ↓ Bartosz Slisz 59'
- 24
Bench
-
29
Jamal Thiare ↑ 59'
- 31
- 13
-
2
Ronald Hernandez ↑ 75'
- 22
-
6
Bartosz Slisz ↑ 59'
-
28
Tyler Wolff ↑ 90'
- 21
- 25
Coach
Rob Valentino
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 99
- 10
-
24
Lorenzo Insigne ↓ Kobe Franklin 76'
- 11
-
28
Raoul Petretta ↓ Shane O'Neill 90'
- 8
- 7
- 90
- 20
- 15
Bench
-
17
Sigurd Rosted ↑ 67'
-
27
Shane O'Neill ↑ 90'
- 18
- 6
- 29
-
47
Kosi Thompson ↑ 46'
-
19
Kobe Franklin ↑ 76'
- 71
- 12
Coach
John Herdman
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Federico Bernardeschi | 3 |
| Josef Martinez | 3 |
| Juan Sanchez | 3 |
| Luiz Araujo | 3 |
| Julian Gressel | 3 |
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 2 |
| Sebastian Giovinco | 2 |
| Pozuelo | 2 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
2024-06-29
Atlanta United FC
2–1
Toronto FC
W
2024-06-23
St. Louis City
1–1
Atlanta United FC
D
2024-06-19
D.C. United SC
0–1
Atlanta United FC
W
2024-06-15
Atlanta United FC
2–2
Houston Dynamo
D
2024-06-02
Atlanta United FC
2–3
Charlotte FC
L
2024-05-29
Internacional CF Miami
1–3
Atlanta United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.88
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 66% + Over 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atlanta United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.4
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Toronto FC
50%
Atlanta United FC or Toronto FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Atlanta United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7%
2 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
5.9%
1 – 0
5.6%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 0
3.6%
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 20% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 16% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

