Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 27 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
- Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | Toronto FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jun | St. Louis City | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Jun | D.C. United SC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Jun | Houston Dynamo | H | 2–2 | D |
| 02 Jun | Charlotte FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 29 May | Internacional CF Miami | A | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Jun | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–3 | L |
| 19 Jun | Nashville SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Jun | Chicago Fire FC | H | 1–4 | L |
| 01 Jun | D.C. United SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 29 May | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | Toronto FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #13 |
| 27 | Points | 29 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 7 / 6 / 14 | W / D / L | 6 / 11 / 10 |
| 32 | Scored | 39 |
| 45 | Conceded | 51 |
| -13 | GD | -12 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.07 |
| 26% | Win % | 22% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
Atlanta United FC are 14th (27 pts). Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
3/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
3/6
61-75
4/7
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 6 G | 6 A |
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 5 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Atlanta United FC and Toronto FC is underway.
- 5' Nicksoen Gomis is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toronto FC so far.
- 10' Xande Silva has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 20' Federico Bernardeschi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 34 goals in his last 521 appearances.
- 25' Toronto FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kobe Franklin suffering a number of foals already.
- 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 45' Atlanta United FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
- 46' Assisted by Lorenzo Insigne with the perfectly-timed delivery and Federico Bernardeschi makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 46' Kosi Thompson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty on 46 minute.
- 47' Thiago Almada doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 48' Ajani Fortune is having his name booked by the referee on 48.
- 52' It’s a booking for Toronto FC player. Kevin Long gets a card.
- 57' Sigurd Rosted needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 59' Bartosz Slisz is replacing Ajani Fortune for the Atlanta United FC side.
- 64' Ghana international Prince-Osei Owusu has been a key figure this campaign — 5 goals and 4 assists in the Array this season.
- 67' Toronto FC make a change. Prince-Osei Owusu trudges off to be replaced by Sigurd Rosted on 67 minutes.
- 72' Controversy at the stadium! Stian Gregersen argues furiously but the card stands.
- 75' Atlanta United FC ring the changes. Stian Gregersen has done his job and it is now time for Ronald Hernandez to step up.
- 76' Another change for Toronto FC made on 76 minute. Lorenzo Insigne leaves to be changed by Kobe Franklin.
- 81' The home supporters are growing impatient. Atlanta United FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 86' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 86 minutes.
- 90' A change in the Toronto FC ranks — Raoul Petretta exits the field as Shane O'Neill enters on 90.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Toronto FC.
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 11
- 1
- 10
- 5
-
16
Xande Silva ↓ Tyler Wolff 90'
-
19
Daniel Rios ↓ Jamal Thiare 59'
- 8
- 26
-
35
Ajani Fortune ↓ Bartosz Slisz 59'
- 24
Bench
-
29
Jamal Thiare ↑ 59'
- 31
- 13
-
2
Ronald Hernandez ↑ 75'
- 22
-
6
Bartosz Slisz ↑ 59'
-
28
Tyler Wolff ↑ 90'
- 21
- 25
Coach
Rob Valentino
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 5
- 99
- 10
-
24
Lorenzo Insigne ↓ Kobe Franklin 76'
- 11
-
28
Raoul Petretta ↓ Shane O'Neill 90'
- 8
- 7
- 90
- 20
- 15
Bench
-
17
Sigurd Rosted ↑ 67'
-
27
Shane O'Neill ↑ 90'
- 18
- 6
- 29
-
47
Kosi Thompson ↑ 46'
-
19
Kobe Franklin ↑ 76'
- 71
- 12
Coach
John Herdman
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Juan Sanchez | 3 |
| Luiz Araujo | 3 |
| Julian Gressel | 3 |
| Federico Bernardeschi | 3 |
| Josef Martinez | 3 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Josef Martinez | 2 |
| Lucas Janson | 2 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
2024-06-29
Atlanta United FC
2–1
Toronto FC
W
2024-06-23
St. Louis City
1–1
Atlanta United FC
D
2024-06-19
D.C. United SC
0–1
Atlanta United FC
W
2024-06-15
Atlanta United FC
2–2
Houston Dynamo
D
2024-06-02
Atlanta United FC
2–3
Charlotte FC
L
2024-05-29
Internacional CF Miami
1–3
Atlanta United FC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.8
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.44
Toronto FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atlanta United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.24
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 83% |
|
17% |
| ± 2.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 3.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 4.5 | 23% |
|
77% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Toronto FC
50%
Atlanta United FC or Toronto FC
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Atlanta United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.1%
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.3%
0 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.2%
0 – 1
4.9%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | Toronto FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 20% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 16% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

