Sunday , 16 August 2026

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 12 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul Atlanta United FC H 1–1 D
03 Jul New York City FC A 1–3 L
28 Jun Portland Timbers H 3–0 W
25 Jun New York Red Bulls H 1–1 D
31 May Charlotte FC H 0–2 L
28 May Philadelphia Union H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul Toronto FC A 1–1 D
05 Jul D.C. United SC A 0–0 D
25 Jun Columbus Crew SC A 1–3 L
12 Jun New York City FC A 0–4 L
31 May New York Red Bulls A 0–2 L
28 May Orlando City SC H 3–2 W

Season Stats

Toronto FC Atlanta United FC
#12 Position #15
17 Points 12
18 Played 18
3 / 8 / 7 W / D / L 3 / 3 / 12
24 Scored 19
32 Conceded 33
-8 GD -14
0.94 PPG 0.67
17% Win % 17%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
16% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
11% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). Atlanta United FC are 15th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/6
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atlanta United FC
Aleksei Miranchuk 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to BMO Field that hosts another battle between Toronto FC and Atlanta United FC.
  • 5' Toronto FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toronto FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 15' Atlanta United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' Paraguay international Miguel Almiron has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 30' Toronto FC is showing some good football. However, Toronto FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 35' Deandre Kerr is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ola Brynhildsen at the 35 minute mark.
  • 40' Atlanta United FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Deybi Flores on 45.
  • 48' Deybi Flores does the damage! The net is bulging and Toronto FC surge ahead!
  • 53' Jayden Hibbert is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toronto FC tonight.
  • 54' Alonso Coello Camarero gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Deybi Flores and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 59' Luke Brennan is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toronto FC so far.
  • 63' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Sigurd Rosted.
  • 64' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Derrick Etienne by Tyrese Spicer on 64 minute.
  • 65' A tactical swap from Atlanta United FCLuke Brennan on, Saba Lobzhanidze off on 65 minutes.
  • 70' Atlanta United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 75' Toronto FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 76' Atlanta United FC make a change. Tristan Muyumba trudges off to be replaced by Jamal Thiare on 76 minutes.
  • 81' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toronto FC and Atlanta United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 82' That looks like a foul for a card for Tyrese Spicer.
  • 87' Tyrese Spicer has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 284 appearances.
  • 88' Raoul Petretta was booked on 88.
  • 90' The referee shows Toronto FC player a card on 90.
  • 90' Another change for Toronto FC made on 90 minute. Maxime Dominguez leaves to be changed by Lazar Stefanovic.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC48% Draw27% Atlanta United FC25%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
52%
Toronto FC or Atlanta United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC35% Draw46% Atlanta United FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 23% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
36%
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.