Thursday , 2 July 2026

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 12 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul Atlanta United FC H 1–1 D
03 Jul New York City FC A 1–3 L
28 Jun Portland Timbers H 3–0 W
25 Jun New York Red Bulls H 1–1 D
31 May Charlotte FC H 0–2 L
28 May Philadelphia Union H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul Toronto FC A 1–1 D
05 Jul D.C. United SC A 0–0 D
25 Jun Columbus Crew SC A 1–3 L
12 Jun New York City FC A 0–4 L
31 May New York Red Bulls A 0–2 L
28 May Orlando City SC H 3–2 W

Season Stats

Toronto FC Atlanta United FC
#11 Position #14
14 Points 11
14 Played 14
3 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 9
22 Scored 14
29 Conceded 23
-7 GD -9
1.00 PPG 0.79
21% Win % 21%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
7% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
14% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). Atlanta United FC are 14th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
/2
16-30
/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at BMO Field. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The travelling Atlanta United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Atlanta United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 20' It’s high time Robin Fraser made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' Toronto FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 35' Deandre Kerr gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Ola Brynhildsen and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 45' The referee calls foul for Deybi Flores. He receives a card.
  • 48' Deybi Flores puts Toronto FC on the lead.
  • 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
  • 54' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Deybi Flores is replaced by Alonso Coello Camarero.
  • 59' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toronto FC and Atlanta United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 63' Sigurd Rosted is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
  • 64' The whistle greets Derrick Etienne as he departs to be replaced by Tyrese Spicer.
  • 65' The supporters are chanting for Luke Brennan. He replaces Saba Lobzhanidze on 65 minute.
  • 70' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 75' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toronto FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 76' Atlanta United FC make a change. Tristan Muyumba trudges off to be replaced by Jamal Thiare on 76 minutes.
  • 81' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 82' Controversy at the stadium! Tyrese Spicer argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 87' Matthew Longstaff, a England , has 13 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 88' Controversy at the stadium! Raoul Petretta argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Toronto FC player. Matthew Longstaff gets a card.
  • 90' Lazar Stefanovic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Maxime Dominguez at the 90 minute mark.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC47% Draw27% Atlanta United FC26%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
53%
Toronto FC or Atlanta United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC35% Draw46% Atlanta United FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 22% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
34%
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
20%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.