Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sat 12 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul Atlanta United FC H 1–1 D
03 Jul New York City FC A 1–3 L
28 Jun Portland Timbers H 3–0 W
25 Jun New York Red Bulls H 1–1 D
31 May Charlotte FC H 0–2 L
28 May Philadelphia Union H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Jul Toronto FC A 1–1 D
05 Jul D.C. United SC A 0–0 D
25 Jun Columbus Crew SC A 1–3 L
12 Jun New York City FC A 0–4 L
31 May New York Red Bulls A 0–2 L
28 May Orlando City SC H 3–2 W

Season Stats

Toronto FC Atlanta United FC
#13 Position #14
29 Points 27
27 Played 27
6 / 11 / 10 W / D / L 7 / 6 / 14
39 Scored 32
51 Conceded 45
-12 GD -13
1.07 PPG 1.00
22% Win % 26%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). Atlanta United FC are 14th (27 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
3/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
3/6
61-75
4/7
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC
Daniel Salloi 7 G 5 A
Josh Sargent 7 G 2 A
Atlanta United FC
Aleksei Miranchuk 6 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Sean Johnson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toronto FC so far.
  • 10' Saba Lobzhanidze has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 20' A quiet spell here at BMO Field. Atlanta United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 25' Toronto FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lazar Stefanovic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 35' Deandre Kerr is replacing Ola Brynhildsen for the Toronto FC side.
  • 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 45' Deybi Flores was booked on 45.
  • 48' GOAL! Deybi Flores scores on 48. Assisted by Matthew Longstaff
  • 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
  • 54' Fresh legs for Toronto FC! Alonso Coello Camarero comes on to replace Deybi Flores.
  • 59' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 63' A moment of madness from Sigurd Rosted on 63 minutes earns him a card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
  • 64' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Derrick Etienne is replaced by Tyrese Spicer on 64 minute.
  • 65' Saba Lobzhanidze makes way for Luke Brennan at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Atlanta United FC.
  • 70' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toronto FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 75' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 76' Another substitution for Atlanta United FC to replace Tristan Muyumba by Jamal Thiare on 76 minute.
  • 81' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 82' Toronto FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 82.
  • 87' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toronto FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 88' Raoul Petretta was booked on 88.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Matthew Longstaff. He receives a card.
  • 90' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Maxime Dominguez departs to be replaced by Lazar Stefanovic.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.63 Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Toronto FC46% Draw27% Atlanta United FC27%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
54%
Toronto FC or Atlanta United FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Toronto FC34% Draw46% Atlanta United FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap Toronto FC covers Push Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.