Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 18 games · 17 pts (2026/26)
- Atlanta United FC 18 games · 12 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Jul | New York City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Jun | Portland Timbers | H | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Jun | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | Charlotte FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Jul | D.C. United SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Jun | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Jun | New York City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 31 May | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 May | Orlando City SC | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #15 |
| 17 | Points | 12 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 3 / 8 / 7 | W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 12 |
| 24 | Scored | 19 |
| 32 | Conceded | 33 |
| -8 | GD | -14 |
| 0.94 | PPG | 0.67 |
| 17% | Win % | 17% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
16%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
Toronto FC are 12th (17 pts). Atlanta United FC are 15th (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
6/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
–/4
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/6
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to BMO Field that hosts another battle between Toronto FC and Atlanta United FC.
- 5' Toronto FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toronto FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 15' Atlanta United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 25' Paraguay international Miguel Almiron has been a key figure this campaign — 3 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 30' Toronto FC is showing some good football. However, Toronto FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 35' Deandre Kerr is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ola Brynhildsen at the 35 minute mark.
- 40' Atlanta United FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 45' A meaty challenge results in booking for Deybi Flores on 45.
- 48' Deybi Flores does the damage! The net is bulging and Toronto FC surge ahead!
- 53' Jayden Hibbert is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Toronto FC tonight.
- 54' Alonso Coello Camarero gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Deybi Flores and will look to change the dynamic.
- 59' Luke Brennan is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toronto FC so far.
- 63' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Sigurd Rosted.
- 64' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Derrick Etienne by Tyrese Spicer on 64 minute.
- 65' A tactical swap from Atlanta United FC — Luke Brennan on, Saba Lobzhanidze off on 65 minutes.
- 70' Atlanta United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 75' Toronto FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 76' Atlanta United FC make a change. Tristan Muyumba trudges off to be replaced by Jamal Thiare on 76 minutes.
- 81' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Toronto FC and Atlanta United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 82' That looks like a foul for a card for Tyrese Spicer.
- 87' Tyrese Spicer has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 284 appearances.
- 88' Raoul Petretta was booked on 88.
- 90' The referee shows Toronto FC player a card on 90.
- 90' Another change for Toronto FC made on 90 minute. Maxime Dominguez leaves to be changed by Lazar Stefanovic.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Derrick Etienne ↓ Tyrese Spicer 64'
- 28
- 1
- 17
- 22
- 8
-
9
Ola Brynhildsen ↓ Deandre Kerr 35'
-
7
Theo Corbeanu ↓ Charles Sharp 90'
- 6
- 23
- 20
Bench
-
29
Deandre Kerr ↑ 35'
- 90
- 19
-
14
Alonso Coello Camarero ↑ 54'
- 71
-
76
Lazar Stefanovic ↑ 90'
-
16
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 64'
-
38
Charles Sharp ↑ 90'
- 77
Coach
Robin Fraser
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 11
- 44
- 59
- 10
- 18
- 99
-
8
Tristan Muyumba ↓ Jamal Thiare 76'
- 21
-
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↓ Luke Brennan 65'
- 42
Bench
- 43
-
14
Jamal Thiare ↑ 76'
- 30
- 1
- 2
- 24
-
20
Luke Brennan ↑ 65'
- 47
- 28
Coach
Ronny Deila
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Federico Bernardeschi | 3 |
| Josef Martinez | 3 |
| Juan Sanchez | 3 |
| Luiz Araujo | 3 |
| Julian Gressel | 3 |
| Sebastian Giovinco | 2 |
| Pozuelo | 2 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Atlanta United FC Form
2025-07-12
Toronto FC
1–1
Atlanta United FC
D
2025-07-05
D.C. United SC
0–0
Atlanta United FC
D
2025-06-25
Columbus Crew SC
3–1
Atlanta United FC
L
2025-06-12
New York City FC
4–0
Atlanta United FC
L
2025-05-31
New York Red Bulls
2–0
Atlanta United FC
L
2025-05-28
Atlanta United FC
3–2
Orlando City SC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.65
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
52%
Toronto FC or Atlanta United FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
9%
0 – 0
8.7%
0 – 1
6.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 2
3.6%
3 – 2
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Atlanta United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 23% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

