Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 14 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
- Atlanta United FC 14 games · 11 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Jul | New York City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Jun | Portland Timbers | H | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Jun | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | Charlotte FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Jul | D.C. United SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Jun | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Jun | New York City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 31 May | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 May | Orlando City SC | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #14 |
| 14 | Points | 11 |
| 14 | Played | 14 |
| 3 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 9 |
| 22 | Scored | 14 |
| 29 | Conceded | 23 |
| -7 | GD | -9 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 0.79 |
| 21% | Win % | 21% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
7%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
Toronto FC are 11th (14 pts). Atlanta United FC are 14th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/5
61-75
4/4
76+
5/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/4
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at BMO Field. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' The travelling Atlanta United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' Atlanta United FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' It’s high time Robin Fraser made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' Toronto FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 35' Deandre Kerr gets the nod from Toronto FC. He replaces Ola Brynhildsen and will look to change the dynamic.
- 40' Over 40 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 45' The referee calls foul for Deybi Flores. He receives a card.
- 48' Deybi Flores puts Toronto FC on the lead.
- 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
- 54' Time for substitution for Toronto FC. Deybi Flores is replaced by Alonso Coello Camarero.
- 59' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Toronto FC and Atlanta United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 63' Sigurd Rosted is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
- 64' The whistle greets Derrick Etienne as he departs to be replaced by Tyrese Spicer.
- 65' The supporters are chanting for Luke Brennan. He replaces Saba Lobzhanidze on 65 minute.
- 70' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 75' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toronto FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 76' Atlanta United FC make a change. Tristan Muyumba trudges off to be replaced by Jamal Thiare on 76 minutes.
- 81' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 82' Controversy at the stadium! Tyrese Spicer argues furiously but the card stands.
- 87' Matthew Longstaff, a England , has 13 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 88' Controversy at the stadium! Raoul Petretta argues furiously but the card stands.
- 90' It’s a booking for Toronto FC player. Matthew Longstaff gets a card.
- 90' Lazar Stefanovic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Maxime Dominguez at the 90 minute mark.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Derrick Etienne ↓ Tyrese Spicer 64'
- 28
- 1
- 17
- 22
- 8
-
9
Ola Brynhildsen ↓ Deandre Kerr 35'
-
7
Theo Corbeanu ↓ Charles Sharp 90'
- 6
- 23
- 20
Bench
-
29
Deandre Kerr ↑ 35'
- 90
- 19
-
14
Alonso Coello Camarero ↑ 54'
- 71
-
76
Lazar Stefanovic ↑ 90'
-
16
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 64'
-
38
Charles Sharp ↑ 90'
- 77
Coach
Robin Fraser
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 11
- 44
- 59
- 10
- 18
- 99
-
8
Tristan Muyumba ↓ Jamal Thiare 76'
- 21
-
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↓ Luke Brennan 65'
- 42
Bench
- 43
-
14
Jamal Thiare ↑ 76'
- 30
- 1
- 2
- 24
-
20
Luke Brennan ↑ 65'
- 47
- 28
Coach
Ronny Deila
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luiz Araujo | 3 |
| Julian Gressel | 3 |
| Federico Bernardeschi | 3 |
| Josef Martinez | 3 |
| Juan Sanchez | 3 |
| Josef Martinez | 2 |
| Lucas Janson | 2 |
| Jordan Perruzza | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Atlanta United FC Form
2025-07-12
Toronto FC
1–1
Atlanta United FC
D
2025-07-05
D.C. United SC
0–0
Atlanta United FC
D
2025-06-25
Columbus Crew SC
3–1
Atlanta United FC
L
2025-06-12
New York City FC
4–0
Atlanta United FC
L
2025-05-31
New York Red Bulls
2–0
Atlanta United FC
L
2025-05-28
Atlanta United FC
3–2
Orlando City SC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.67
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09
Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.76
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
74%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
53%
Toronto FC or Atlanta United FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.7%
0 – 0
8.2%
1 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.9%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 0
4.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Atlanta United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 15% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 22% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 14% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

