Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at BMO Field.
- Toronto FC 27 games · 29 pts (2026/26)
- Atlanta United FC 27 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Jul | New York City FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Jun | Portland Timbers | H | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Jun | New York Red Bulls | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 May | Charlotte FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 28 May | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Jul | D.C. United SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Jun | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Jun | New York City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 31 May | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 May | Orlando City SC | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| Toronto FC | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #14 |
| 29 | Points | 27 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 6 / 11 / 10 | W / D / L | 7 / 6 / 14 |
| 39 | Scored | 32 |
| 51 | Conceded | 45 |
| -12 | GD | -13 |
| 1.07 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 22% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season
Toronto FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
Toronto FC are 13th (29 pts). Atlanta United FC are 14th (27 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Toronto FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/7
61-75
7/6
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Atlanta United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
3/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
3/6
61-75
4/7
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Toronto FC
| Daniel Salloi | 7 G | 5 A |
| Josh Sargent | 7 G | 2 A |
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 6 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' Sean Johnson is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Toronto FC so far.
- 10' Saba Lobzhanidze has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 20' A quiet spell here at BMO Field. Atlanta United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 25' Toronto FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lazar Stefanovic suffering a number of foals already.
- 35' Deandre Kerr is replacing Ola Brynhildsen for the Toronto FC side.
- 40' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 45' Deybi Flores was booked on 45.
- 48' GOAL! Deybi Flores scores on 48. Assisted by Matthew Longstaff
- 53' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 53 minutes.
- 54' Fresh legs for Toronto FC! Alonso Coello Camarero comes on to replace Deybi Flores.
- 59' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 63' A moment of madness from Sigurd Rosted on 63 minutes earns him a card. Toronto FC will be frustrated.
- 64' It is a substitution in Toronto FC team. Derrick Etienne is replaced by Tyrese Spicer on 64 minute.
- 65' Saba Lobzhanidze makes way for Luke Brennan at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Atlanta United FC.
- 70' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Toronto FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 75' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 76' Another substitution for Atlanta United FC to replace Tristan Muyumba by Jamal Thiare on 76 minute.
- 81' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 82' Toronto FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 82.
- 87' The home supporters are growing impatient. Toronto FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 88' Raoul Petretta was booked on 88.
- 90' The referee calls foul for Matthew Longstaff. He receives a card.
- 90' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Maxime Dominguez departs to be replaced by Lazar Stefanovic.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
Toronto FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Derrick Etienne ↓ Tyrese Spicer 64'
- 28
- 1
- 17
- 22
- 8
-
9
Ola Brynhildsen ↓ Deandre Kerr 35'
-
7
Theo Corbeanu ↓ Charles Sharp 90'
- 6
- 23
- 20
Bench
-
29
Deandre Kerr ↑ 35'
- 90
- 19
-
14
Alonso Coello Camarero ↑ 54'
- 71
-
76
Lazar Stefanovic ↑ 90'
-
16
Tyrese Spicer ↑ 64'
-
38
Charles Sharp ↑ 90'
- 77
Coach
Robin Fraser
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 19
- 11
- 44
- 59
- 10
- 18
- 99
-
8
Tristan Muyumba ↓ Jamal Thiare 76'
- 21
-
9
Saba Lobzhanidze ↓ Luke Brennan 65'
- 42
Bench
- 43
-
14
Jamal Thiare ↑ 76'
- 30
- 1
- 2
- 24
-
20
Luke Brennan ↑ 65'
- 47
- 28
Coach
Ronny Deila
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Julian Gressel | 3 |
| Federico Bernardeschi | 3 |
| Josef Martinez | 3 |
| Juan Sanchez | 3 |
| Luiz Araujo | 3 |
| Sebastian Giovinco | 2 |
| Pozuelo | 2 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
Head to Head
Toronto FC Form
Atlanta United FC Form
2025-07-12
Toronto FC
1–1
Atlanta United FC
D
2025-07-05
D.C. United SC
0–0
Atlanta United FC
D
2025-06-25
Columbus Crew SC
3–1
Atlanta United FC
L
2025-06-12
New York City FC
4–0
Atlanta United FC
L
2025-05-31
New York Red Bulls
2–0
Atlanta United FC
L
2025-05-28
Atlanta United FC
3–2
Orlando City SC
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.63
Toronto FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15
Atlanta United FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.78
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 52% |
|
48% |
| ± 3.5 | 31% |
|
69% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
Toronto FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Atlanta United FC
54%
Toronto FC or Atlanta United FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
8.1%
0 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
3%
Asian Handicap — Toronto FC
| Handicap | Toronto FC covers | Push | Atlanta United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Toronto FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

