Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

Toronto FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Atlanta United FC

Sat 12 Jul 2025 · 23:30 UTC BMO Field HT 45' · FT 45'

Deybi Flores 45' Y

Sigurd Rosted 63' Y

Tyrese Spicer 82' Y

Raoul Petretta 88' Y

Matthew Longstaff 90' Y

Alonso Coello Camarero 90' Y

Charles Sharp 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Toronto FC vs Atlanta United FC — MLS at BMO Field.

Toronto FC 34 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Atlanta United FC 34 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

Toronto FC 19 games · Avg 2.8 goals Atlanta United FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-07-12 Toronto FC 1–1 Atlanta United FC 2024-06-29 Atlanta United FC 2–1 Toronto FC 2024-03-23 Toronto FC 2–0 Atlanta United FC 2023-04-15 Toronto FC 2–2 Atlanta United FC 2023-03-05 Atlanta United FC 1–1 Toronto FC

Recent Form

Toronto FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Jul	Atlanta United FC	H	1–1	D
03 Jul	New York City FC	A	1–3	L
28 Jun	Portland Timbers	H	3–0	W
25 Jun	New York Red Bulls	H	1–1	D
31 May	Charlotte FC	H	0–2	L
28 May	Philadelphia Union	H	1–2	L

Atlanta United FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
12 Jul	Toronto FC	A	1–1	D
05 Jul	D.C. United SC	A	0–0	D
25 Jun	Columbus Crew SC	A	1–3	L
12 Jun	New York City FC	A	0–4	L
31 May	New York Red Bulls	A	0–2	L
28 May	Orlando City SC	H	3–2	W

Season Stats

Toronto FC		Atlanta United FC
#12	Position	#13
39	Points	33
34	Played	34
9 / 12 / 13	W / D / L	9 / 6 / 19
52	Scored	43
67	Conceded	60
-15	GD	-17
1.15	PPG	0.97
26%	Win %	26%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

12% Clean Sheets
Toronto FC this season

15% Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season

Toronto FC are 12th (39 pts). Atlanta United FC are 13th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Toronto FC

0-15

1/3

16-30

3/10

31-45

6/9

46-60

5/12

61-75

9/7

76+

16/12

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Atlanta United FC

0-15

3/4

16-30

5/6

31-45

4/7

46-60

5/12

61-75

6/8

76+

7/11

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Toronto FC

Josh Sargent	10 G	4 A
Daniel Salloi	9 G	6 A

Atlanta United FC

Aleksei Miranchuk

6 G

6 A

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at BMO Field. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
10' A quiet spell here at BMO Field. Toronto FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
25' The travelling Atlanta United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
35' The Toronto FC bench stirs into life. Ola Brynhildsen is withdrawn and Deandre Kerr gets his opportunity.
40' Tristan Muyumba has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 428 appearances.
45' Toronto FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
48' GOAL! Deybi Flores fires home to make it 1-0!
53' It’s high time Robin Fraser made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
54' The Toronto FC manager makes a substitution. Deybi Flores departs to be replaced by Alonso Coello Camarero.
59' With 0 assists to his name this season, Emmanuel Latte Lath is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Atlanta United FC.
63' Sigurd Rosted is having his name booked by the referee on 63.
64' Another substitution for Toronto FC to replace Derrick Etienne by Tyrese Spicer on 64 minute.
65' Time for substitution for Atlanta United FC. Saba Lobzhanidze is replaced by Luke Brennan.
70' Atlanta United FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
75' Toronto FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
76' Another change for Atlanta United FC made on 76 minute. Tristan Muyumba leaves to be changed by Jamal Thiare.
81' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
82' Tyrese Spicer has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 82.
87' Brooks Lennon, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
88' Poor challenge from Raoul Petretta. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matthew Longstaff on 90.
90' Lazar Stefanovic is ready to make an impact after coming on for Maxime Dominguez at the 90 minute mark.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Toronto FC Lineups

Starting XI

11
Derrick Etienne ↓ Tyrese Spicer 64'
28
Raoul Petretta
1
Sean Johnson
17
Sigurd Rosted
22
Richie Laryea
8
Matthew Longstaff
9
Ola Brynhildsen ↓ Deandre Kerr 35'
7
Theo Corbeanu ↓ Charles Sharp 90'
6
Kosi Thompson
23
Maxime Dominguez ↓ Lazar Stefanovic 90'
20
Deybi Flores ↓ Alonso Coello Camarero 54'

Bench

Coach Robin Fraser

Atlanta United FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Ronny Deila

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luiz Araujo	3
Julian Gressel	3
Federico Bernardeschi	3
Josef Martinez	3
Juan Sanchez	3
Josef Martinez	2
Lucas Janson	2
Jordan Perruzza	2

Head to Head

Toronto FC Form

2025-07-12 Toronto FC 1–1 Atlanta United FC D 2025-07-03 New York City FC 3–1 Toronto FC L 2025-06-28 Toronto FC 3–0 Portland Timbers W 2025-06-25 Toronto FC 1–1 New York Red Bulls D 2025-05-31 Toronto FC 0–2 Charlotte FC L 2025-05-28 Toronto FC 1–2 Philadelphia Union L

Atlanta United FC Form

2025-07-12 Toronto FC 1–1 Atlanta United FC D 2025-07-05 D.C. United SC 0–0 Atlanta United FC D 2025-06-25 Columbus Crew SC 3–1 Atlanta United FC L 2025-06-12 New York City FC 4–0 Atlanta United FC L 2025-05-31 New York Red Bulls 2–0 Atlanta United FC L 2025-05-28 Atlanta United FC 3–2 Orlando City SC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.73 Toronto FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.22 Atlanta United FC xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Toronto FC46% Draw26% Atlanta United FC28%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.95

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	79%	21%
± 2.5	56%	44%
± 3.5	34%	66%
± 4.5	18%	82%

Double Chance

Toronto FC or Draw

73%

Draw or Atlanta United FC

54%

Toronto FC or Atlanta United FC

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Toronto FC35% Draw44% Atlanta United FC21%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

9.2%

1 – 0

8.2%

2 – 0

7.7%

0 – 0

1 – 2

6.5%

2 – 2

5.6%

0 – 1

5.5%

3 – 1

5.3%

3 – 0

4.4%

0 – 2

3.9%

3 – 2

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Toronto FC

Handicap	Toronto FC covers	Push	Atlanta United FC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	15%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	21%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	15%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

Toronto FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.