Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Champions League 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

Tue 7 Nov 2023 · 20:00 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 9' Milan Skriniar
Rafael Leao 12' 1–1
Olivier Giroud 50' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Paris Saint-Germain FCChampions League at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.9 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
AC Milan 2 games · Avg 3.0 goals Paris Saint-Germain FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–1 W
04 Nov Udinese Calcio H 0–1 L
29 Oct SSC Napoli A 2–2 D
25 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC A 0–3 L
22 Oct Juventus FC H 0–1 L
07 Oct Genoa CFC A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Nov AC Milan A 1–2 L
03 Nov Montpellier HSC H 3–0 W
29 Oct Stade Brestois 29 A 3–2 W
25 Oct AC Milan H 3–0 W
21 Oct RC Strasbourg Alsace H 3–0 W
08 Oct Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 3–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
35% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
2/
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Paris Saint-Germain FC
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 10 G 6 A
Ousmane Dembele 8 G 2 A
Vitinha 6 G 1 A
Desire Doue 5 G 4 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and AC Milan launch into their encounter with Paris Saint-Germain FC.
  • 5' With 2 assists to his name this season, Vitinha is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Paris Saint-Germain FC.
  • 9' Milan Skriniar is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 12' Against the run of play, Rafael Leao has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 17' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 22' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 24' Vitinha has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 24.
  • 29' Randal Kolo Muani picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 34' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Bradley Barcola made 424 appearances and scored 33 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 39' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 43' Manuel Ugarte has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 43.
  • 48' A quiet spell here at Giuseppe Meazza. Paris Saint-Germain FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 50' What composure from Olivier Giroud! The France international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 55' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Lucas Hernandez.
  • 60' Another substitution for Paris Saint-Germain FC to replace Randal Kolo Muani by Goncalo Ramos on 60 minute.
  • 65' The supporters are chanting for Nordi Mukiele. He replaces Lucas Hernandez on 65 minute.
  • 66' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Yunus Musah on 66 minutes.
  • 71' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Paris Saint-Germain FC backline.
  • 76' The energy levels are beginning to show. Luis Enrique might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 80' Paris Saint-Germain FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 80.
  • 84' The whistle greets Yunus Musah as he departs to be replaced by Rade Krunic.
  • 89' A tactical swap from Paris Saint-Germain FCBradley Barcola on, Milan Skriniar off on 89 minutes.
  • 90' Alessandro Florenzi is replacing Christian Pulisic for the AC Milan side.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.27 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.42 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Paris Saint-Germain FC 72%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan36% Draw28% Paris Saint-Germain FC36%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
64%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
64%
AC Milan or Paris Saint-Germain FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan24% Draw47% Paris Saint-Germain FC29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
8.4%
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.2%
0 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 20% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
25%
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.