US Lecce vs AC Milan, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Rosario Abisso
- Assistant 1 Giorgio Peretti
- Assistant 2 Gamal Mokhtar
4 games this season
🟨 3.5/game
⚽ 9.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | AC Milan | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Nov | AS Roma | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | Torino FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Oct | Udinese Calcio | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Oct | US Sassuolo Calcio | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | SSC Napoli | H | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | US Lecce | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Nov | Paris Saint-Germain FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Nov | Udinese Calcio | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | SSC Napoli | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Oct | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Oct | Juventus FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| US Lecce | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #4 |
| 10 | Points | 24 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 3 / 1 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 3 / 1 |
| 12 | Scored | 23 |
| 22 | Conceded | 13 |
| -10 | GD | +10 |
| 0.91 | PPG | 2.18 |
| 27% | Win % | 64% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season
US Lecce this season
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
US Lecce are 14th (10 pts). AC Milan are 4th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
US Lecce
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/8
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/5
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
US Lecce
| Lassana Coulibaly | 2 G | 2 A |
| Tiago Gabriel | 2 G | 1 A |
| Olaf Gorter | 1 G |
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for US Lecce to score. At the same time, AC Milan does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' With 0 assists to his name this season, Davide Calabria is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AC Milan.
- 10' Noah Okafor gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Rafael Leao and will look to change the dynamic.
- 15' US Lecce are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. US Lecce in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past AC Milan's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 25' Both keepers have barely been tested. US Lecce and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 28' A stunning finish from Olivier Giroud — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 33' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yunus Musah made 434 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 35' What composure from Tijjani Reijnders! The Netherlands international strokes it home. 0-2.
- 40' Theo Hernandez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for US Lecce so far.
- 44' Theo Hernandez is having his name booked by the referee on 44.
- 45' Ylber Ramadani catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 45.
- 46' AC Milan make a change. Davide Calabria trudges off to be replaced by Yunus Musah on 46 minutes.
- 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His US Lecce side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 56' Over 56 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 57' Joan Gonzalez has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hamza Rafia on 57 minute.
- 62' The referee shows US Lecce player a Yellow card on 62.
- 63' Another substitution for US Lecce to replace Mohamed Kaba by Alexis Blin on 63 minute.
- 66' Nicola Sansone makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and US Lecce are in front.
- 70' What composure from Lameck Banda! The Zambia international strokes it home. 2-2.
- 71' Another change for AC Milan made on 71 minute. Tommaso Pobega leaves to be changed by Alessandro Florenzi.
- 76' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 76 minutes.
- 79' Luka Jovic gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Samuel Chukwueze and will look to change the dynamic.
- 80' The referee has no hesitation. Yunus Musah is booked for AC Milan — Yellow card on 80.
- 81' AC Milan receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 81.
- 84' That is a Yellow card for AC Milan. Davide Calabria will be fuming at that decision.
- 85' Roberto Piccoli catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 85.
- 87' Davide Calabria picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 87' US Lecce make a change. Lameck Banda trudges off to be replaced by Lorenzo Venuti on 87 minutes.
- 90' Alessandro Florenzi picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- It finishes all square. US Lecce and AC Milan share the spoils 2-2.
Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 5
- 9
- 17
-
22
Lameck Banda ↓ Lorenzo Venuti 87'
- 30
-
8
Hamza Rafia ↓ Joan Gonzalez 57'
- 20
-
77
Mohamed Kaba ↓ Alexis Blin 63'
- 6
- 27
- 13
Bench
-
29
Alexis Blin ↑ 63'
- 10
-
11
Nicola Sansone ↑ 63'
- 21
- 25
- 55
-
91
Roberto Piccoli ↑ 63'
-
12
Lorenzo Venuti ↑ 87'
- 59
- 19
-
16
Joan Gonzalez ↑ 57'
- 40
- 18
- 26
- 45
Coach
Roberto D'Aversa
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 9
- 23
- 16
-
10
Rafael Leao ↓ Noah Okafor 10'
- 19
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↓ Luka Jovic 79'
-
2
Davide Calabria ↓ Yunus Musah 46'
- 33
- 28
- 32
Bench
- 8
- 7
-
15
Luka Jovic ↑ 79'
-
42
Alessandro Florenzi ↑ 71'
- 83
-
17
Noah Okafor ↑ 10'
- 18
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 46'
- 69
- 95
Coach
Stefano Pioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 5 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 1 |
| Alexis Blin | 1 |
Head to Head
US Lecce Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.27
US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.31
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.58
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
US Lecce or Draw
48%
Draw or AC Milan
75%
US Lecce or AC Milan
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 1
9%
0 – 2
7.5%
1 – 3
7%
0 – 1
6%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
5.6%
2 – 1
5%
2 – 3
4.4%
0 – 0
4.1%
1 – 4
4.1%
0 – 4
3.2%
Asian Handicap — US Lecce
| Handicap | US Lecce covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 5% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 11% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +1 | 41% | 21% | 38% |
| +1.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +2 | 62% | 18% | 21% |
| +2.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
Clean Sheet
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

