US Lecce vs AC Milan, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Rosario Abisso
- Assistant 1 Giorgio Peretti
- Assistant 2 Gamal Mokhtar
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | AC Milan | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Nov | AS Roma | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | Torino FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Oct | Udinese Calcio | A | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Oct | US Sassuolo Calcio | H | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | SSC Napoli | H | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | US Lecce | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Nov | Paris Saint-Germain FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 04 Nov | Udinese Calcio | H | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | SSC Napoli | A | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Oct | Paris Saint-Germain FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Oct | Juventus FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| US Lecce | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #5 |
| 6 | Points | 11 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 2 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 0 |
| 5 | Scored | 10 |
| 10 | Conceded | 4 |
| -5 | GD | +6 |
| 1.20 | PPG | 2.20 |
| 40% | Win % | 60% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season
US Lecce this season
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
US Lecce are 12th (6 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
US Lecce
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/3
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
US Lecce
| Lassana Coulibaly | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tiago Gabriel | 2 G | |
| Olaf Gorter | 1 G |
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. AC Milan kicks off things out of here…
- 5' US Lecce are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against AC Milan's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 10' AC Milan make a change. Rafael Leao trudges off to be replaced by Noah Okafor on 10 minutes.
- 15' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Wladimiro Falcone has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 20' AC Milan is showing some good football. However, AC Milan are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 28' Olivier Giroud has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 28 minutes.
- 33' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 35' The Netherlands Tijjani Reijnders breaks the deadlock on 35 minutes. 0-2!
- 40' Both keepers have barely been tested. US Lecce and AC Milan are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 44' A moment of madness from Theo Hernandez on 44 minutes earns him a Yellow card. AC Milan will be frustrated.
- 45' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ylber Ramadani on 45 minutes.
- 46' A change in the AC Milan ranks — Davide Calabria exits the field as Yunus Musah enters on 46.
- 51' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 56' The home supporters are growing impatient. US Lecce must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 57' US Lecce make a change. Hamza Rafia trudges off to be replaced by Joan Gonzalez on 57 minutes.
- 62' It’s a booking for US Lecce player. Gabriel Strefezza gets a Yellow card.
- 63' A change in the US Lecce ranks — Mohamed Kaba exits the field as Alexis Blin enters on 63.
- 66' What composure from Nicola Sansone! The Italy international strokes it home. 1-2.
- 70' Lameck Banda adds to his 0 season tally! US Lecce lead 2-2 — and this changes everything.
- 71' Alessandro Florenzi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tommaso Pobega at the 71 minute mark.
- 76' Luka Jovic is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AC Milan so far.
- 79' AC Milan make a change. Samuel Chukwueze trudges off to be replaced by Luka Jovic on 79 minutes.
- 80' Yunus Musah was booked on 80.
- 81' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Davide Calabria.
- 84' That is a Yellow card for AC Milan. Davide Calabria will be fuming at that decision.
- 85' Roberto Piccoli has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 85.
- 87' AC Milan player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 87' The supporters are chanting for Lorenzo Venuti. He replaces Lameck Banda on 87 minute.
- 90' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Alessandro Florenzi.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 5
- 9
- 17
-
22
Lameck Banda ↓ Lorenzo Venuti 87'
- 30
-
8
Hamza Rafia ↓ Joan Gonzalez 57'
- 20
-
77
Mohamed Kaba ↓ Alexis Blin 63'
- 6
- 27
- 13
Bench
-
29
Alexis Blin ↑ 63'
- 10
-
11
Nicola Sansone ↑ 63'
- 21
- 25
- 55
-
91
Roberto Piccoli ↑ 63'
-
12
Lorenzo Venuti ↑ 87'
- 59
- 19
-
16
Joan Gonzalez ↑ 57'
- 40
- 18
- 26
- 45
Coach
Roberto D'Aversa
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 9
- 23
- 16
-
10
Rafael Leao ↓ Noah Okafor 10'
- 19
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↓ Luka Jovic 79'
-
2
Davide Calabria ↓ Yunus Musah 46'
- 33
- 28
- 32
Bench
- 8
- 7
-
15
Luka Jovic ↑ 79'
-
42
Alessandro Florenzi ↑ 71'
- 83
-
17
Noah Okafor ↑ 10'
- 18
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 46'
- 69
- 95
Coach
Stefano Pioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 5 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Marco Mancosu | 1 |
| Theo Hernandez | 1 |
Head to Head
US Lecce Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.11
US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.34
AC Milan xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 66% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 3.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
US Lecce or Draw
46%
Draw or AC Milan
77%
US Lecce or AC Milan
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9.3%
1 – 1
9%
0 – 2
8.7%
1 – 3
7.2%
0 – 1
7%
0 – 3
6.6%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
4.5%
2 – 1
4.4%
1 – 4
4.3%
2 – 3
4%
0 – 4
3.9%
Asian Handicap — US Lecce
| Handicap | US Lecce covers | Push | AC Milan covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 4% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +1 | 36% | 21% | 42% |
| +1.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +2 | 58% | 19% | 23% |
| +2.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
Clean Sheet
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

