Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Milan vs Frosinone Calcio, Serie A 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2023-24
Sat 2 Dec 2023 · 19:45 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
Luka Jovic 43' 1–0
Christian Pulisic 50' 2–0
Fikayo Tomori 74' 3–0
3–1 82' Marco Brescianini

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Frosinone CalcioSerie A at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marchetti (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Mauro Vivenzi
  • Assistant 2 Domenico Fontemurato
6 games this season 🟨 1.5/game 4.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec Frosinone Calcio H 3–1 W
28 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 1–3 L
25 Nov ACF Fiorentina H 1–0 W
11 Nov US Lecce A 2–2 D
07 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–1 W
04 Nov Udinese Calcio H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Dec AC Milan A 1–3 L
26 Nov Genoa CFC H 2–1 W
12 Nov FC Internazionale Milano A 0–2 L
06 Nov Empoli FC H 2–1 W
29 Oct Cagliari Calcio A 3–4 L
22 Oct Bologna FC 1909 A 1–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Frosinone Calcio kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Anthony Oyono needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Francesco Gelli suffering a number of foals already.
  • 20' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 25' It looks surprising Frosinone Calcio does not make any changes. Caleb Okoli has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 35' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 40' It looks like no one’s ball. Frosinone Calcio is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 43' GOAL! Luka Jovic scores on 43.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Marco Brescianini. He replaces Mehdi Bourabia on 46 minute.
  • 50' What a strike from Christian Pulisic! The score is 2-0.
  • 55' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 55.
  • 57' Time for substitution for Frosinone Calcio. Reinier is replaced by Francesco Gelli.
  • 62' Supporters expect more eagerness from Matias Soule, as he is very good at scoring at Giuseppe Meazza with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 63' Enzo Barrenechea was booked on 63.
  • 64' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Tijjani Reijnders is replaced by Yacine Adli on 64 minute.
  • 66' Frosinone Calcio manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kaio Jorge is hanging Marvin Cuni on the field on 66 minute.
  • 71' The travelling Frosinone Calcio supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 74' Goal! Fikayo Tomori scores his 12 goal in 385 matches.
  • 79' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Ruben Loftus-Cheek by Tommaso Pobega on 79 minute.
  • 80' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Christian Pulisic by Chaka Traore on 80 minute.
  • 80' Luka Jovic was booked on 80.
  • 82' Goal! Marco Brescianini scores his 9 goal in 515 matches.
  • 85' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Francesco Camarda is hanging Luka Jovic on the field on 85 minute.
  • 86' The whistle greets Ilario Monterisi as he departs to be replaced by Walid Cheddira.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for AC Milan players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.7 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.07 Frosinone Calcio xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan53% Draw25% Frosinone Calcio22%
Actual: AC Milan win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
78%
Draw or Frosinone Calcio
47%
AC Milan or Frosinone Calcio
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan36% Draw45% Frosinone Calcio19%
Actual: AC Milan win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
8.9%
0 – 0
8.1%
1 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
5%
3 – 0
4.9%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Frosinone Calcio covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
35%
Frosinone Calcio keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.