Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 11:30 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Ollie Watkins 14' 1–0
Ollie Watkins 21' 2–0
Pervis Estupinan og 26' 3–0
3–1 50' Ansu Fati
Ollie Watkins 65' 4–1
Jacob Ramsey 85' 5–1
Douglas Luiz 90+8' 6–1

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Assistant 1 Ian Hussin
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Hopton
5 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 11.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 6–1 W
24 Sep Chelsea FC A 1–0 W
16 Sep Crystal Palace FC H 3–1 W
03 Sep Liverpool FC A 0–3 L
27 Aug Burnley FC A 3–1 W
20 Aug Everton FC H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Aston Villa FC A 1–6 L
24 Sep AFC Bournemouth H 3–1 W
21 Sep PAE AEK H 2–3 L
16 Sep Manchester United FC A 3–1 W
02 Sep Newcastle United FC H 3–1 W
26 Aug West Ham United FC H 1–3 L

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Brighton & Hove Albion FC
#16 Position #3
4 Points 10
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 1
4 Scored 16
9 Conceded 5
-5 GD +11
0.80 PPG 2.00
20% Win % 60%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
60% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts). Brighton & Hove Albion FC are 3rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Pascal Gross 3 G 3 A
Charalampos Kostoulas 2 G 1 A
Jack Hinshelwood 2 G
Malick Yalcouye 2 G
Maxim De Cuyper 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.27 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.49 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC46% Draw19% Brighton & Hove Albion FC35%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes81% 0% No19%
Avg goals/match: 4.76
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 84%
16%
± 3.5 68%
32%
± 4.5 51%
49%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
54%
Aston Villa FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
81%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC30% Draw34% Brighton & Hove Albion FC36%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–1 not predicted
6 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.6%
1 – 2
6%
1 – 1
5.6%
2 – 1
5.5%
2 – 3
5.4%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
4.9%
3 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
4.1%
2 – 4
3.4%
1 – 4
3%
0 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 11% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 15% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 17% 27%
+1.5 73% — 27%
+2 73% 13% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.