Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 11:30 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Ollie Watkins 14' 1–0
Ollie Watkins 21' 2–0
Pervis Estupinan og 26' 3–0
3–1 50' Ansu Fati
Ollie Watkins 65' 4–1
Jacob Ramsey 85' 5–1
Douglas Luiz 90+8' 6–1

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FCPremier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Assistant 1 Ian Hussin
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Hopton

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 6–1 W
24 Sep Chelsea FC A 1–0 W
16 Sep Crystal Palace FC H 3–1 W
03 Sep Liverpool FC A 0–3 L
27 Aug Burnley FC A 3–1 W
20 Aug Everton FC H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Aston Villa FC A 1–6 L
24 Sep AFC Bournemouth H 3–1 W
21 Sep PAE AEK H 2–3 L
16 Sep Manchester United FC A 3–1 W
02 Sep Newcastle United FC H 3–1 W
26 Aug West Ham United FC H 1–3 L

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Brighton & Hove Albion FC
#11 Position #15
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts). Brighton & Hove Albion FC are 15th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.94 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.53 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Aston Villa FC to win 69% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC69% Draw21% Brighton & Hove Albion FC10%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 2.47
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
90%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
31%
Aston Villa FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC48% Draw44% Brighton & Hove Albion FC8%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–1 not predicted
6 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
15.9%
2 – 0
15.5%
0 – 0
10.3%
3 – 0
9.8%
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
8.2%
3 – 1
5.4%
4 – 0
4.8%
0 – 1
3.7%
4 – 1
2.7%
2 – 2
2.2%
1 – 2
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 22% 56%
-1.5 44% 56%
-1 44% 26% 30%
-0.5 70% 30%
+0.5 92% 8%
+1 92% 6% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
59%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.