Saturday , 14 November 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sat 30 Sep 2023 · 11:30 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Ollie Watkins 14' 1–0
Ollie Watkins 21' 2–0
Pervis Estupinan og 26' 3–0
3–1 50' Ansu Fati
Ollie Watkins 65' 4–1
Jacob Ramsey 85' 5–1
Douglas Luiz 90+8' 6–1

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Andy Madley
  • Assistant 1 Ian Hussin
  • Assistant 2 Nicholas Hopton
7 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 10.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 6–1 W
24 Sep Chelsea FC A 1–0 W
16 Sep Crystal Palace FC H 3–1 W
03 Sep Liverpool FC A 0–3 L
27 Aug Burnley FC A 3–1 W
20 Aug Everton FC H 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Sep Aston Villa FC A 1–6 L
24 Sep AFC Bournemouth H 3–1 W
21 Sep PAE AEK H 2–3 L
16 Sep Manchester United FC A 3–1 W
02 Sep Newcastle United FC H 3–1 W
26 Aug West Ham United FC H 1–3 L

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Brighton & Hove Albion FC
#10 Position #2
13 Points 22
10 Played 10
3 / 4 / 3 W / D / L 7 / 1 / 2
14 Scored 26
17 Conceded 7
-3 GD +19
1.30 PPG 2.20
30% Win % 70%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
70% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts). Brighton & Hove Albion FC are 2nd (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
0-15
4/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
6/1
46-60
4/–
61-75
2/1
76+
5/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 6 G 1 A
Johan Manzambi 2 G 3 A
Alysson 2 G
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Pascal Gross 4 G 4 A
Charalampos Kostoulas 3 G 2 A
Yasin Ayari 3 G 1 A
Jack Hinshelwood 3 G
Maxim De Cuyper 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.35 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.08 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC51% Draw20% Brighton & Hove Albion FC29%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 4.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 63%
37%
± 4.5 45%
55%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
49%
Aston Villa FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC35% Draw36% Brighton & Hove Albion FC29%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–1 not predicted
6 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
5.2%
2 – 3
4.7%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.4%
4 – 2
3.2%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 13% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 17% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 15% 19%
+1.5 81% — 19%
+2 81% 10% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.