Sunday , 16 August 2026

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Sun 5 May 2024 · 13:00 UTC Amex Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Joao Pedro 87' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Aston Villa FCPremier League at Amex Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
  • Assistant 1 Ian Hussin
  • Assistant 2 Wade Smith

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 May Aston Villa FC H 1–0 W
28 Apr AFC Bournemouth A 0–3 L
25 Apr Manchester City FC H 0–4 L
13 Apr Burnley FC A 1–1 D
06 Apr Arsenal FC H 0–3 L
03 Apr Brentford FC A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 May Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–1 L
27 Apr Chelsea FC H 2–2 D
21 Apr AFC Bournemouth H 3–1 W
14 Apr Arsenal FC A 2–0 W
06 Apr Brentford FC H 3–3 D
03 Apr Manchester City FC A 1–4 L

Season Stats

Brighton & Hove Albion FC Aston Villa FC
#15 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Brighton & Hove Albion FC are 15th (0 pts). Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.45 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 83% + Aston Villa FC or Draw 77%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Brighton & Hove Albion FC23% Draw37% Aston Villa FC40%
Actual: Brighton & Hove Albion FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes24% 0% No76%
Avg goals/match: 1.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 72%
28%
± 1.5 41%
59%
± 2.5 17%
83%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
77%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC or Aston Villa FC
63%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Brighton & Hove Albion FC10% Draw64% Aston Villa FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
27.7%
0 – 1
22%
1 – 1
11.4%
0 – 2
10.2%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
5.1%
0 – 3
3.1%
2 – 1
2.3%
2 – 0
2.2%
1 – 3
1.7%
2 – 2
1.3%
0 – 4
0.8%

Asian Handicap — Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Handicap Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 3% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 12% 85%
-0.5 15% 85%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 28% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 12% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
40%
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
64%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.