Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Sun 28 May 2023 · 15:30 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC — Premier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Tim Wood
  • Referee David Coote
  • Referee Graham Scott
  • Referee Lee Betts
  • Referee Simon Bennett
  • Referee Andy Davies (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 May Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–1 W
20 May Liverpool FC A 1–1 D
13 May Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–1 W
06 May Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–1 L
30 Apr Manchester United FC A 0–1 L
25 Apr Fulham FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 May Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
24 May Manchester City FC H 1–1 D
21 May Southampton FC H 3–1 W
18 May Newcastle United FC A 1–4 L
14 May Arsenal FC A 3–0 W
08 May Everton FC H 1–5 L

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Brighton & Hove Albion FC
#16 Position #3
4 Points 10
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 1
4 Scored 16
9 Conceded 5
-5 GD +11
0.80 PPG 2.00
20% Win % 60%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season
60% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season

Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts). Brighton & Hove Albion FC are 3rd (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Pascal Gross 3 G 3 A
Charalampos Kostoulas 2 G 1 A
Jack Hinshelwood 2 G
Malick Yalcouye 2 G
Maxim De Cuyper 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.27 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.41 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 70% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC32% Draw20% Brighton & Hove Albion FC48%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.68
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 70%
30%
± 3.5 49%
51%
± 4.5 31%
69%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
52%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
68%
Aston Villa FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC17% Draw38% Brighton & Hove Albion FC45%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9%
1 – 1
8.6%
0 – 2
7.4%
1 – 3
7.2%
0 – 3
5.8%
0 – 1
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 3
4.5%
1 – 4
4.3%
0 – 0
3.8%
0 – 4
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 92%
-1.5 8% — 92%
-1 8% 11% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 39% — 61%
+1 39% 21% 40%
+1.5 60% — 40%
+2 60% 18% 22%
+2.5 78% — 22%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.