Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Sun 28 May 2023 · 15:30 UTC Villa Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FCPremier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Tim Wood
  • Referee David Coote
  • Referee Graham Scott
  • Referee Lee Betts
  • Referee Simon Bennett
  • Referee Andy Davies (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 May Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 2–1 W
20 May Liverpool FC A 1–1 D
13 May Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–1 W
06 May Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–1 L
30 Apr Manchester United FC A 0–1 L
25 Apr Fulham FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 May Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
24 May Manchester City FC H 1–1 D
21 May Southampton FC H 3–1 W
18 May Newcastle United FC A 1–4 L
14 May Arsenal FC A 3–0 W
08 May Everton FC H 1–5 L

Season Stats

Aston Villa FC Brighton & Hove Albion FC
#11 Position #15
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

57% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Aston Villa FC are 11th (0 pts). Brighton & Hove Albion FC are 15th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.94 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.45 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 83% + Under — clean sheet likely 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC50% Draw34% Brighton & Hove Albion FC16%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes24% 0% No76%
Avg goals/match: 1.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 72%
28%
± 1.5 41%
59%
± 2.5 17%
83%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
50%
Aston Villa FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC27% Draw64% Brighton & Hove Albion FC9%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
27.7%
1 – 0
22%
1 – 1
11.4%
2 – 0
10.3%
0 – 1
9.5%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 2
2.3%
0 – 2
2.2%
3 – 1
1.7%
2 – 2
1.3%
4 – 0
0.8%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 12% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 28% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 12% 3%
+1.5 97% 3%
+2 97% 3% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
64%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.