Thursday , 2 July 2026

Albirex Niigata vs Urawa Red Diamonds, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sun 11 May 2025 · 05:05 UTC Denka Big Swan Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Danilo 78' Y
Taiki Arai 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Albirex Niigata vs Urawa Red DiamondsJ. League at Denka Big Swan Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–1 D
03 May FC Tōkyō H 2–3 L
29 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–0 W
26 Apr Kashiwa Reysol A 1–1 D
19 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC H 1–2 L
13 Apr Yokohama FC H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Albirex Niigata A 1–1 D
06 May Gamba Osaka H 0–1 L
03 May Tokyo Verdy H 2–0 W
25 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–0 W
20 Apr Yokohama F·Marinos H 3–1 W
16 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Urawa Red Diamonds this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Urawa Red Diamonds
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/
46-60
4/
61-75
3/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Denka Big Swan Stadium that hosts another battle between Albirex Niigata and Urawa Red Diamonds.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Urawa Red Diamonds that had 439 games and scored 403 goals.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 25' The travelling Urawa Red Diamonds supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 29' It’s a booking for Urawa Red Diamonds player. Ryoma Watanabe gets a card.
  • 34' Urawa Red Diamonds started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 34.
  • 39' It looks like no one’s ball. Albirex Niigata is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 44' Supporters expect more eagerness from Genki Haraguchi, as he is very good at scoring at Denka Big Swan Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 49' Yoichi Naganuma needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 1 Red cards this season.
  • 54' It’s high time Maciej Skorza made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 59' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Urawa Red Diamonds needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 60' Albirex Niigata receives a card for a hard tackle on 60.
  • 64' Urawa Red Diamonds manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tomoaki Okubo is hanging Takuro Kaneko on the field on 64 minute.
  • 65' The Albirex Niigata manager makes a substitution. Keisuke Kasai departs to be replaced by Yota Komi.
  • 70' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Danilo made 371 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 74' GOAL! Motoki Hasegawa scores on 74.
  • 78' Albirex Niigata receives a card for a hard tackle on 78.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Motoki Nagakura. He replaces Taishi Matsumoto on 79 minute.
  • 80' Goal! Motoki Nagakura scores his 12 goal in 110 matches.
  • 85' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 86' It is a substitution in Albirex Niigata team. Danilo is replaced by Ken Yamura on 86 minute.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Taiki Arai. He receives a card.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Yoshiaki Takagi. He replaces Motoki Hasegawa on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.19 Albirex Niigata xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 Urawa Red Diamonds xG
I would bet for: Albirex Niigata or Urawa Red Diamonds 70% + Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Albirex Niigata34% Draw30% Urawa Red Diamonds36%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Albirex Niigata or Draw
64%
Draw or Urawa Red Diamonds
66%
Albirex Niigata or Urawa Red Diamonds
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Albirex Niigata24% Draw49% Urawa Red Diamonds27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
9.7%
1 – 0
9.1%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
5.9%
2 – 2
4.8%
1 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Albirex Niigata

Handicap Albirex Niigata covers Push Urawa Red Diamonds covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 20% 17%
+1.5 83% 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Albirex Niigata keeps clean sheet
29%
Urawa Red Diamonds keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.