Friday , 9 October 2026

AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2026-27
4 – 0
Full Time
Mon 24 Aug 2026 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome HT 45' · FT 45'
Donyell Malen 28' 1–0
Donyell Malen 52' 2–0
Donyell Malen 60' 3–0
Niccolo Pisilli 86' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Lo Cicero
  • Assistant 2 Christian Rossi
3 games this season 🟨 4.7/game ⚽ 18.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug ACF Fiorentina H 4–0 W
24 May Hellas Verona FC A 2–0 W
17 May SS Lazio H 2–0 W
10 May Parma Calcio 1913 A 3–2 W
04 May ACF Fiorentina H 4–0 W
25 Apr Bologna FC 1909 A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
24 Aug AS Roma A 0–4 L
22 May Atalanta BC H 1–1 D
17 May Juventus FC A 2–0 W
10 May Genoa CFC H 0–0 D
04 May AS Roma A 0–4 L
26 Apr US Sassuolo Calcio H 0–0 D

Season Stats

AS Roma ACF Fiorentina
#1 Position #17
13 Points 4
5 Played 5
4 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
14 Scored 6
3 Conceded 12
+11 GD -6
2.60 PPG 0.80
80% Win % 20%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
65% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

AS Roma are 1st (13 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AS Roma
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
4.12 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.58 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: AS Roma to win 85% + Over 2.5 goals 82%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma85% Draw10% ACF Fiorentina5%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 4.7
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 65%
35%
± 4.5 46%
54%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
95%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
15%
AS Roma or ACF Fiorentina
90%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma76% Draw21% ACF Fiorentina3%
Actual: AS Roma win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
11.3%
4 – 0
Actual
5 – 0
9.1%
2 – 0
8.7%
4 – 1
6.4%
3 – 1
6.3%
6 – 0
6.3%
5 – 1
5.3%
2 – 1
4.8%
1 – 0
4.4%
7 – 0
3.8%
6 – 1
3.7%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 63% — 37%
-2 63% 17% 19%
-1.5 81% — 19%
-1 81% 11% 8%
-0.5 92% — 8%
+0.5 98% — 2%
+1 98% 1% 0%
+1.5 100% — 0%
+2 100% — 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
56% ✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
2% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.