Thursday , 2 July 2026

SSC Napoli vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sat 31 Jan 2026 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Napoli vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Federico La Penna
6 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 3.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan ACF Fiorentina H 2–1 W
28 Jan Chelsea FC H 2–3 L
25 Jan Juventus FC A 0–3 L
20 Jan FC København A 1–1 D
17 Jan US Sassuolo Calcio H 1–0 W
14 Jan Parma Calcio 1913 H 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan SSC Napoli A 1–2 L
24 Jan Cagliari Calcio H 1–2 L
18 Jan Bologna FC 1909 A 2–1 W
11 Jan AC Milan H 1–1 D
07 Jan SS Lazio A 2–2 D
04 Jan US Cremonese H 1–0 W

Season Stats

SSC Napoli ACF Fiorentina
#2 Position #15
76 Points 42
38 Played 38
23 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 9 / 15 / 14
58 Scored 41
36 Conceded 50
+22 GD -9
2.00 PPG 1.11
61% Win % 24%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SSC Napoli are 2nd (76 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SSC Napoli Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.94 SSC Napoli xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: SSC Napoli to win 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SSC Napoli58% Draw23% ACF Fiorentina19%
Actual: SSC Napoli win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

SSC Napoli or Draw
81%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
42%
SSC Napoli or ACF Fiorentina
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SSC Napoli41% Draw43% ACF Fiorentina16%
Actual: SSC Napoli win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.3%
1 – 0
9%
0 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
5.9%
1 – 2
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.5%
3 – 2
3.3%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — SSC Napoli

Handicap SSC Napoli covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 17% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 23% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
35%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.