Thursday , 2 July 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs SSC Napoli, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sat 4 Jan 2025 · 17:00 UTC Artemio Franchi, Firenze 21,685 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 29' David Neres
0–2 54' Romelu Lukaku pen
0–3 68' Scott McTominay

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs SSC NapoliSerie A at Artemio Franchi, Firenze.

Match Details

  • Referee Gianluca Manganiello
  • Assistant 1 Alessandro Giallatini
  • Assistant 2 Valerio Colarossi
7 games this season 🟨 3.0/game 12.3 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan SSC Napoli H 0–3 L
29 Dec Juventus FC A 2–2 D
23 Dec Udinese Calcio H 1–2 L
15 Dec Bologna FC 1909 A 0–1 L
08 Dec Cagliari Calcio H 1–0 W
24 Nov Como 1907 A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan ACF Fiorentina A 3–0 W
29 Dec Venezia FC H 1–0 W
21 Dec Genoa CFC A 2–1 W
14 Dec Udinese Calcio A 3–1 W
08 Dec SS Lazio H 0–1 L
01 Dec Torino FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina SSC Napoli
#15 Position #2
42 Points 76
38 Played 38
9 / 15 / 14 W / D / L 23 / 7 / 8
41 Scored 58
50 Conceded 36
-9 GD +22
1.11 PPG 2.00
24% Win % 61%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). SSC Napoli are 2nd (76 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. ACF Fiorentina is hosting SSC Napoli for another epic battle.
  • 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SSC Napoli that had 508 games and scored 640 goals.
  • 10' ACF Fiorentina are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 15' The 25-year-old Fabiano Parisi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' SSC Napoli come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both ACF Fiorentina and SSC Napoli are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 29' David Neres is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 34' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 39' Giovanni Di Lorenzo was booked on 39.
  • 44' Moise Kean has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 49' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both ACF Fiorentina and SSC Napoli are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 54' A stunning finish from Romelu Lukaku — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 59' ACF Fiorentina currently sit 5 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 64' It looks surprising ACF Fiorentina does not make any changes. Pietro Comuzzo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 68' Scott McTominay doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 73' A change in the SSC Napoli ranks — Romelu Lukaku exits the field as Giovanni Simeone enters on 73.
  • 78' ACF Fiorentina are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 83' It’s high time Antonio Conte made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 88' SSC Napoli fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. SSC Napoli take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.85 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 SSC Napoli xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
ACF Fiorentina21% Draw26% SSC Napoli53%
Actual: SSC Napoli win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes48% 0% No52%
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
47%
Draw or SSC Napoli
79%
ACF Fiorentina or SSC Napoli
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina14% Draw46% SSC Napoli40%
Actual: SSC Napoli win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
12%
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 2
11.1%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
9.1%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4%
0 – 4
2.9%
2 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push SSC Napoli covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 11% 83%
-0.5 17% 83%
+0.5 42% 58%
+1 42% 24% 33%
+1.5 67% 33%
+2 67% 18% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
18%
SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.