Thursday , 2 July 2026

AC Monza vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Mon 13 Jan 2025 · 19:45 UTC Stadio Brianteo 9,153 HT 45' · FT 45'
Patrick Ciurria 44' 1–0
Daniel Maldini 63' 2–0
2–1 74' Lucas Beltran pen

Overview

Match Preview

AC Monza vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Stadio Brianteo.

Match Details

  • Referee Federico Dionisi
  • Assistant 1 Stefano Del Giovane
  • Assistant 2 Niccolo Pagliardini
15 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 3.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jan ACF Fiorentina H 2–1 W
05 Jan Cagliari Calcio H 1–2 L
28 Dec Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–2 L
22 Dec Juventus FC H 1–2 L
15 Dec US Lecce A 1–2 L
09 Dec Udinese Calcio H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Jan AC Monza A 1–2 L
04 Jan SSC Napoli H 0–3 L
29 Dec Juventus FC A 2–2 D
23 Dec Udinese Calcio H 1–2 L
15 Dec Bologna FC 1909 A 0–1 L
08 Dec Cagliari Calcio H 1–0 W

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against AC Monza and ACF Fiorentina has kicked off!
  • 5' AC Monza seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' The travelling ACF Fiorentina supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Beltran suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Monza needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' AC Monza is showing some good football. However, AC Monza are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 40' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Monza that had 152 games and scored 135 goals.
  • 44' GOAL! Patrick Ciurria scores on 44.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Kevin Martins. He replaces Pablo Mari on 46 minute.
  • 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 58' Another change for AC Monza made on 58 minute. Gianluca Caprari leaves to be changed by Milan Duric.
  • 61' AC Monza receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
  • 63' Goal! Daniel Maldini scores his 14 goal in 515 matches.
  • 64' Another substitution for ACF Fiorentina to replace Amir Richardson by Michael Folorunsho on 64 minute.
  • 68' The whistle greets Andrea Colpani as he departs to be replaced by Jonathan Ikone.
  • 73' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 74' What a strike from Lucas Beltran! The score is 2-1.
  • 74' The whistle greets Riccardo Sottil as he departs to be replaced by Christian Kouame.
  • 76' The referee shows AC Monza player a card on 76.
  • 81' ACF Fiorentina is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 86' It looks surprising ACF Fiorentina does not make any changes. Pablo Mari has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 87' The referee shows AC Monza player a card on 87.
  • 90' It is a substitution in AC Monza team. Daniel Maldini is replaced by Andrea Petagna on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.46 AC Monza xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: AC Monza or ACF Fiorentina 73% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Monza43% Draw27% ACF Fiorentina30%
Actual: AC Monza win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

AC Monza or Draw
70%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
57%
AC Monza or ACF Fiorentina
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Monza29% Draw46% ACF Fiorentina25%
Actual: AC Monza win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.4%
0 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
7.4%
0 – 1
7.2%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.5%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — AC Monza

Handicap AC Monza covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 12% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 20% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

AC Monza keeps clean sheet
28%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.