AC Monza vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AC Monza vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A at Stadio Brianteo.
- AC Monza 11 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- ACF Fiorentina 11 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Federico Dionisi
- Assistant 1 Stefano Del Giovane
- Assistant 2 Niccolo Pagliardini
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan | ACF Fiorentina | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Jan | Cagliari Calcio | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Dec | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Dec | Juventus FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Dec | US Lecce | A | 1–2 | L |
| 09 Dec | Udinese Calcio | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan | AC Monza | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 Jan | SSC Napoli | H | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Dec | Juventus FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 23 Dec | Udinese Calcio | H | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Dec | Bologna FC 1909 | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Dec | Cagliari Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| AC Monza | ACF Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #15 |
| 7 | Points | 9 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 2 / 1 / 8 | W / D / L | 2 / 3 / 6 |
| 17 | Scored | 17 |
| 25 | Conceded | 25 |
| -8 | GD | -8 |
| 0.64 | PPG | 0.82 |
| 18% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
83%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
67%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
10%
Clean Sheets
AC Monza this season
AC Monza this season
0%
Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
ACF Fiorentina this season
AC Monza are 18th (7 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Monza
0-15
1/5
16-30
2/2
31-45
4/5
46-60
4/6
61-75
3/5
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
ACF Fiorentina
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
5/3
61-75
3/5
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Monza
| Gustavo Varela | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jay Robinson | 2 G | 1 A |
| Andrea Colpani | 1 G |
ACF Fiorentina
| Mateo Pellegrino | 4 G | |
| Franco Mastantuono | 4 G | |
| Alieu Njie | 3 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. AC Monza host ACF Fiorentina — let the battle begin!
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' AC Monza are deployed in a 3-4-2-1 today, looking to exploit space against ACF Fiorentina's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both AC Monza and ACF Fiorentina are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 25' Andrea Colpani has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 30' It looks like no one’s ball. AC Monza is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 35' David De Gea has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 40' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 44' The Italy Patrick Ciurria breaks the deadlock on 44 minutes. 1-0!
- 46' The AC Monza manager makes a substitution. Pablo Mari departs to be replaced by Kevin Martins.
- 51' AC Monza is showing some good football. However, AC Monza are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 58' It is a substitution in AC Monza team. Gianluca Caprari is replaced by Milan Duric on 58 minute.
- 61' The referee shows AC Monza player a card on 61.
- 63' Daniel Maldini is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the midfielder.
- 64' ACF Fiorentina manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Michael Folorunsho is hanging Amir Richardson on the field on 64 minute.
- 68' Jonathan Ikone is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andrea Colpani at the 68 minute mark.
- 73' ACF Fiorentina have won 428 goals from 463 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 74' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Lucas Beltran makes it 2-1.
- 74' Another substitution for ACF Fiorentina to replace Riccardo Sottil by Christian Kouame on 74 minute.
- 76' AC Monza receives a card for a hard tackle on 76.
- 81' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 86' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 87' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Patrick Ciurria on 87 minutes.
- 90' Andrea Petagna is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daniel Maldini at the 90 minute mark.
- It finishes all square. AC Monza and ACF Fiorentina share the spoils 2-1.
Lineups
AC Monza Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
22
Pablo Mari ↓ Kevin Martins 46'
- 4
-
10
Gianluca Caprari ↓ Milan Duric 58'
- 13
- 30
-
14
Daniel Maldini ↓ Andrea Petagna 90'
- 44
- 38
- 42
- 84
- 7
Bench
- 21
-
37
Andrea Petagna ↑ 90'
-
27
Mattia Valoti ↑ 90'
- 12
-
11
Milan Duric ↑ 58'
- 24
-
80
Samuele Vignato ↑ 90'
- 57
- 69
- 52
-
55
Kevin Martins ↑ 46'
ACF Fiorentina Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 6
- 10
- 43
- 29
- 20
-
21
Robin Gosens ↓ Fabiano Parisi 68'
-
23
Andrea Colpani ↓ Jonathan Ikone 68'
- 7
- 2
- 24
- 15
Bench
-
11
Jonathan Ikone ↑ 68'
-
99
Christian Kouame ↑ 74'
- 8
- 1
- 5
-
9
Lucas Beltran ↑ 46'
-
65
Fabiano Parisi ↑ 68'
- 14
-
90
Michael Folorunsho ↑ 64'
- 30
- 33
- 22
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Milan Duric | 2 |
| Carlos | 2 |
| Daniel Maldini | 2 |
| Matteo Pessina | 2 |
| Lucas Beltran | 2 |
| Arthur Cabral | 1 |
| Moise Kean | 1 |
| Riccardo Saponara | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Monza Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.12
AC Monza xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.84
ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Monza win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.96
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 4.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
Double Chance
AC Monza or Draw
69%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
54%
AC Monza or ACF Fiorentina
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Monza win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.2%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.7%
3 – 1
5.3%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.4%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 3
4.1%
1 – 0
3.6%
0 – 2
3.3%
0 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — AC Monza
| Handicap | AC Monza covers | Push | ACF Fiorentina covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 13% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 18% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 16% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 10% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
AC Monza keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

