Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs AC Milan, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Tue 1 Oct 2024 · 19:00 UTC BayArena 30,210 HT 45' · FT 45'
Victor Boniface 51' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs AC Milan — Champions League at BayArena.

Match Details

  • Referee Sandro Scharer
  • Assistant 1 Stephane De Almeida
  • Assistant 2 Jonas Erni
4 games this season 🟨 3.8/game ⚽ 12.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1 games · Avg 1.0 goals AC Milan

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct AC Milan H 1–0 W
28 Sep FC Bayern München A 1–1 D
22 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 4–3 W
19 Sep Feyenoord Rotterdam A 4–0 W
14 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 4–1 W
31 Aug RB Leipzig H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–1 L
27 Sep US Lecce H 3–0 W
22 Sep FC Internazionale Milano A 2–1 W
17 Sep Liverpool FC H 1–3 L
14 Sep Venezia FC H 4–0 W
31 Aug SS Lazio A 2–2 D

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Bayer 04 Leverkusen to score. At the same time, AC Milan does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Bayer 04 Leverkusen must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 8' Aleix Garcia is having his name booked by the referee on 8.
  • 13' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 18' Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won 767 goals from 547 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 23' Lukas Hradecky has been relatively quiet despite scoring 4 goals in his last 547 appearances.
  • 28' Bayer 04 Leverkusen seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 33' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Paulo Fonseca will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 38' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 38 minutes.
  • 42' AC Milan receives a card for a hard tackle on 42.
  • 47' AC Milan come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 51' Magnificent from Victor Boniface! That is 54 goals in 64 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 56' Fikayo Tomori, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 61' The travelling AC Milan supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 62' AC Milan make a change. Tammy Abraham trudges off to be replaced by Alvaro Morata on 62 minutes.
  • 67' It looks surprising AC Milan does not make any changes. Emerson Royal has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 72' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 74' Bayer 04 Leverkusen player sees a card in front of him.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Bayer 04 Leverkusen! Robert Andrich comes on to replace Aleix Garcia.
  • 80' Another substitution for AC Milan to replace Christian Pulisic by Samuel Chukwueze on 80 minute.
  • 82' The crowd applauds Amine Adli as he leaves the pitch. Exequiel Palacios steps in for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.
  • 84' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Alvaro Morata on 84 minutes.
  • 89' A change in the Bayer 04 Leverkusen ranks — Alejandro Grimaldo exits the field as Jeanuel Belocian enters on 89.
  • 90' Samuel Chukwueze has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • With this win, Bayer 04 Leverkusen is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen49% Draw28% AC Milan23%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
76%
Draw or AC Milan
51%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or AC Milan
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen31% Draw50% AC Milan19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
11.6%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.6%
0 – 1
7.9%
1 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.2%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 2
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 23% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
39% ✗
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.