Udinese Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2022-23

Udinese Calcio

3 – 1

Full Time

AC Milan

Sat 18 Mar 2023 · 19:45 UTC Dacia Arena - Stadio Friuli HT 45' · FT 45'

Nehuen Perez 27' Y

Andrea Sottil 45' R

Y 61' Pierre Kalulu

Walace 69' Y

Festy Ebosele 90' Y

Y 90' Sandro Tonali

Rodrigo Becao 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Udinese Calcio vs AC Milan — Serie A at Dacia Arena - Stadio Friuli.

Udinese Calcio 38 games · 50 pts (2026/27)
AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniele Doveri
Referee Luigi Nasca
Referee Dario Cecconi
Referee Giacomo Paganessi
Referee Filippo Bercigli
Referee Ermanno Feliciani (Italy)

3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 3.7 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Internazionale Milano	38	87
2	SSC Napoli	38	76
3	AS Roma	38	73
4	Como 1907	38	71
5	AC Milan	38	70
6	Juventus FC	38	69
7	Atalanta BC	38	59
8	Bologna FC 1909	38	56
9	SS Lazio	38	54
10	Udinese Calcio	38	50
11	US Sassuolo Calcio	38	49
12	Parma Calcio 1913	38	45
13	Torino FC	38	45
14	Cagliari Calcio	38	43
15	ACF Fiorentina	38	42
16	Genoa CFC	38	41
17	US Lecce	38	38
18	US Cremonese	38	34
19	Hellas Verona FC	38	21
20	AC Pisa 1909	38	18

Head-to-Head

Udinese Calcio 24 games · Avg 2.9 goals AC Milan

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-18 Udinese Calcio 3–1 AC Milan 2022-08-13 AC Milan 4–2 Udinese Calcio 2022-02-25 AC Milan 1–1 Udinese Calcio 2021-12-11 Udinese Calcio 1–1 AC Milan 2021-03-03 AC Milan 1–1 Udinese Calcio

Recent Form

Udinese Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	AC Milan	H	3–1	W
11 Mar	Empoli FC	A	1–0	W
04 Mar	Atalanta BC	A	0–0	D
26 Feb	Spezia Calcio	H	2–2	D
18 Feb	FC Internazionale Milano	A	1–3	L
12 Feb	US Sassuolo Calcio	H	2–2	D

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	Udinese Calcio	A	1–3	L
13 Mar	US Salernitana 1919	H	1–1	D
08 Mar	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	0–0	D
04 Mar	ACF Fiorentina	A	1–2	L
26 Feb	Atalanta BC	H	2–0	W
18 Feb	AC Monza	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Udinese Calcio		AC Milan
#10	Position	#5
50	Points	70
38	Played	38
14 / 8 / 16	W / D / L	20 / 10 / 8
45	Scored	53
48	Conceded	35
-3	GD	+18
1.32	PPG	1.84
37%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Udinese Calcio are 10th (50 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Udinese Calcio and AC Milan is underway.
5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Udinese Calcio must find a spark to ignite this game.
9' The deadlock is broken! Roberto Pereyra gets on the scoresheet on 9 minutes.
10' Roberto Pereyra has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 10 minutes.
15' Udinese Calcio have won 355 goals from 456 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
20' Malick Thiaw has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 406 appearances.
25' Mike Maignan is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Udinese Calcio so far.
27' The referee shows Udinese Calcio player a Yellow card on 27.
32' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ismael Bennacer suffering a number of foals already.
37' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Udinese Calcio side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
42' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Red card for Andrea Sottil.
48' Zlatan Ibrahimovic adds to his 0 season tally! AC Milan lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
49' GOAL! Zlatan Ibrahimovic scores on 45.
51' Assisted by Isaac Success with the perfectly-timed delivery and Beto makes no mistake. 3-2!
56' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
61' Controversy at the stadium! Pierre Kalulu argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
64' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Ismael Bennacer is replaced by Rade Krunic.
69' Walace picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
70' Kingsley Ehizibue is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
73' Udinese Calcio manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sandi Lovric is hanging Lazar Samardzic on the field on 73 minute.
74' Sandi Lovric has so much to prove this time. He replaces Lazar Samardzic on 74 minute.
76' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Brahim Diaz is replaced by Charles De Ketelaere.
77' Fresh legs for AC Milan! Divock Origi comes on to replace Zlatan Ibrahimovic.
81' The Udinese Calcio bench stirs into life. Roberto Pereyra is withdrawn and Tolgay Arslan gets his opportunity.
86' Over 86 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
88' The crowd applauds Kingsley Ehizibue as he leaves the pitch. Festy Ebosele steps in for Udinese Calcio.
89' Udinese Calcio manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Festy Ebosele is hanging Kingsley Ehizibue on the field on 89 minute.
90' Controversy at the stadium! Festy Ebosele argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
It finishes all square. Udinese Calcio and AC Milan share the spoils 3-1.

Lineups

Udinese Calcio Lineups

Starting XI

37
Roberto Pereyra ↓ Tolgay Arslan 81'
7
Isaac Success ↓ Florian Thauvin 73'
19
Kingsley Ehizibue ↓ Festy Ebosele 88'
11
Walace
1
Marco Silvestri
50
Rodrigo Becao
29
Jaka Bijol
18
Nehuen Perez
9
Beto
24
Lazar Samardzic ↓ Sandi Lovric 73'
13
Iyenoma Udogie ↓ Marvin Zeegelaar 88'

Bench

Coach Andrea Sottil

AC Milan Lineups

Starting XI

10
Brahim Diaz ↓ Charles De Ketelaere 76'
23
Fikayo Tomori ↓ Davide Calabria 76'
16
Mike Maignan
5
Fode Ballo-Toure
17
Rafael Leao
8
Sandro Tonali
4
Ismael Bennacer ↓ Rade Krunic 64'
11
Zlatan Ibrahimovic ↓ Divock Origi 77'
56
Alexis Saelemaekers ↓ Ante Rebic 64'
20
Pierre Kalulu
28
Malick Thiaw

Bench

Coach Stefano Pioli

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ante Rebic	4
Rafael Leao	3
Rodrigo Becao	3
Roberto Pereyra	3
Theo Hernandez	3
Zlatan Ibrahimovic	3
Kevin Lasagna	2
Franck Kessie	2

Head to Head

Udinese Calcio Form

2023-03-18 Udinese Calcio 3–1 AC Milan W 2023-03-11 Empoli FC 0–1 Udinese Calcio W 2023-03-04 Atalanta BC 0–0 Udinese Calcio D 2023-02-26 Udinese Calcio 2–2 Spezia Calcio D 2023-02-18 FC Internazionale Milano 3–1 Udinese Calcio L 2023-02-12 Udinese Calcio 2–2 US Sassuolo Calcio D

AC Milan Form

2023-03-18 Udinese Calcio 3–1 AC Milan L 2023-03-13 AC Milan 1–1 US Salernitana 1919 D 2023-03-08 Tottenham Hotspur FC 0–0 AC Milan D 2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan L 2023-02-26 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC W 2023-02-18 AC Monza 0–1 AC Milan W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.47 Udinese Calcio xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.38 AC Milan xG

I would bet for: Udinese Calcio or AC Milan 74% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Udinese Calcio43% Draw26% AC Milan31%

Actual: Udinese Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes58% 0% No42%

Avg goals/match: 2.85

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	54%	46%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

Udinese Calcio or Draw

69%

Draw or AC Milan

57%

Udinese Calcio or AC Milan

74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Udinese Calcio29% Draw46% AC Milan25%

Actual: Udinese Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.6%

2 – 1

8.3%

1 – 2

7.8%

0 – 0

7.6%

1 – 0

7.6%

0 – 1

2 – 0

6.2%

2 – 2

5.7%

0 – 2

5.4%

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 3

3.6%

3 – 0

Asian Handicap — Udinese Calcio

Handicap	Udinese Calcio covers	Push	AC Milan covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	12%	81%
-1.5	19%	—	81%
-1	19%	19%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	66%	—	34%
+1	66%	18%	16%
+1.5	84%	—	16%
+2	84%	10%	6%
+2.5	94%	—	6%

Clean Sheet

Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.