Udinese Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2022-23

Udinese Calcio

3 – 1

Full Time

AC Milan

Sat 18 Mar 2023 · 19:45 UTC Dacia Arena - Stadio Friuli HT 45' · FT 45'

Nehuen Perez 27' Y

Andrea Sottil 45' R

Y 61' Pierre Kalulu

Walace 69' Y

Festy Ebosele 90' Y

Y 90' Sandro Tonali

Rodrigo Becao 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Udinese Calcio vs AC Milan — Serie A at Dacia Arena - Stadio Friuli.

Udinese Calcio 11 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
AC Milan 11 games · 24 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniele Doveri
Referee Luigi Nasca
Referee Dario Cecconi
Referee Giacomo Paganessi
Referee Filippo Bercigli
Referee Ermanno Feliciani (Italy)

5 games this season 🟨 3.0/game ⚽ 8.6 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SS Lazio	11	29
2	FC Internazionale Milano	11	28
3	AS Roma	11	27
4	AC Milan	11	24
5	Como 1907	11	23
6	Frosinone Calcio	11	20
7	Juventus FC	11	18
8	Bologna FC 1909	11	17
9	Cagliari Calcio	11	16
10	SSC Napoli	11	15
11	Torino FC	11	14
12	Atalanta BC	11	14
13	Genoa CFC	11	13
14	US Lecce	11	10
15	ACF Fiorentina	11	9
16	Parma Calcio 1913	11	8
17	US Sassuolo Calcio	11	8
18	AC Monza	11	7
19	Venezia FC	11	6
20	Udinese Calcio	11	5

Head-to-Head

Udinese Calcio 25 games · Avg 2.8 goals AC Milan

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-18 Udinese Calcio 3–1 AC Milan 2022-08-13 AC Milan 4–2 Udinese Calcio 2022-02-25 AC Milan 1–1 Udinese Calcio 2021-12-11 Udinese Calcio 1–1 AC Milan 2021-03-03 AC Milan 1–1 Udinese Calcio

Recent Form

Udinese Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	AC Milan	H	3–1	W
11 Mar	Empoli FC	A	1–0	W
04 Mar	Atalanta BC	A	0–0	D
26 Feb	Spezia Calcio	H	2–2	D
18 Feb	FC Internazionale Milano	A	1–3	L
12 Feb	US Sassuolo Calcio	H	2–2	D

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	Udinese Calcio	A	1–3	L
13 Mar	US Salernitana 1919	H	1–1	D
08 Mar	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	0–0	D
04 Mar	ACF Fiorentina	A	1–2	L
26 Feb	Atalanta BC	H	2–0	W
18 Feb	AC Monza	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Udinese Calcio		AC Milan
#20	Position	#4
5	Points	24
11	Played	11
1 / 2 / 8	W / D / L	7 / 3 / 1
12	Scored	23
25	Conceded	13
-13	GD	+10
0.45	PPG	2.18
9%	Win %	64%

Key Stats

52% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

10% Clean Sheets
Udinese Calcio this season

27% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Udinese Calcio are 20th (5 pts). AC Milan are 4th (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Udinese Calcio

0-15

1/3

16-30

2/1

31-45

4/7

46-60

2/4

61-75

–/6

76+

2/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

AC Milan

0-15

6/2

16-30

3/1

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/–

61-75

10/3

76+

–/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Udinese Calcio

Jurgen Ekkelenkamp	3 G	1 A
Hassane Kamara	2 G	2 A
Jakub Piotrowski	1 G

AC Milan

Adrien Rabiot	5 G	4 A
Alphadjo Cisse	5 G
Diego Moreira	4 G	3 A
Christian Pulisic	4 G	1 A
Goncalo Ramos	2 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Udinese Calcio get us underway at Dacia Arena - Stadio Friuli.
5' Ismael Bennacer has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 11 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
9' The Argentina Roberto Pereyra breaks the deadlock on 9 minutes. 1-0!
10' The deadlock is broken! Roberto Pereyra gets on the scoresheet on 10 minutes.
15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Zlatan Ibrahimovic made 297 appearances and scored 112 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with AC Milan winning 100% of all matches.
25' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
27' The referee calls foul for Nehuen Perez. He receives a Yellow card.
32' Pierre Kalulu has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
37' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
42' The energy levels are beginning to show. Andrea Sottil might look to freshen things up shortly.
45' Andrea Sottil catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Red card on 45.
48' Magnificent from Zlatan Ibrahimovic! That is 112 goals in 297 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
49' Zlatan Ibrahimovic with the second goal in the match!
51' Sensational shot from Beto. Udinese Calcio is back in the lead.
56' England international Fikayo Tomori has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
61' The referee has no hesitation. Pierre Kalulu is booked for AC Milan — Yellow card on 61.
64' Rade Krunic gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Ismael Bennacer and will look to change the dynamic.
69' A meaty challenge results in booking for Walace on 69.
70' Goal! Kingsley Ehizibue scores his 7 goal in 244 matches.
73' It is a substitution in Udinese Calcio team. Lazar Samardzic is replaced by Sandi Lovric on 73 minute.
74' Sandi Lovric is replacing Lazar Samardzic for the Udinese Calcio side.
76' Brahim Diaz makes way for Charles De Ketelaere at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
77' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Zlatan Ibrahimovic is replaced by Divock Origi on 77 minute.
81' The Udinese Calcio manager makes a substitution. Roberto Pereyra departs to be replaced by Tolgay Arslan.
86' Udinese Calcio are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AC Milan backline.
88' A tactical swap from Udinese Calcio — Festy Ebosele on, Kingsley Ehizibue off on 88 minutes.
89' Time for substitution for Udinese Calcio. Kingsley Ehizibue is replaced by Festy Ebosele.
90' It’s a booking for Udinese Calcio player. Festy Ebosele gets a Yellow card.
AC Milan will have plenty to reflect on. Udinese Calcio were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Udinese Calcio Lineups

Starting XI

37
Roberto Pereyra ↓ Tolgay Arslan 81'
7
Isaac Success ↓ Florian Thauvin 73'
19
Kingsley Ehizibue ↓ Festy Ebosele 88'
11
Walace
1
Marco Silvestri
50
Rodrigo Becao
29
Jaka Bijol
18
Nehuen Perez
9
Beto
24
Lazar Samardzic ↓ Sandi Lovric 73'
13
Iyenoma Udogie ↓ Marvin Zeegelaar 88'

Bench

Coach Andrea Sottil

AC Milan Lineups

Starting XI

10
Brahim Diaz ↓ Charles De Ketelaere 76'
23
Fikayo Tomori ↓ Davide Calabria 76'
16
Mike Maignan
5
Fode Ballo-Toure
17
Rafael Leao
8
Sandro Tonali
4
Ismael Bennacer ↓ Rade Krunic 64'
11
Zlatan Ibrahimovic ↓ Divock Origi 77'
56
Alexis Saelemaekers ↓ Ante Rebic 64'
20
Pierre Kalulu
28
Malick Thiaw

Bench

Coach Stefano Pioli

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ante Rebic	4
Zlatan Ibrahimovic	3
Rafael Leao	3
Rodrigo Becao	3
Roberto Pereyra	3
Theo Hernandez	3
Franck Kessie	2
Beto	2

Head to Head

Udinese Calcio Form

2023-03-18 Udinese Calcio 3–1 AC Milan W 2023-03-11 Empoli FC 0–1 Udinese Calcio W 2023-03-04 Atalanta BC 0–0 Udinese Calcio D 2023-02-26 Udinese Calcio 2–2 Spezia Calcio D 2023-02-18 FC Internazionale Milano 3–1 Udinese Calcio L 2023-02-12 Udinese Calcio 2–2 US Sassuolo Calcio D

AC Milan Form

2023-03-18 Udinese Calcio 3–1 AC Milan L 2023-03-13 AC Milan 1–1 US Salernitana 1919 D 2023-03-08 Tottenham Hotspur FC 0–0 AC Milan D 2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan L 2023-02-26 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC W 2023-02-18 AC Monza 0–1 AC Milan W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.43 Udinese Calcio xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.15 AC Milan xG

I would bet for: Udinese Calcio or AC Milan 77% + Over 2.5 goals 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Udinese Calcio33% Draw23% AC Milan44%

Actual: Udinese Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.58

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Udinese Calcio or Draw

56%

Draw or AC Milan

67%

Udinese Calcio or AC Milan

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Udinese Calcio21% Draw39% AC Milan40%

Actual: Udinese Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–1 not predicted

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

9.4%

1 – 2

8.9%

0 – 2

6.5%

1 – 3

6.3%

2 – 2

6.3%

2 – 1

0 – 1

5.5%

2 – 3

4.5%

0 – 3

4.5%

0 – 0

4.1%

1 – 4

3.4%

1 – 0

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Udinese Calcio

Handicap	Udinese Calcio covers	Push	AC Milan covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	7%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	13%	75%
-0.5	25%	—	75%
+0.5	47%	—	53%
+1	47%	20%	32%
+1.5	68%	—	32%
+2	68%	16%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.