Udinese Calcio vs AC Milan, Serie A 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2022-23

Udinese Calcio

3 – 1

Full Time

AC Milan

Sat 18 Mar 2023 · 19:45 UTC Dacia Arena - Stadio Friuli HT 45' · FT 45'

Nehuen Perez 27' Y

Andrea Sottil 45' R

Y 61' Pierre Kalulu

Walace 69' Y

Festy Ebosele 90' Y

Y 90' Sandro Tonali

Rodrigo Becao 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Udinese Calcio vs AC Milan — Serie A at Dacia Arena - Stadio Friuli.

Udinese Calcio 5 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
AC Milan 5 games · 11 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniele Doveri
Referee Luigi Nasca
Referee Dario Cecconi
Referee Giacomo Paganessi
Referee Filippo Bercigli
Referee Ermanno Feliciani (Italy)

3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 4.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	13
2	FC Internazionale Milano	5	13
3	SS Lazio	5	13
4	Cagliari Calcio	5	12
5	AC Milan	5	11
6	Frosinone Calcio	5	10
7	Juventus FC	5	10
8	Como 1907	5	10
9	SSC Napoli	5	7
10	US Sassuolo Calcio	5	7
11	Atalanta BC	5	6
12	US Lecce	5	6
13	Udinese Calcio	5	4
14	Torino FC	5	4
15	Parma Calcio 1913	5	4
16	AC Monza	5	4
17	ACF Fiorentina	5	4
18	Bologna FC 1909	5	2
19	Genoa CFC	5	1
20	Venezia FC	5	0

Head-to-Head

Udinese Calcio 24 games · Avg 2.9 goals AC Milan

Last 5 meetings

2023-03-18 Udinese Calcio 3–1 AC Milan 2022-08-13 AC Milan 4–2 Udinese Calcio 2022-02-25 AC Milan 1–1 Udinese Calcio 2021-12-11 Udinese Calcio 1–1 AC Milan 2021-03-03 AC Milan 1–1 Udinese Calcio

Recent Form

Udinese Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	AC Milan	H	3–1	W
11 Mar	Empoli FC	A	1–0	W
04 Mar	Atalanta BC	A	0–0	D
26 Feb	Spezia Calcio	H	2–2	D
18 Feb	FC Internazionale Milano	A	1–3	L
12 Feb	US Sassuolo Calcio	H	2–2	D

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
18 Mar	Udinese Calcio	A	1–3	L
13 Mar	US Salernitana 1919	H	1–1	D
08 Mar	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	0–0	D
04 Mar	ACF Fiorentina	A	1–2	L
26 Feb	Atalanta BC	H	2–0	W
18 Feb	AC Monza	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Udinese Calcio		AC Milan
#13	Position	#5
4	Points	11
5	Played	5
1 / 1 / 3	W / D / L	3 / 2 / 0
8	Scored	10
11	Conceded	4
-3	GD	+6
0.80	PPG	2.20
20%	Win %	60%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Udinese Calcio this season

40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Udinese Calcio are 13th (4 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Udinese Calcio

0-15

1/–

16-30

2/1

31-45

3/2

46-60

1/3

61-75

–/3

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

AC Milan

0-15

1/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

–/–

61-75

8/–

76+

–/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Udinese Calcio

Jurgen Ekkelenkamp	2 G	1 A
Hassane Kamara	2 G	1 A
Jakub Piotrowski	1 G

AC Milan

Diego Moreira	3 G
Adrien Rabiot	2 G	2 A
Alphadjo Cisse	2 G
Goncalo Ramos	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Udinese Calcio launch into their encounter with AC Milan.
5' Over 5 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
9' GOAL! Roberto Pereyra scores on 9. Assisted by Lazar Samardzic
10' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Roberto Pereyra makes it 2-0.
15' AC Milan come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Udinese Calcio that had 458 games and scored 359 goals.
25' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
27' Nehuen Perez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 27.
32' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
37' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
42' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
45' A moment of madness from Andrea Sottil on 45 minutes earns him a Red card. Udinese Calcio will be frustrated.
48' Against the run of play, Zlatan Ibrahimovic has scored! This game has turned on its head.
49' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Zlatan Ibrahimovic makes no mistake. 2-2!
51' Beto has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ismael Bennacer suffering a number of foals already.
61' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Pierre Kalulu on 61 minutes.
64' Rade Krunic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ismael Bennacer on 64 minute.
69' Walace picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
70' GOAL! Kingsley Ehizibue scores on 70. Assisted by Isaac Success
73' Sandi Lovric gets the nod from Udinese Calcio. He replaces Lazar Samardzic and will look to change the dynamic.
74' Another substitution for Udinese Calcio to replace Lazar Samardzic by Sandi Lovric on 74 minute.
76' The supporters are chanting for Charles De Ketelaere. He replaces Brahim Diaz on 76 minute.
77' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Zlatan Ibrahimovic is replaced by Divock Origi.
81' Tolgay Arslan is replacing Roberto Pereyra for the Udinese Calcio side.
86' Charles De Ketelaere has been relatively quiet despite scoring 48 goals in his last 356 appearances.
88' Festy Ebosele is replacing Kingsley Ehizibue for the Udinese Calcio side.
89' A tactical swap from Udinese Calcio — Festy Ebosele on, Kingsley Ehizibue off on 89 minutes.
90' Festy Ebosele picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 3-1.

Lineups

Udinese Calcio Lineups

Starting XI

37
Roberto Pereyra ↓ Tolgay Arslan 81'
7
Isaac Success ↓ Florian Thauvin 73'
19
Kingsley Ehizibue ↓ Festy Ebosele 88'
11
Walace
1
Marco Silvestri
50
Rodrigo Becao
29
Jaka Bijol
18
Nehuen Perez
9
Beto
24
Lazar Samardzic ↓ Sandi Lovric 73'
13
Iyenoma Udogie ↓ Marvin Zeegelaar 88'

Bench

Coach Andrea Sottil

AC Milan Lineups

Starting XI

10
Brahim Diaz ↓ Charles De Ketelaere 76'
23
Fikayo Tomori ↓ Davide Calabria 76'
16
Mike Maignan
5
Fode Ballo-Toure
17
Rafael Leao
8
Sandro Tonali
4
Ismael Bennacer ↓ Rade Krunic 64'
11
Zlatan Ibrahimovic ↓ Divock Origi 77'
56
Alexis Saelemaekers ↓ Ante Rebic 64'
20
Pierre Kalulu
28
Malick Thiaw

Bench

Coach Stefano Pioli

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Ante Rebic	4
Theo Hernandez	3
Zlatan Ibrahimovic	3
Rafael Leao	3
Rodrigo Becao	3
Roberto Pereyra	3
Franck Kessie	2
Beto	2

Head to Head

Udinese Calcio Form

2023-03-18 Udinese Calcio 3–1 AC Milan W 2023-03-11 Empoli FC 0–1 Udinese Calcio W 2023-03-04 Atalanta BC 0–0 Udinese Calcio D 2023-02-26 Udinese Calcio 2–2 Spezia Calcio D 2023-02-18 FC Internazionale Milano 3–1 Udinese Calcio L 2023-02-12 Udinese Calcio 2–2 US Sassuolo Calcio D

AC Milan Form

2023-03-18 Udinese Calcio 3–1 AC Milan L 2023-03-13 AC Milan 1–1 US Salernitana 1919 D 2023-03-08 Tottenham Hotspur FC 0–0 AC Milan D 2023-03-04 ACF Fiorentina 2–1 AC Milan L 2023-02-26 AC Milan 2–0 Atalanta BC W 2023-02-18 AC Monza 0–1 AC Milan W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.46 Udinese Calcio xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.14 AC Milan xG

I would bet for: Udinese Calcio or AC Milan 77% + Over 2.5 goals 69%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Udinese Calcio34% Draw23% AC Milan43%

Actual: Udinese Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.6

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	69%	31%
± 3.5	48%	52%
± 4.5	29%	71%

Double Chance

Udinese Calcio or Draw

57%

Draw or AC Milan

66%

Udinese Calcio or AC Milan

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Udinese Calcio22% Draw39% AC Milan39%

Actual: Udinese Calcio win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–1 not predicted

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

9.4%

1 – 2

8.8%

2 – 2

6.4%

0 – 2

6.3%

1 – 3

6.2%

2 – 1

6.1%

0 – 1

5.3%

2 – 3

4.6%

0 – 3

4.4%

0 – 0

1 – 0

3.4%

1 – 4

3.4%

Asian Handicap — Udinese Calcio

Handicap	Udinese Calcio covers	Push	AC Milan covers
-2.5	4%	—	96%
-2	4%	7%	88%
-1.5	12%	—	88%
-1	12%	14%	74%
-0.5	26%	—	74%
+0.5	48%	—	52%
+1	48%	20%	32%
+1.5	68%	—	32%
+2	68%	16%	16%
+2.5	84%	—	16%

Clean Sheet

Udinese Calcio keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

24% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.