AC Milan vs Liverpool FC, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE
Overview
Match Preview
AC Milan vs Liverpool FC — Champions League at Giuseppe Meazza.
- AC Milan 0 games · 0 pts (2025/26)
- Liverpool FC 8 games · 18 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Espen Eskas (Norway)
- Assistant 1 Jan Erik Engan
- Assistant 2 Isaak Bashevkin
11 games this season
🟨 1.5/game
⚽ 4.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal FC | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool FC | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur FC | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Barcelona | 8 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea FC | 8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 8 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City FC | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid CF | 8 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Internazionale Milano | 8 | 15 |
| 11 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle United FC | 8 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus FC | 8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Atletico de Madrid | 8 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta BC | 8 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 8 | 12 |
| 17 | Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 11 |
| 18 | PAE Olympiakos SFP | 8 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge KV | 8 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray SK | 8 | 10 |
| 21 | AS Monaco FC | 8 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam FK | 8 | 10 |
| 23 | FK Bodø/Glimt | 8 | 9 |
| 24 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 8 | 9 |
| 25 | Olympique de Marseille | 8 | 9 |
| 26 | Paphos FC | 8 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | 8 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 8 |
| 30 | SSC Napoli | 8 | 8 |
| 31 | FC København | 8 | 8 |
| 32 | AFC Ajax | 8 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 |
| 34 | SK Slavia Praha | 8 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal CF | 8 | 1 |
| 36 | FK Kairat | 8 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep | Liverpool FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | Venezia FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | SS Lazio | A | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Aug | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Aug | Torino FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 25 May | US Salernitana 1919 | H | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep | AC Milan | A | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | Nottingham Forest FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Sep | Manchester United FC | A | 3–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | Brentford FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Aug | Ipswich Town FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 19 May | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | H | 2–0 | W |
Key Stats
100%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
100%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
42%
Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season
Liverpool FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for AC Milan to score. At the same time, Liverpool FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 3' Goal! Christian Pulisic scores his 68 goal in 521 matches.
- 8' Luis Diaz needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 13' AC Milan started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 13.
- 18' Liverpool FC is showing some good football. However, Liverpool FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 22' It’s a booking for AC Milan player. Davide Calabria gets a card.
- 23' GOAL! Ibrahima Konate scores on 23. Assisted by Trent Alexander-Arnold
- 28' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 31' That looks like a foul for a card for Youssouf Fofana.
- 36' It looks surprising Liverpool FC does not make any changes. Federico Chiesa has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 41' Sensational shot from Virgil van Dijk. Liverpool FC is back in the lead.
- 46' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Theo Hernandez made 348 appearances and scored 38 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 51' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Mike Maignan is replaced by Lorenzo Torriani on 51 minute.
- 53' Alexis Mac Allister was booked on 53.
- 58' AC Milan seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 60' Paulo Fonseca is having his name booked by the referee on 60.
- 65' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Liverpool FC that had 409 games and scored 805 goals.
- 67' Goal! Dominik Szoboszlai scores his 40 goal in 222 matches.
- 68' Time for substitution for Liverpool FC. Diogo Jota is replaced by Darwin Nunez.
- 69' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Ruben Loftus-Cheek departs to be replaced by Tammy Abraham.
- 74' It’s high time Paulo Fonseca made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 79' The Liverpool FC manager makes a substitution. Trent Alexander-Arnold departs to be replaced by Joe Gomez.
- 80' Ibrahima Konate was booked on 80.
- 84' Noah Okafor is replacing Alvaro Morata for the AC Milan side.
- 89' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 90' Another substitution for Liverpool FC to replace Alexis Mac Allister by Wataru Endo on 90 minute.
- With this win, Liverpool FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
-
7
Alvaro Morata ↓ Noah Okafor 84'
- 8
-
23
Fikayo Tomori ↓ Matteo Gabbia 84'
- 29
-
16
Mike Maignan ↓ Lorenzo Torriani 51'
- 10
- 11
- 19
-
2
Davide Calabria ↓ Emerson Royal 69'
- 31
Bench
-
22
Emerson Royal ↑ 69'
-
90
Tammy Abraham ↑ 69'
- 21
-
17
Noah Okafor ↑ 84'
-
46
Matteo Gabbia ↑ 84'
- 42
- 80
- 69
- 33
- 18
-
96
Lorenzo Torriani ↑ 51'
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
Liverpool FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
18
Cody Gakpo ↓ Luis Diaz 68'
- 1
-
11
Mohamed Salah ↓ Federico Chiesa 90'
- 66
- 4
-
20
Diogo Jota ↓ Darwin Nunez 68'
- 38
- 5
- 21
- 8
- 10
Bench
-
2
Joe Gomez ↑ 79'
- 26
- 17
-
14
Federico Chiesa ↑ 90'
-
7
Luis Diaz ↑ 68'
-
3
Wataru Endo ↑ 90'
- 62
-
9
Darwin Nunez ↑ 68'
- 56
- 80
- 84
- 78
Coach
Arne Slot
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mohamed Salah | 2 |
| Ante Rebic | 1 |
| Divock Origi | 1 |
| Fikayo Tomori | 1 |
| Virgil van Dijk | 1 |
| Ibrahima Konate | 1 |
| Dominik Szoboszlai | 1 |
| Jordan Henderson | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Liverpool FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81
Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Liverpool FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 3.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 4.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
54%
Draw or Liverpool FC
72%
AC Milan or Liverpool FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Liverpool FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9%
2 – 1
6.8%
0 – 1
6.8%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.8%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
4.9%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.8%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | Liverpool FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 8% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 21% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 14% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.