Sunday , 16 August 2026

AC Milan vs Liverpool FC, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

1 3
Full Time
Tue 17 Sep 2024 · 19:00 UTC Giuseppe Meazza 59,826 HT 45' · FT 45'
1–1 23' Ibrahima Konate
1–2 41' Virgil van Dijk
1–3 67' Dominik Szoboszlai

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Liverpool FCChampions League at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Espen Eskas (Norway)
  • Assistant 1 Jan Erik Engan
  • Assistant 2 Isaak Bashevkin
10 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 6.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Sep Liverpool FC H 1–3 L
14 Sep Venezia FC H 4–0 W
31 Aug SS Lazio A 2–2 D
24 Aug Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–2 L
17 Aug Torino FC H 2–2 D
25 May US Salernitana 1919 H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Sep AC Milan A 3–1 W
14 Sep Nottingham Forest FC H 0–1 L
01 Sep Manchester United FC A 3–0 W
25 Aug Brentford FC H 2–0 W
17 Aug Ipswich Town FC A 2–0 W
19 May Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
42% Clean Sheets
Liverpool FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Liverpool FC
Dominik Szoboszlai 5 G 4 A
Mohamed Salah 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan28% Draw25% Liverpool FC47%
Actual: Liverpool FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.18
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
54%
Draw or Liverpool FC
72%
AC Milan or Liverpool FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AC Milan23% Draw43% Liverpool FC34%
Actual: Liverpool FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9%
2 – 1
6.8%
0 – 1
6.8%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.8%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
4.9%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
3.8%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 8% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 15% 72%
-0.5 28% 72%
+0.5 53% 47%
+1 53% 21% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 14% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
17%
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.