AC Milan vs US Lecce, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
- Assistant 1 Edoardo Raspollini
- Assistant 2 Mattia Scarpa
3 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 9.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Roma | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | SS Lazio | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari Calcio | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 5 | 10 |
| 8 | Como 1907 | 5 | 10 |
| 9 | SSC Napoli | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta BC | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | US Lecce | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino FC | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | AC Monza | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | ACF Fiorentina | 5 | 4 |
| 18 | Bologna FC 1909 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 5 | 1 |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | US Lecce | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Sep | Liverpool FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | Venezia FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | SS Lazio | A | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Aug | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | AC Milan | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | Torino FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | Cagliari Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | Atalanta BC | H | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | US Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #12 |
| 11 | Points | 6 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 3 / 2 / 0 | W / D / L | 2 / 0 / 3 |
| 10 | Scored | 5 |
| 4 | Conceded | 10 |
| +6 | GD | -5 |
| 2.20 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 60% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
40%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
20%
Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season
US Lecce this season
AC Milan are 5th (11 pts). US Lecce are 12th (6 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
US Lecce
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/3
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Diego Moreira | 3 G | |
| Adrien Rabiot | 2 G | 2 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 2 G | |
| Goncalo Ramos | 1 G | 1 A |
US Lecce
| Lassana Coulibaly | 2 G | 1 A |
| Tiago Gabriel | 2 G | |
| Olaf Gorter | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. AC Milan is hosting US Lecce for another epic battle.
- 5' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering US Lecce that had 192 games and scored 163 goals.
- 10' AC Milan are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against US Lecce's 4-3-3 shape.
- 15' It’s high time Paulo Fonseca made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' A quiet spell here at Giuseppe Meazza. US Lecce seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 25' It looks like no one’s ball. US Lecce is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 30' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past US Lecce's compact 4-3-3.
- 34' Controversy at the stadium! Federico Baschirotto argues furiously but the card stands.
- 38' Brilliant from the forward! Alvaro Morata makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 38.
- 41' What a strike from Theo Hernandez! The score is 2-0.
- 43' A stunning finish from Christian Pulisic — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 48' US Lecce fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 49' A meaty challenge results in booking for Emerson Royal on 49.
- 54' US Lecce are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 55' Ruben Loftus-Cheek has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alvaro Morata on 55 minute.
- 59' Fresh legs for US Lecce! Lameck Banda comes on to replace Tete Morente.
- 63' The AC Milan manager makes a substitution. Youssouf Fofana departs to be replaced by Yunus Musah.
- 68' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 73' The crowd applauds Balthazar Pierret as he leaves the pitch. Hamza Rafia steps in for US Lecce.
- 75' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Theo Hernandez is replaced by Davide Bartesaghi on 75 minute.
- 80' Davide Bartesaghi was booked on 80.
- 83' The US Lecce manager makes a substitution. Lassana Coulibaly departs to be replaced by Remi Oudin.
- 88' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His AC Milan side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- US Lecce will have plenty to reflect on. AC Milan were simply the better side today.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 22
- 7
-
90
Tammy Abraham ↓ Luka Jovic 75'
- 23
-
29
Youssouf Fofana ↓ Yunus Musah 63'
- 16
- 10
- 11
- 19
- 46
Bench
-
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↑ 55'
-
9
Luka Jovic ↑ 75'
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↑ 63'
- 31
- 28
- 42
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 63'
- 25
-
33
Davide Bartesaghi ↑ 75'
- 18
- 20
- 96
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
US Lecce Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
3
Ante Rebic ↓ Santiago Pierotti 73'
- 25
-
29
Lassana Coulibaly ↓ Remi Oudin 83'
-
7
Tete Morente ↓ Lameck Banda 59'
- 9
- 30
-
75
Balthazar Pierret ↓ Hamza Rafia 73'
- 20
- 6
- 4
- 13
Bench
-
10
Remi Oudin ↑ 83'
- 1
- 2
- 36
-
50
Santiago Pierotti ↑ 73'
-
22
Lameck Banda ↑ 59'
-
8
Hamza Rafia ↑ 73'
- 98
- 27
- 19
- 32
- 23
- 40
Coach
Luca Gotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 5 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Alexis Blin | 1 |
| Adrien Rabiot | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.78
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57
US Lecce xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 76% + Over 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.35
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
91%
Draw or US Lecce
24%
AC Milan or US Lecce
85%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
13.6%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
9.8%
4 – 0
8.4%
2 – 1
7.5%
3 – 1
7%
1 – 1
6.1%
4 – 1
4.9%
0 – 0
4.7%
5 – 0
4.7%
5 – 1
2.8%
6 – 0
2.3%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | US Lecce covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -2 | 40% | 22% | 38% |
| -1.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| -1 | 62% | 20% | 18% |
| -0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +0.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +1 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
57%
✓
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

