AC Milan vs US Lecce, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
- Assistant 1 Edoardo Raspollini
- Assistant 2 Mattia Scarpa
5 games this season
🟨 3.4/game
⚽ 14.2 goals/game
🟥 3 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SS Lazio | 11 | 29 |
| 2 | FC Internazionale Milano | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 11 | 24 |
| 5 | Como 1907 | 11 | 23 |
| 6 | Frosinone Calcio | 11 | 20 |
| 7 | Juventus FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Cagliari Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 10 | SSC Napoli | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Torino FC | 11 | 14 |
| 12 | Atalanta BC | 11 | 14 |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 11 | 13 |
| 14 | US Lecce | 11 | 10 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 11 | 9 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 11 | 8 |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 11 | 8 |
| 18 | AC Monza | 11 | 7 |
| 19 | Venezia FC | 11 | 6 |
| 20 | Udinese Calcio | 11 | 5 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | US Lecce | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Sep | Liverpool FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | Venezia FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | SS Lazio | A | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Aug | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | AC Milan | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | Torino FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | Cagliari Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | Atalanta BC | H | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | US Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #14 |
| 24 | Points | 10 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 7 / 3 / 1 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 7 |
| 23 | Scored | 12 |
| 13 | Conceded | 22 |
| +10 | GD | -10 |
| 2.18 | PPG | 0.91 |
| 64% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season
AC Milan this season
18%
Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season
US Lecce this season
AC Milan are 4th (24 pts). US Lecce are 14th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AC Milan
0-15
6/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
10/3
76+
–/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
US Lecce
0-15
3/3
16-30
1/8
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
2/5
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AC Milan
| Adrien Rabiot | 5 G | 4 A |
| Alphadjo Cisse | 5 G | |
| Diego Moreira | 4 G | 3 A |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 G | 1 A |
| Goncalo Ramos | 2 G | 2 A |
US Lecce
| Lassana Coulibaly | 2 G | 2 A |
| Tiago Gabriel | 2 G | 1 A |
| Olaf Gorter | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. AC Milan get us underway at Giuseppe Meazza.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. AC Milan needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' US Lecce come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Remi Oudin, as he is very good at scoring at Giuseppe Meazza with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 25' Ylber Ramadani has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 30' Lameck Banda has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 34' Federico Baschirotto was booked on 34.
- 38' Against the run of play, Alvaro Morata has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 41' Theo Hernandez makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and AC Milan are in front.
- 43' Magnificent from Christian Pulisic! That is 72 goals in 536 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 48' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 49' Controversy at the stadium! Emerson Royal argues furiously but the card stands.
- 54' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 55' Time for substitution for AC Milan. Alvaro Morata is replaced by Ruben Loftus-Cheek.
- 59' Lameck Banda is replacing Tete Morente for the US Lecce side.
- 63' Yunus Musah gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Youssouf Fofana and will look to change the dynamic.
- 68' US Lecce seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 73' It is a substitution in US Lecce team. Balthazar Pierret is replaced by Hamza Rafia on 73 minute.
- 75' The supporters are chanting for Davide Bartesaghi. He replaces Theo Hernandez on 75 minute.
- 80' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Davide Bartesaghi.
- 83' US Lecce manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Remi Oudin is hanging Lassana Coulibaly on the field on 83 minute.
- 88' US Lecce started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 88.
- Another three points for AC Milan.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 22
- 7
-
90
Tammy Abraham ↓ Luka Jovic 75'
- 23
-
29
Youssouf Fofana ↓ Yunus Musah 63'
- 16
- 10
- 11
- 19
- 46
Bench
-
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↑ 55'
-
9
Luka Jovic ↑ 75'
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↑ 63'
- 31
- 28
- 42
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 63'
- 25
-
33
Davide Bartesaghi ↑ 75'
- 18
- 20
- 96
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
US Lecce Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
3
Ante Rebic ↓ Santiago Pierotti 73'
- 25
-
29
Lassana Coulibaly ↓ Remi Oudin 83'
-
7
Tete Morente ↓ Lameck Banda 59'
- 9
- 30
-
75
Balthazar Pierret ↓ Hamza Rafia 73'
- 20
- 6
- 4
- 13
Bench
-
10
Remi Oudin ↑ 83'
- 1
- 2
- 36
-
50
Santiago Pierotti ↑ 73'
-
22
Lameck Banda ↑ 59'
-
8
Hamza Rafia ↑ 73'
- 98
- 27
- 19
- 32
- 23
- 40
Coach
Luca Gotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 5 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 1 |
| Marco Calderoni | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.74
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71
US Lecce xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 74% + Over 2.5 goals 65%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.45
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 4.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
90%
Draw or US Lecce
26%
AC Milan or US Lecce
84%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
8.7%
2 – 1
8.2%
3 – 1
7.5%
4 – 0
7.2%
1 – 1
6.8%
4 – 1
5.2%
0 – 0
4.4%
5 – 0
4%
5 – 1
2.9%
2 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | US Lecce covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -2 | 37% | 22% | 42% |
| -1.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| -1 | 58% | 20% | 22% |
| -0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +0.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +1 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
50%
✗
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.