AC Milan vs US Lecce, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
- Assistant 1 Edoardo Raspollini
- Assistant 2 Mattia Scarpa
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 2 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 3 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
| 4 | FC Internazionale Milano | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | SSC Napoli | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | AS Roma | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Como 1907 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Juventus FC | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Atalanta BC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Bologna FC 1909 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | SS Lazio | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Udinese Calcio | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Torino FC | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Cagliari Calcio | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | ACF Fiorentina | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Genoa CFC | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | US Lecce | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | AC Monza | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Venezia FC | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Frosinone Calcio | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | US Lecce | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Sep | Liverpool FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | Venezia FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | SS Lazio | A | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Aug | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | AC Milan | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | Torino FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | Cagliari Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | Atalanta BC | H | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | US Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #20 |
| 0 | Points | 0 |
| 0 | Played | 0 |
| 0 / 0 / 0 | W / D / L | 0 / 0 / 0 |
| 0 | Scored | 0 |
| 0 | Conceded | 0 |
| +0 | GD | +0 |
| – | PPG | – |
| – | Win % | – |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 8th (0 pts). US Lecce are 20th (0 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Giuseppe Meazza will turn into a battlefield for AC Milan and US Lecce.
- 5' Hamza Rafia has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 10 appearances.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mike Maignan made 466 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 20' Ante Rebic has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 7 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
- 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Federico Baschirotto on 34.
- 38' Alvaro Morata does the damage! The net is bulging and AC Milan surge ahead!
- 41' A stunning finish from Theo Hernandez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 43' Christian Pulisic makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and AC Milan are in front.
- 48' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past US Lecce's compact 4-3-3.
- 49' The referee shows AC Milan player a card on 49.
- 54' US Lecce are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 55' The supporters are chanting for Ruben Loftus-Cheek. He replaces Alvaro Morata on 55 minute.
- 59' US Lecce manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lameck Banda is hanging Tete Morente on the field on 59 minute.
- 63' It is a substitution in AC Milan team. Youssouf Fofana is replaced by Yunus Musah on 63 minute.
- 68' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rafael Leao, as he is very good at scoring at Giuseppe Meazza with 10 goals in the last 10 games.
- 73' It is a substitution in US Lecce team. Balthazar Pierret is replaced by Hamza Rafia on 73 minute.
- 75' Davide Bartesaghi gets the nod from AC Milan. He replaces Theo Hernandez and will look to change the dynamic.
- 80' Poor challenge from Davide Bartesaghi. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 83' The crowd applauds Lassana Coulibaly as he leaves the pitch. Remi Oudin steps in for US Lecce.
- 88' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for US Lecce.
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 22
- 7
-
90
Tammy Abraham ↓ Luka Jovic 75'
- 23
-
29
Youssouf Fofana ↓ Yunus Musah 63'
- 16
- 10
- 11
- 19
- 46
Bench
-
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↑ 55'
-
9
Luka Jovic ↑ 75'
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↑ 63'
- 31
- 28
- 42
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 63'
- 25
-
33
Davide Bartesaghi ↑ 75'
- 18
- 20
- 96
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
US Lecce Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
3
Ante Rebic ↓ Santiago Pierotti 73'
- 25
-
29
Lassana Coulibaly ↓ Remi Oudin 83'
-
7
Tete Morente ↓ Lameck Banda 59'
- 9
- 30
-
75
Balthazar Pierret ↓ Hamza Rafia 73'
- 20
- 6
- 4
- 13
Bench
-
10
Remi Oudin ↑ 83'
- 1
- 2
- 36
-
50
Santiago Pierotti ↑ 73'
-
22
Lameck Banda ↑ 59'
-
8
Hamza Rafia ↑ 73'
- 98
- 27
- 19
- 32
- 23
- 40
Coach
Luca Gotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Tijjani Reijnders | 1 |
| Marco Calderoni | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.19
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.31
US Lecce xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 80% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.5
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 1.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
| ± 2.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 3.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
| ± 4.5 | 2% |
|
98% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
89%
Draw or US Lecce
41%
AC Milan or US Lecce
70%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
25.5%
0 – 0
24.7%
2 – 0
15%
1 – 1
8.8%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
5.5%
2 – 1
5.1%
3 – 1
2.2%
4 – 0
1.8%
1 – 2
1.2%
0 – 2
0.9%
2 – 2
0.9%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | US Lecce covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 17% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 31% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +1 | 92% | 7% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
73%
✓
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.