AC Milan vs US Lecce, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Match Details
- Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
- Assistant 1 Edoardo Raspollini
- Assistant 2 Mattia Scarpa
4 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 1.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | US Lecce | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Sep | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–1 | W |
| 17 Sep | Liverpool FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Sep | Venezia FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | SS Lazio | A | 2–2 | D |
| 24 Aug | Parma Calcio 1913 | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | AC Milan | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | Torino FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | Cagliari Calcio | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Aug | Atalanta BC | H | 0–4 | L |
Season Stats
| AC Milan | US Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #17 |
| 70 | Points | 38 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 20 / 10 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 20 |
| 53 | Scored | 28 |
| 35 | Conceded | 50 |
| +18 | GD | -22 |
| 1.84 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 53% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
AC Milan are 5th (70 pts). US Lecce are 17th (38 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and AC Milan launch into their encounter with US Lecce.
- 5' AC Milan are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined US Lecce backline.
- 10' Luka Jovic is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for AC Milan tonight.
- 15' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lameck Banda suffering a number of foals already.
- 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 30' The home supporters are growing impatient. AC Milan must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 34' The referee shows US Lecce player a card on 34.
- 38' What a strike from Alvaro Morata! The score is 1-0.
- 41' The deadlock is broken! Theo Hernandez gets on the scoresheet on 41 minutes.
- 43' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Christian Pulisic makes it 3-0.
- 48' Over 48 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 49' Emerson Royal catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 49.
- 54' It’s high time Luca Gotti made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 55' AC Milan manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ruben Loftus-Cheek is hanging Alvaro Morata on the field on 55 minute.
- 59' The whistle greets Tete Morente as he departs to be replaced by Lameck Banda.
- 63' Youssouf Fofana makes way for Yunus Musah at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
- 68' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 73' The whistle greets Balthazar Pierret as he departs to be replaced by Hamza Rafia.
- 75' Davide Bartesaghi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Theo Hernandez on 75 minute.
- 80' That looks like a foul for a card for Davide Bartesaghi.
- 83' The US Lecce bench stirs into life. Lassana Coulibaly is withdrawn and Remi Oudin gets his opportunity.
- 88' Emerson Royal needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- That’s it! Another goalless match for AC Milan and US Lecce (для сухой ничьи).
Lineups
AC Milan Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 14
- 22
- 7
-
90
Tammy Abraham ↓ Luka Jovic 75'
- 23
-
29
Youssouf Fofana ↓ Yunus Musah 63'
- 16
- 10
- 11
- 19
- 46
Bench
-
8
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ↑ 55'
-
9
Luka Jovic ↑ 75'
-
21
Samuel Chukwueze ↑ 63'
- 31
- 28
- 42
-
80
Yunus Musah ↑ 63'
- 25
-
33
Davide Bartesaghi ↑ 75'
- 18
- 20
- 96
Coach
Paulo Fonseca
US Lecce Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
3
Ante Rebic ↓ Santiago Pierotti 73'
- 25
-
29
Lassana Coulibaly ↓ Remi Oudin 83'
-
7
Tete Morente ↓ Lameck Banda 59'
- 9
- 30
-
75
Balthazar Pierret ↓ Hamza Rafia 73'
- 20
- 6
- 4
- 13
Bench
-
10
Remi Oudin ↑ 83'
- 1
- 2
- 36
-
50
Santiago Pierotti ↑ 73'
-
22
Lameck Banda ↑ 59'
-
8
Hamza Rafia ↑ 73'
- 98
- 27
- 19
- 32
- 23
- 40
Coach
Luca Gotti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Leao | 5 |
| Christian Pulisic | 4 |
| Davide Calabria | 2 |
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Theo Hernandez | 2 |
| Olivier Giroud | 2 |
| Marco Mancosu | 1 |
| Theo Hernandez | 1 |
Head to Head
AC Milan Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.06
AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.58
US Lecce xG
I would bet for:
AC Milan to win 68% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
AC Milan or Draw
89%
Draw or US Lecce
32%
AC Milan or US Lecce
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: AC Milan win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 0
14.9%
1 – 0
14.3%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
5.9%
4 – 0
5.1%
0 – 1
3.4%
4 – 1
3.1%
2 – 2
2.5%
1 – 2
2.3%
Asian Handicap — AC Milan
| Handicap | AC Milan covers | Push | US Lecce covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 22% | 54% |
| -1.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| -1 | 46% | 25% | 29% |
| -0.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +0.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +1 | 92% | 6% | 2% |
| +1.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
| +2 | 98% | 2% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
56%
✓
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.