Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund, Champions League 2023-24 GROUP STAGE

Tue 28 Nov 2023 · 20:00 UTC Giuseppe Meazza HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 10' Marco Reus pen
Samuel Chukwueze 37' 1–1
1–3 69' Karim Adeyemi

Overview

Match Preview

AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund — Champions League at Giuseppe Meazza.

Match Details

  • Referee Istvan Kovacs
  • Assistant 1 Vasile Marinescu
  • Assistant 2 Mihai Artene
6 games this season 🟨 7.0/game ⚽ 24.5 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Head-to-Head

1
1
AC Milan 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Borussia Dortmund

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Nov Borussia Dortmund H 1–3 L
25 Nov ACF Fiorentina H 1–0 W
11 Nov US Lecce A 2–2 D
07 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC H 2–1 W
04 Nov Udinese Calcio H 0–1 L
29 Oct SSC Napoli A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Nov AC Milan A 3–1 W
25 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach H 4–2 W
11 Nov VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
07 Nov Newcastle United FC H 2–0 W
04 Nov FC Bayern München H 0–4 L
01 Nov TSG 1899 Hoffenheim H 1–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. AC Milan host Borussia Dortmund — let the battle begin!
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Giuseppe Meazza. AC Milan seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Marco Reus makes it 0-1.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Yacine Adli is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Borussia Dortmund.
  • 20' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' Borussia Dortmund come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 35' It is a cagey affair so far. AC Milan in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Borussia Dortmund's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 37' What composure from Samuel Chukwueze! The Nigeria international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 42' Supporters expect more eagerness from Olivier Giroud, as he is very good at scoring at Giuseppe Meazza with 11 goals in the last 8 games.
  • 47' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering AC Milan that had 521 games and scored 609 goals.
  • 52' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 53' AC Milan make a change. Malick Thiaw trudges off to be replaced by Rade Krunic on 53 minutes.
  • 55' Borussia Dortmund manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Salih Ozcan is hanging Nico Schlotterbeck on the field on 55 minute.
  • 56' The supporters are chanting for Karim Adeyemi. He replaces Donyell Malen on 56 minute.
  • 59' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jamie Bynoe-Gittens makes no mistake. 1-2!
  • 64' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 66' Marius Wolf has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jamie Bynoe-Gittens on 66 minute.
  • 67' The referee calls foul for Fikayo Tomori. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 69' GOAL! Karim Adeyemi fires home to make it 1-3!
  • 74' AC Milan are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 77' Samuel Chukwueze makes way for Chaka Traore at the 77 minute mark. A tactical switch from AC Milan.
  • 79' It is a substitution in Borussia Dortmund team. Marco Reus is replaced by Julian Brandt on 79 minute.
  • 84' Gregor Kobel has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 6 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 89' Borussia Dortmund have won 813 goals from 527 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • Borussia Dortmund celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.14 AC Milan xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: AC Milan or Borussia Dortmund 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan31% Draw30% Borussia Dortmund39%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.53
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

AC Milan or Draw
61%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
69%
AC Milan or Borussia Dortmund
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AC Milan22% Draw48% Borussia Dortmund30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
10%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
8%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
3.4%
3 – 1
2.7%

Asian Handicap — AC Milan

Handicap AC Milan covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 17% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 59% — 41%
+1 59% 21% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

AC Milan keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
33% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.