Thursday , 2 July 2026

AS Roma vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
1 1
Full Time
Sat 18 Apr 2026 · 18:45 UTC Stadio Olimpico, Rome 61,474 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 12' Nikola Krstovic
Mario Hermoso 45' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs Atalanta BCSerie A at Stadio Olimpico, Rome.

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Giovanni Baccini
  • Assistant 2 Christian Rossi
9 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 21.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Atalanta BC H 1–1 D
10 Apr AC Pisa 1909 H 3–0 W
05 Apr FC Internazionale Milano A 2–5 L
22 Mar US Lecce H 1–0 W
19 Mar Bologna FC 1909 H 3–4 L
15 Mar Como 1907 A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr AS Roma A 1–1 D
11 Apr Juventus FC H 0–1 L
06 Apr US Lecce A 3–0 W
22 Mar Hellas Verona FC H 1–0 W
18 Mar FC Bayern München A 1–4 L
14 Mar FC Internazionale Milano A 1–1 D

Season Stats

AS Roma Atalanta BC
#3 Position #7
73 Points 59
38 Played 38
23 / 4 / 11 W / D / L 15 / 14 / 9
59 Scored 51
31 Conceded 36
+28 GD +15
1.92 PPG 1.55
61% Win % 39%

Key Stats

69% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AS Roma are 3rd (73 pts). Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Atalanta BC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Donyell Malen has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 8 appearances with only 3 goals this season.
  • 12' What a strike from Nikola Krstovic! The score is 0-1.
  • 17' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Atalanta BC that had 525 games and scored 714 goals.
  • 22' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 27' It looks surprising Atalanta BC does not make any changes. Berat Djimsiti has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 32' The travelling Atalanta BC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 37' Atalanta BC is showing some good football. However, Atalanta BC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 42' Davide Zappacosta needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 45' Goal! Mario Hermoso scores his 20 goal in 286 matches.
  • 46' Nicola Zalewski is replacing Charles De Ketelaere for the Atalanta BC side.
  • 51' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Mile Svilar made 467 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 54' Atalanta BC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lorenzo Bernasconi is hanging Raoul Bellanova on the field on 54 minute.
  • 59' Atalanta BC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 60' Daniele Ghilardi has so much to prove this time. He replaces Gianluca Mancini on 60 minute.
  • 65' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ederson on 65.
  • 70' AS Roma started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 70.
  • 71' Robinio Vaz is replacing Matias Soule for the AS Roma side.
  • 75' It’s gonna be a card for Niccolo Pisilli.
  • 78' Kostas Tsimikas has so much to prove this time. He replaces Devyne Rensch on 78 minute.
  • 80' Mario Pasalic is replacing Ederson for the Atalanta BC side.
  • 85' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ederson suffering a number of foals already.
  • 90' Berat Djimsiti is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.34 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: AS Roma or Atalanta BC 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AS Roma38% Draw30% Atalanta BC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
68%
Draw or Atalanta BC
62%
AS Roma or Atalanta BC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma28% Draw49% Atalanta BC23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
10.3%
1 – 0
9.8%
0 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
7.1%
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
32%
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.