Atalanta BC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2025-26

Atalanta BC

1 – 1

Full Time

AC Milan

Tue 28 Oct 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan — Serie A .

Atalanta BC 38 games · 59 pts (2026/27)
AC Milan 38 games · 70 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniele Doveri

3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 3.7 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Internazionale Milano	38	87
2	SSC Napoli	38	76
3	AS Roma	38	73
4	Como 1907	38	71
5	AC Milan	38	70
6	Juventus FC	38	69
7	Atalanta BC	38	59
8	Bologna FC 1909	38	56
9	SS Lazio	38	54
10	Udinese Calcio	38	50
11	US Sassuolo Calcio	38	49
12	Parma Calcio 1913	38	45
13	Torino FC	38	45
14	Cagliari Calcio	38	43
15	ACF Fiorentina	38	42
16	Genoa CFC	38	41
17	US Lecce	38	38
18	US Cremonese	38	34
19	Hellas Verona FC	38	21
20	AC Pisa 1909	38	18

Head-to-Head

Atalanta BC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals AC Milan

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-28 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan 2025-04-20 AC Milan 0–1 Atalanta BC 2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan 2024-02-25 AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta BC 2023-12-09 Atalanta BC 3–2 AC Milan

Recent Form

Atalanta BC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Oct	AC Milan	H	1–1	D
25 Oct	US Cremonese	A	1–1	D
22 Oct	SK Slavia Praha	H	0–0	D
19 Oct	SS Lazio	H	0–0	D
04 Oct	Como 1907	H	1–1	D
30 Sep	Club Brugge KV	H	2–1	W

AC Milan

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Oct	Atalanta BC	A	1–1	D
24 Oct	AC Pisa 1909	H	2–2	D
19 Oct	ACF Fiorentina	H	2–1	W
05 Oct	Juventus FC	A	0–0	D
28 Sep	SSC Napoli	H	2–1	W
20 Sep	Udinese Calcio	A	3–0	W

Season Stats

Atalanta BC		AC Milan
#7	Position	#5
59	Points	70
38	Played	38
15 / 14 / 9	W / D / L	20 / 10 / 8
51	Scored	53
36	Conceded	35
+15	GD	+18
1.55	PPG	1.84
39%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts). AC Milan are 5th (70 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Atalanta BC and AC Milan.
The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Duvan Zapata	3
Ademola Lookman	3
Rafael Leao	3
Josip Ilicic	3
Mario Pasalic	2
Junior Messias	2
Alejandro Gomez	2
Franck Kessie	2

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.1 Atalanta BC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1 AC Milan xG

I would bet for: Atalanta BC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Atalanta BC40% Draw31% AC Milan29%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes43% 0% No57%

Avg goals/match: 2.1

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	85%	15%
± 1.5	62%	38%
± 2.5	35%	65%
± 3.5	17%	83%
± 4.5	7%	93%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw

70%

Draw or AC Milan

60%

Atalanta BC or AC Milan

69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Atalanta BC25% Draw53% AC Milan22%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

14.6%

1 – 1

Actual

1 – 0

12.2%

0 – 1

10.9%

2 – 1

7.2%

2 – 0

7.1%

1 – 2

6.5%

0 – 2

5.9%

2 – 2

3.7%

3 – 1

2.7%

3 – 0

2.6%

1 – 3

2.2%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap	Atalanta BC covers	Push	AC Milan covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	21%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	69%	—	31%
+1	69%	19%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	8%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet

37% ✓

AC Milan keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.