Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Atalanta BC
1 – 1
Full Time
AC Milan
Tue 28 Oct 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs AC Milan — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniele Doveri
3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 4.3 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 AS Roma 5 13
2 FC Internazionale Milano 5 13
3 SS Lazio 5 13
4 Cagliari Calcio 5 12
5 AC Milan 5 11
6 Frosinone Calcio 5 10
7 Juventus FC 5 10
8 Como 1907 5 10
9 SSC Napoli 5 7
10 US Sassuolo Calcio 5 7
11 Atalanta BC 5 6
12 US Lecce 5 6
13 Udinese Calcio 5 4
14 Torino FC 5 4
15 Parma Calcio 1913 5 4
16 AC Monza 5 4
17 ACF Fiorentina 5 4
18 Bologna FC 1909 5 2
19 Genoa CFC 5 1
20 Venezia FC 5 0

Head-to-Head

7
8
9
Atalanta BC 24 games · Avg 2.7 goals AC Milan
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-28 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan 2025-04-20 AC Milan 0–1 Atalanta BC 2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan 2024-02-25 AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta BC 2023-12-09 Atalanta BC 3–2 AC Milan

Recent Form

Atalanta BC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct AC Milan H 1–1 D
25 Oct US Cremonese A 1–1 D
22 Oct SK Slavia Praha H 0–0 D
19 Oct SS Lazio H 0–0 D
04 Oct Como 1907 H 1–1 D
30 Sep Club Brugge KV H 2–1 W
AC Milan
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Oct Atalanta BC A 1–1 D
24 Oct AC Pisa 1909 H 2–2 D
19 Oct ACF Fiorentina H 2–1 W
05 Oct Juventus FC A 0–0 D
28 Sep SSC Napoli H 2–1 W
20 Sep Udinese Calcio A 3–0 W

Season Stats

Atalanta BC AC Milan
#11 Position #5
6 Points 11
5 Played 5
2 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 2 / 0
5 Scored 10
7 Conceded 4
-2 GD +6
1.20 PPG 2.20
40% Win % 60%

Key Stats

58% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
40% Clean Sheets
AC Milan this season

Atalanta BC are 11th (6 pts). AC Milan are 5th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atalanta BC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AC Milan
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
8/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atalanta BC
Ederson 1 G
Giacomo Raspadori 1 G
Nikola Krstovic 1 G
Lazar Samardzic 1 G
AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 G
Adrien Rabiot 2 G 2 A
Alphadjo Cisse 2 G
Goncalo Ramos 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. AC Milan kicks off things out of here…
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

AC Milan Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Josip Ilicic 3
Duvan Zapata 3
Ademola Lookman 3
Rafael Leao 3
Luis Muriel 2
Mario Pasalic 2
Junior Messias 2
Alejandro Gomez 2

Head to Head

2025-10-28 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan 2025-04-20 AC Milan 0–1 Atalanta BC 2024-12-06 Atalanta BC 2–1 AC Milan 2024-02-25 AC Milan 1–1 Atalanta BC 2023-12-09 Atalanta BC 3–2 AC Milan

Atalanta BC Form

2025-10-28 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan D 2025-10-25 US Cremonese 1–1 Atalanta BC D 2025-10-22 Atalanta BC 0–0 SK Slavia Praha D 2025-10-19 Atalanta BC 0–0 SS Lazio D 2025-10-04 Atalanta BC 1–1 Como 1907 D 2025-09-30 Atalanta BC 2–1 Club Brugge KV W

AC Milan Form

2025-10-28 Atalanta BC 1–1 AC Milan D 2025-10-24 AC Milan 2–2 AC Pisa 1909 D 2025-10-19 AC Milan 2–1 ACF Fiorentina W 2025-10-05 Juventus FC 0–0 AC Milan D 2025-09-28 AC Milan 2–1 SSC Napoli W 2025-09-20 Udinese Calcio 0–3 AC Milan W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.83 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 AC Milan xG
I would bet for: Atalanta BC or AC Milan 71% + Under 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC29% Draw29% AC Milan42%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.24
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 65%
35%
± 2.5 38%
62%
± 3.5 19%
81%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
58%
Draw or AC Milan
71%
Atalanta BC or AC Milan
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Atalanta BC16% Draw51% AC Milan33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.9%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.9%
0 – 2
10.2%
1 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.7%
2 – 1
5%
0 – 3
4.7%
1 – 3
4.1%
2 – 2
3.6%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push AC Milan covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 14% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 51% — 49%
+1 51% 24% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 15% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
AC Milan keeps clean sheet
44% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.